Kings vs. Timberwolves Betting Analysis & Free Pick

by | Last updated Jan 28, 2023 | nba

Sacramento Kings (27-20 SU, 25-21-1 ATS) vs. Minnesota Timberwolves (26-25 SU, 24-27-0 ATS)

When: Saturday, January 28th, 8:00 PM (ET)

Where: Target Center, MN, Minneapolis


Point Spread: Sac -3.0/Min +3 (Learn how you can get a FREE half point everytime you bet your favorite team + a 125% real cash bonus!)

Total: OFF

Money Line: Sacramento Kings -149/+122

Notable Injuries



    • Karl-Anthony Towns (Out) Calf
    • Taurean Prince (Out) Ankle
    • Jordan McLaughlin (Out) Calf

    Recent Form

    Heading into the game, Sacramento is 27-20 overall. When taking to the road, Sacramento has a mark of 11-9 and a win percentage of 55%. Currently, the team is 3rd in the Western Conference. So far, they are 25-21-1 vs. the spread. When looking at how the team has performed of late straight and vs. the spread, they are 3-2 in their past five games and 2-3 ATS. Over their past ten games, they are 7-3 SU and 6-4 ATS.

    In their last game, Sacramento was defeated by the Raptors with a score of 113-95. Despite Kevin Huerter scoring 21 points, the team was unable to come out on top. Going into the game, the Kings were 3-point favorites.

    Heading into the game, Minnesota is 26-25 overall. When playing at home, Minnesota has a mark of 17-10 and a win percentage of 63%. Currently, the team is 8th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 24-27-0 vs. the spread. Minnesota will look to stay hot in today’s game vs. Sacramento as they are the winners of 2 straight games.

    After their win against the Grizzlies, Minnesota will be looking to continue their momentum. Anthony Edwards had a big game, scoring 25 points to help lead the team to victory. As 1 point underdogs on the spread, the Timberwolves were able to come home with an ATS win

    The Historicals

    Going back to last season, the Timberwolves took the season series 2-1. This mark came while posting a mark of 1-0 as the host team. Similar to their season-long average, the Kings averaged 114.33 points per game vs. the Timberwolves. Similar to the Kings, the Timberwolves scored at a rate near the league average. In their games vs. Sacramento, the team averaged 120.0 points per game. The Timberwolves have had the better record vs. the spread over the last five games, going 3-1-1. The team’s average scoring margin in these contests sits at 5 points per game. A combined average of 241 points per game was achieved in these matchups, leading to an over-under mark of 4-1.

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    This season, Sacramento is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 119.7 points per game. So far, the Kings are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 100.9 possessions per game. Sacramento’s offensive attack has benefited from some hot shooting from outside. Not only are they among the league leaders in 3-pointers attempted per game, but they are 8th in 3-point shooting percentage at 37.2%. The defense has been a weak area for Sacramento, as they currently allow 115.77 points per game. The team’s 3-point shooting defense has been a problem this year. So far, opposing offenses have hit 37.05% of their looks from the outside.

    As the Kings prepare for today’s game, De’Aaron Fox is their leading scorer, averaging 23.8 points per game. This season, Fox has a field goal percentage of 50.8%. The team’s second-leading scorer is Domantas Sabonis, who is averaging 18.4 points per game.

    This season, Minnesota is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 115.1 points per game. So far, the Timberwolves are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 100.8 possessions per game. When looking at the team’s 3-point shooting numbers, they profile as an average team in both percentage and attempts. For the season, the Timberwolves’ offense is ranked 19th in 3-point attempts per game while connecting at a rate of 35.5%. The defense has been a struggle for Minnesota, as they are currently allowing 113.3 points per game. However, even with their overall struggles, the team has done a good job defending the 3-point line. So far, opposing teams have hit just 34.89% of their looks from deep.

    Anthony Edwards is the top scorer for the Timberwolves, with an average of 24.5 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 45.9%. D’Angelo Russell is the team’s second-leading scorer, averaging 17.6 points per game.

    Betting Trends

    • The Kings are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games.
    • The Kings are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games overall.
    • The Timberwolves are 6-0 ATS in their last six games vs. a team with a winning straight-up record.
    • The Timberwolves are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.

    Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

    The Minnesota Timberwolves have been playing well! There’s no reason they should be an underdog here. The key point and reason why I’m betting them is they’re actually playing defense. The team has given up 104 points or less in three of their last four games. I’m betting Minny at +3! Bet your NBA and NFL picks for FREE this weekend by scoring a 100% real cash bonus up to $500 when you use promo code PREDICTEM at Betnow Sportsbook!