Kings vs. Grizzlies Odds, Analysis, Predictions 11/22/22

by | Nov 22, 2022 | nba

Sacramento Kings (9-6 SU, 11-3-1 ATS) vs. Memphis Grizzlies (10-7 SU, 6-10-1 ATS)

When: Tuesday, November 22nd, 8:00 PM (ET)

Where: FedExForum, TN, Memphis

TV: NBC

Point Spread: SAC -1/ MEM -1 (BAS – Did you know that you could be wagering on games at -105 instead of -110? Imagine how much money this would save you! TONS!)

Total: OFF

Money Line: Sacramento Kings -110/ -110

Notable Injuries

Kings

  • Malik Monk (Probable) Mouth
  • Keegan Murray (Probable) Back

Grizzlies

  • Danny Green (Out) ACL/LCL
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. (Out) Injury Management
  • Ja Morant (Doubtful) Ankle
  • Desmond Bane (Out) Toe
  • Ziaire Williams (Out) Knee

Recent Form

So far, the Kings have put together an overall record of 9-6 while going 11-3-1 vs. the spread. Against the Grizzlies, the Kings are looking to add to their current six-game winning streak. The team has an average scoring margin of 13.0 in these matchups.

The Kings are coming off a 137-129 win over the Pistons. Although they came away with a straight-up win, it was not enough to cover the spread as they entered as 10-point favorites. Even though Sacramento was trailing at the half, they managed to put themselves in a position to win by evening the score heading into the 4th. In the win, De’Aaron Fox led the team in scoring with 33 points on a field goal percentage of 61.1%.

So far, the Grizzlies have put together an overall record of 10-7 while going 6-10-1 vs. the spread. Against the spread, Memphis has a mark of 1-2. Straight up, their record is 1-2 in these games.

Memphis is trying to bounce back from a 127-115 loss to the Nets. Going into this game, the team was 7 point underdog on the spread, giving them an ATS loss. Memphis went on to lose the game despite leading by 5 heading into halftime. In the loss, Dillon Brooks led the team in scoring with 31 points on a field goal percentage of 43.3%.

The Historicals

In last year’s regular season games with the Grizzlies as the home team, Memphis went 1-0. Overall, they posted a mark of 3-0 against the Kings. Last year, the Kings saw a drop in overall scoring when playing the Grizzlies, averaging 102.67 points per game. As for Sacramento, they actually improved their points per game numbers in head-to-head matchups, averaging 126.33 points per contest against the Grizzlies. The ATS record across the previous five head-to-head meetings is 4-1 in favor of the Grizzlies. In these matchups, Memphis has averaged 122 points per game while allowing 104. Sacramento and Memphis averaged a combined 226 points per game in these games, leading to an over-under mark of 3-2.

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Analysis

The Sacramento offense will take the floor in today’s game with the league’s 1st ranked offense at 121.4 points per game. So far, Sacramento is averaging 101.4 possessions per game, making them one of the more up-tempo teams in the league. Sacramento has been effective on offense due to the fact that they not only play an up-tempo style but they have one of the best effective field goal percentages in the league at 58.5%.

Defensively, Sacramento has had its problems giving up an average of 115.77 points per game (29th).

Point-Guard De’Aaron Fox currently leads the Kings at 25.43 points per game. For the season, he is 30th in the NBA in usage rate and has taken 19.9% of the team’s field goal attempts. In addition to his scoring, Fox is averaging 4.79 boards and 6.43 assists per contest. In today’s game, he is facing off against the NBA’s 6th-ranked defense at defending point guards. Domantas Sabonis enters the game, sitting second on the team in scoring. Through 15 games, he is averaging 17.53 and is 29th in the league in player efficiency rating.

The Memphis offense will take the floor in today’s game with the league’s 11th-ranked offense at 114.4 points per game. So far, Memphis is averaging 100.3 possessions per game, making them one of the more up-tempo teams in the league. Not only is the team ranked near the top of the league in possessions, but this fast-paced style has translated to an increased number of made shots, as they are 7th in the league in made field goals per game.

So far, the Grizzlies have played well defensively, as they are ranked 12th in the league at 109.93 points per contest.

If the Grizzlies are going to come out on top vs. the Kings, they be relying on the depth of their roster, as Ja Morant is unlikely to play while Desmond Bane is already listed as out. So far, this duo is averaging a combined 53.24 points per game for Memphis. The team will need to figure out who is going to charge on the offensive end of the floor, as Morant has taken 23.0% of the team’s field goal attempts. Bane currently sits 2nd on the team in scoring and has contributed 4.92 rebounds and 4.75 assists per game.

Betting Trends

  • Kings are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following an ATS loss.
  • Kings are 9-0 ATS in their last nine games playing on one day’s rest.
  • Grizzlies are 5-1 ATS in their last six games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.
  • Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Kings have won six games in a row and the market still hasn’t adjusted accordingly. The Grizz aren’t exactly playing their best basketball right now either, losers of three of their last four games. I’m betting the Kings at +1.5! Bet your NBA predictions for FREE this week by scoring one of MANY 100% sportsbook bonuses!