LA Lakers vs. Dallas Mavericks Predictions

by | Mar 29, 2022 | nba

Los Angeles Lakers (31-43 SU, 31-43-0 ATS) vs. Dallas Mavericks (46-29 SU, 42-32-1 ATS)

When: Tuesday March 29 2022, 07:30 PM (ET)

Where: American Airlines Center, Dallas Texas

TV: SPECSN

Point Spread: LAL +12.5/DAL -12.5 (Opened DAL -11.5 at BetNow - They offer a 100% real cash bonus up to $1000!)

Total: 218.5 (Opened at 219)

Money Line: LA Lakers 552/Dallas -806

Power Rating: DAL -12

Probable Starting Lineups

Los Angeles Lakers PG Russell Westbrook, SG Austin Reaves, SF Stanley Johnson, PF Wenyen Gabriel, C Dwight Howard P

Dallas Mavericks PG Luka Doncic, SG Jalen Brunson, SF Reggie Bullock, PF Dorian Finney-Smith, C Dwight Powell

Key Injuries

Los Angeles Lakers
LeBron James: Ankle (DOUBTFUL)
Kendrick Nunn: Ankle (OUT)
Anthony Davis: Ankle (OUT)

Dallas Mavericks
Sterling Brown: Illness (OUT)
Theo Pinson: Finger (OUT)
Tim Hardaway Jr.: Foot (OUT)

The Dallas Mavericks host the Los Angeles Lakers in a Western-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 07:30 PM ET at the American Airlines Center.

Recent Form

The Los Angeles Lakers come into this game with an overall record of 31-43, placing them 10th in the Western Conference. Throughout the season, Los Angeles has struggled in their 36 road contests, sitting at 11-25. Over the Lakers’ last five games, they have picked up just 2 wins. During this stretch, Los Angeles is averaging 121.0 points per game, 9.0 points more than their season average of 111.6. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 108.0 points per contest. A key reason for Los Angeles’ recent struggles is a defensive unit giving up 122.0 points over their previous five contests. This figure is up from their season average of 114.3. In the Los Angeles Lakers’ most recent game, the team fell to New Orleans by a score of 116-108.

The Dallas Mavericks come into this game with an overall record of 46-29, placing them 4th in the Western Conference. So far, Dallas is above .500 at home, holding a record of 26-12. The Mavericks have played well over their last five games, picking up 3 wins. In this stretch, Dallas’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 107.0 points per game. Combined, the Mavericks’ last five opponents are giving up 113.0 points per contest. Even though the Mavericks have been adding to the win column, their opponents have had no trouble scoring the ball, averaging 109.0 points per game, up from Dallas’s usual rate of 104.1. In the Dallas Mavericks’ most recent game, Dallas took down Utah by a score of 114-100.

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Individual Player Analysis

As Los Angeles travels to take on the Dallas Mavericks, the Lakers will be looking for a big game from Russell Westbrook. On the season, Westbrook is averaging 18.2 points per contest. As he gets set to take on the Mavericks, he could be in line for a big game as Dallas is allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 53.45% of their games. This figure places them 23rd among NBA defenses. On the other side, Luka Doncic leads the Mavericks in scoring, averaging 27 points across his 60 games. Throughout the season, Doncic has outscored his season average in 43.0% of his outings. On the season, the Lakers have allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 50.91% of their games, giving them a rank of 18th among NBA defenses.

Matchup Analysis

Heading into this matchup, the Dallas Mavericks are the more efficient team on both ends of the court. This scenario has taken place in 15 of Dallas’s 73 games, leading to a winning percentage of 60%. So far, the Los Angeles Lakers have played 19 games as the inferior offensive and defensive unit. In these instances, they have lost 19 times, by an average margin of -14.0 points.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Los Angeles Lakers and Dallas Mavericks have met up for 2 games. In their last meeting, Dallas picked up a 109-104 win.

How the Public is Betting the Lakers vs Mavericks

67% are betting the Mavs against the spread.

52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 219.0

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Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Lakers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Lakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog.
  • Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
  • Mavericks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

Heading into this matchup, the Dallas Mavericks will take on a Lakers unit in the middle of a tightly contested playoff race in the Western Conference. However, the spread sits 12.5 points in favor of Dallas, as Lebron James is doubtful with a knee injury. However, even with the injuries, I anticipate the Lakers covering the spread, as Dallas is one of the slowest-paced team’s in the NBA. Look for the Mavs to pick up the win, but for LA to cover late.  Question: Did you know that you could be betting on NBA games at -105 odds instead of -110? It’s free too! Check out our Betanysports Review to find out why they’re the best sportsbook on the web!