LA Lakers vs LA Clippers Point Spread Pick 11/9/22

by | Nov 9, 2022 | nba

Los Angeles Lakers (2-8 SU, 4-6-0 ATS) vs. Los Angeles Clippers (6-5 SU, 4-6-1 ATS)
When: Wednesday, November 9th, 10:00 PM (ET)
Where: Crypto.com Arena, CA, Los Angeles
TV: ESPN

Point Spread: LAL +5/ LAC -5
Total: 220.0
Money Line: Los Angeles Lakers +161/ -197

Notable Injuries

Lakers

  • Anthony Davis (Probable) Back
  • Patrick Beverley (Out) Illness
  • LeBron James (Probable) Foot
  • Dennis Schröder (Out) Thumb
  • Thomas Bryant (Out) Thumb
  • Lonnie Walker IV (Questionable) Illness

Clippers

  • John Wall (Out) Knee
  • Kawhi Leonard (Out) Injury Management

Recent Form

The Lakers head into today’s matchup with an overall record of 2-8. So far, the team has gone 4-6-0 against the spread. The Lakers come into the game in the middle of a 3-game-losing streak, losing these matchups by an average of -17.0 points per contest.

Los Angeles is trying to bounce back from a 139-116 loss to the Jazz. Going into this game, the team was 7 point underdog on the spread, giving them an ATS loss. The game got away from Los Angeles in the 2nd half, as the Jazz extended their 5-point halftime lead to grab a 23-point win. In the loss, Anthony Davis led the team in scoring with 29 points on a field goal percentage of 61.1%.

The Clippers come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 6-5. So far, the team has gone 4-6-1 against the spread. In the team’s past 3 games, their overall mark sits at 2-1. Los Angeles is 2-1 vs the spread in these matchups.

The Clippers are coming off a 119-117 win over the Cavaliers. This win came despite entering the game as the 4 point underdogs. In the game, the two teams entered halftime all tied up at 64. In the win, Paul George led the team in scoring with 26 points on a field goal percentage of 50.0%.

The Historicals

Going back to last season, the Clippers took the season series 4-0. This mark came while posting a mark of 2-0 as the host team. Similar to their season-long average, the Lakers averaged 109.5 points per game vs the Clippers. On the other side, the Clippers saw an improvement in their scoring numbers when playing the Lakers, as they averaged 116.75 points per game in these matchups. Over the last 5 head to head meetings, the Clippers have averaged 114 points per game compared to 107 for the Lakers. This has led to an ATS record of 4-1 for Los Angeles. Over the course of these games, they averaged 221 points per game, leading a 3-2 over-under record.

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Analysis

Through 10 games, the Lakers are averaging 108.4 points per contest, placing them 26th in the NBA. Coming into today’s game, the Lakers will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 9.3 made 3’s per game. If the Los Angeles offense is going to turn things around, not only do they need to improve their outside shooting, but they must do a better job protecting the ball. Currently, they are averaging 14.8 turnovers per game.

Currently, the Lakers’ defense is ranked 28th in points allowed. So far, opposing teams are averaging 115.15 points per game vs. the unit.

Leading scorer LeBron James will need to be on top of his game vs. the Clippers, as they were on the NBA’s top teams at limiting the scoring of opposing small forwards.

This season, the Clippers’ offense has had problems scoring the ball as they are a below-average unit at 103.8 points per game. So far, the Clippers are averaging 97.9 possessions per game, which places them below the NBA average. Right now, the Clippers’ offense is in search of answers, as not only do they tend to play at a slow pace, but they are just 14th in effective field goal percentage.

So far, the Clippers have played well defensively, as they are ranked 11th in the league at 108.39 points per contest.

A key matchup to watch is if the team’s leading scorer Paul George, will be limited at all by the Lakers, who are on the NBA’s top teams at limiting the scoring of opposing small-forwards.

Betting Trends

  • Lakers are 9-20 ATS in their last 29 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.
  • Lakers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Clippers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a losing straight-up record.
  • Clippers are 3-7 ATS in their last ten games overall.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

I’m bucking the trends and backing the Lakers +4.5