Knicks vs. Heat Picks & Predictions

by | Mar 25, 2022 | nba

New York Knicks (31-42 SU, 34-39-0 ATS) vs. Miami Heat (47-26 SU, 40-32-1 ATS)

When: Friday March 25 2022, 08:00 PM (ET)

Where: FTX Arena, Miami, Florida

TV: MSG

Point Spread: NYK +5.5/MIA -5.5 (Opened MIA -5.5 at MyBookie - Use bonus code PREDICT100 and receive a 100% real cash bonus up to $300!)

Total: 215.5 (Opened at 216.5)

Money Line: New York 185/Miami -227

Power Rating: MIA -5

Probable Starting Lineups

New York Knicks PG Alec Burks, SG Evan Fournier, SF R.J. Barrett, PF Julius Randle Q, C Mitchell Robinson Q

Miami Heat PG Kyle Lowry, SG Duncan Robinson Q, SF Jimmy Butler Q, PF P.J. Tucker Q, C Bam Adebayo

Key Injuries

New York Knicks
Julius Randle: Quadricep (QUESTIONABLE)
Mitchell Robinson: Back (QUESTIONABLE)
Derrick Rose: Ankle (OUT)
Nerlens Noel: Foot (OUT)
Cam Reddish: Shoulder (OUT)
Kemba Walker: Conditioning (OUT)

Miami Heat
Gabe Vincent: Toe (OUT)
Victor Oladipo: Rest (OUT)
Duncan Robinson: Achilles (QUESTIONABLE)
P.J. Tucker: Knee (QUESTIONABLE)
Caleb Martin: Knee (QUESTIONABLE)
Jimmy Butler: Ankle (QUESTIONABLE)
Tyler Herro: Knee (QUESTIONABLE)

The Miami Heat host the New York Knicks in an Eastern-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 08:00 PM ET at the FTX Arena.

Recent Form

The New York Knicks come into this game with an overall record of 31-42, placing them 11th in the Eastern Conference. Throughout the season, New York has struggled in their 37 road contests, sitting at 16-21. Over their last five games, the Knicks have played well, picking up 3 wins. During this stretch, New York is averaging 111.0 points per game, 5.0 points more than their season average of 106.3. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 112.0 points per contest. The Knicks have been picking up wins while holding opponents to an average of 105.0 points per game, similar to their season average of 106.9. In the New York Knicks’ most recent game, New York took down Charlotte by a score of 121-106

The Miami Heat come into this game with an overall record of 47-26, placing them 1st in the Eastern Conference. So far, Miami is above .500 at home, holding a record of 26-10. Over the Heat’ last five games, they have picked up just 2 wins. In this stretch, Miami’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 108.0 points per game. Combined, the Heat’s last five opponents are giving up 109.0 points per contest. A key reason for the Heat’s recent struggles is a defensive unit giving up 110.0 points over their last five contests. This figure is up from their season average of 105.1. In the Miami Heat’s most recent game, the team fell to Golden State by a score of 118-104.

Reduced Juice Sportsbook

BAS Sportsbook
BET AT -105
 
 

Individual Player Analysis

As New York travels to take on the Miami Heat, the Knicks’ leading scorer is Julius Randle. Through 70 games, Randle is averaging 20 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 47.0% of his games. As Randle gets set to take on the Heat, he could be in line for a big game as Miami is allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 55.0% of their games. This figure places them 26th among NBA defenses. On the other side, Jimmy Butler leads the Heat in scoring, averaging 21 points across his 50 games. Throughout the season, Butler has outscored his season average in 48.0% of his outings. On the season, the Knicks have allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 47.27% of their games, giving them a rank of 13th among NBA defenses.

Matchup Analysis

Heading into this matchup, the Miami Heat are the more efficient team on both ends of the court. This scenario has taken place in 23 of Miami’s 70 games, leading to a winning percentage of 83%. So far, the New York Knicks have played 14 games as the inferior offensive and defensive unit. In these instances, they have lost 14 times, by an average margin of -9.0 points.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the New York Knicks and Miami Heat have met up for 2 games. In their last meeting, Miami picked up a 115-100 win.

How the Public is Betting the Knicks vs Heat

67% are betting the Heat against the spread.
52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 215.5

More Picks: Golden State at Atlanta Prediction ATS >>>

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Knicks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog.
  • Knicks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600
  • Heat are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.
  • Heat are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

After getting through the regular season without much resistance, the Miami Heat are feeling the pressure down the stretch, as they have lost two straight contests and are just 1.5 games ahead of Milwaukee, Philadelphia, and Boston. To make matters worse, these losses came against team’s they should have beaten. On the other side, New York’s chances at making the NBA play-in tournament have all but disappeared, as they are 5 games behind the Hawks. Look for the Heat to get back on track, covering the 5.5 point spread vs New York. March Madness is in full swing! Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks!