LA Clippers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Pick

Los Angeles Clippers (36-17 SU, 29-24 ATS) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (37-17 SU, 34-20 ATS)

When: Thursday, February 22nd, 8:00 PM (ET)

Where: Paycom Center, OK, Oklahoma City

TV: BSO

Point Spread: LAC +2/OKC -2 (Bet your NBA picks at -105 odds at BAS!)

Total: 236.5

Money Line: L.A. +108/Okl. City -130

Notable Injuries

Clippers

None

Thunder

None

At 8:00 ET, the Thunder (37-17) will host the Clippers (36-17) in a Western Conference matchup. Oklahoma City (-130 moneyline) is favored by 2 points over Los Angeles (+108 moneyline). The over/under line is set at 236.5.

This game will be played at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City. The Thunder are on a 2-game win streak and are currently 2nd in the Western Conference. The Clippers are 3rd in the West.

Recent Form

In Clippers games this season, the average combined scoring total is 231 points, which is lower than today’s O/U line of 236.5. Overall, the team has an O/U record of 24-29 this season.

LA’s last game against the Warriors finished with a combined score of 255 points, which was well above the O/U line of 237. The Clippers won the game 130-125 as 4-point underdogs.

As the underdogs, the Clippers have covered the spread in two straight games and have an ATS record of 3-7 as the underdog this season. On the road, they are 15-12 ATS compared to 14-12 ATS at home.

Against Western Conference teams, the Clippers are 22-13 and currently rank 3rd in the West. On the road, they are 16-11 for the season.

So far this season, the Clippers have played in 42 games with lower O/U lines than today’s (236.5). In those games, they have a record of 17-25. Overall, their O/U record for the season is 24-29.

Today, the Thunder will look to extend their home winning streak to five games as they host the Clippers. Oklahoma City is favored by 2 points and has a 21-6 record at home this season.

Oklahoma City’s O/U record this season is 31-23, and the over has hit in their last six games. On average, their games have seen 234.4 points, and today’s O/U line is set at 236.5.

In their last game, the Thunder defeated the Magic by a score of 127-113. The O/U line for that game was 223.5. OKC covered the spread, as they were favored by 3 points.

Against Western Conference teams, the Thunder are 22-13, which is the 2nd-best record in the West. Overall, they are 37-17, which is also good for 2nd place in the conference.

Oklahoma City has an ATS record of 34-20 this season, and they have covered the spread in their last two games. At home, they are 18-9 ATS, compared to 16-11 straight-up.

The Historicals

When looking at how these teams have performed against the spread in recent matchups, the Thunder hold the edge at 3-2. However, the average scoring margin in these matchups has been tight, sitting at just -1 points per game. Los Angeles and Oklahoma City averaged a combined 231 points per game in these games, leading to an over-under mark of 4-1.

Analysis

On the road this season, the Clippers are averaging 119.2 points per game, which is 4th in the NBA. Overall, they are 10th in scoring at 118.3 points per game.

When it comes to shooting, the Clippers are 6th in field goal percentage at 49%. They are also the league leader in three-point shooting at 39%.

So far, the Clippers have outscored the NBA scoring average in 54.7% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 25th in the league at 97.4 possessions per game.

At this time, the Clippers’ defense is positioned 9th in the NBA, permitting 112.7 points per game. Opponents are hitting 54.0% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 35.6% of their three-point attempts.

At home, the Thunder are averaging 123 points per game, which is 5th in the NBA. Overall, they are 4th in scoring at 120.8 points per game. They have outscored the NBA scoring average in 68.5% of their games this season.

Oklahoma City’s offense is 2nd in field goal percentage at 50% and 3rd in three-point shooting at 39%. They are 11th in made threes at 13.4 per game. In terms of pace, the Thunder are 12th in the NBA.

When it comes to two-point shooting, the Thunder are 7th in the league at 56%. In terms of free throws, they are 12th in makes at 18.4 per game.

On defense, the Thunder come into the game ranked 13th in the league in points allowed at 113.6 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 124 points per contest (25th). Oklahoma City’s defense is currently forcing 11.6 turnovers per game, which is 2nd in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 1st in blocked shots, with an average of 6.7 rejections per game.

Betting Trends

• When looking at their past ten road matchups, Los Angeles has an ATS record of 7-3 while averaging 122 per game. The team went 8-2 overall in these games.
• Although Oklahoma City has a straight up record of 5-5 in their last ten home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 5-5. The team averaged 116 points per game in these games.
• Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Clippers have a straight up record of 2-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 2-3.
• Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Thunder have a straight up record of 6-4. Their record vs the spread in these games was 4-6.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

NBA action gets back underway after the All-Star break, with a big matchup between the Clippers and Thunder. Both teams are looking to make a push for the top seed, and the winner of this matchup will be in second place in the Conference. The way I’m playing this one is to take the Thunder to pick up the win at home. Not only do I like them at home, they also have the edge in nearly every major offensive category. And defensively, the Clippers have been just slightly better on defense. 

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