Magic vs. Warriors Betting Odds, Trends, Predictions

by | Jan 7, 2023 | nba

Orlando Magic (14-25 SU, 20-18-1 ATS) vs. Golden State Warriors (20-19 SU, 18-20-1 ATS)
When: Saturday, January 7th, 8:30 PM (ET)
Where: Chase Center, CA, San Francisco
TV: NBCS

Point Spread: ORL +6.5/ GS -6.5
Total: 232.0
Money Line: Orlando Magic +213/ -261

Notable Injuries

Magic

  • Jonathan Isaac (Out) Knee
  • Chuma Okeke (Out) Knee
  • Bol Bol (Out) Health Protocols

Warriors

  • Stephen Curry (Out) Shoulder
  • Andre Iguodala (Probable) Hip
  • JaMychal Green (Out) Illness
  • Andrew Wiggins (Probable) Illness
  • James Wiseman (Out) Ankle
  • Jonathan Kuminga (Out) Foot

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Orlando is 14-25 overall. When taking to the road, Orlando has a mark of 4-13 and a win percentage of 24%. Currently, the team is 13th in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 20-18-1 vs. the spread. When looking at how the team has performed of late straight and vs. the spread, they are 1-4 in their past five games and 1-4 ATS. Over their past ten games, they are 5-5 SU and 6-4 ATS.

In their last outing, Orlando was unable to come away with a win against the Grizzlies, losing by a score of 123-115. Paolo Banchero led the team with 30 points, but it was not enough to overcome their status as 6-point underdogs. The Magic also ended up with an ATS loss in the game.

Heading into the game, Golden State is 20-19 overall. When playing at home, Golden State has a mark of 17-3 and a win percentage of 85%. Currently, the team is 6th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 18-20-1 vs. the spread. In Golden State’s last five games, the Warriors have a straight-up record of 4-1 while going 3-1-1 in those games. Going back to the last 10, they are 6-4 and 5-4-1 ATS.

Golden State most recently lost to the Pistons by a score of 122-119. The team high 30 points from Klay Thompson was not enough to come home with the win. The Warriors were 6-point favorites going into the game.

The Historicals

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Magic picked up the win 130-129 win over the Warriors. Heading into the game, Orlando was the 9.5-point underdogs, giving them an ATS win. This has been the only matchup between the two teams this season. Across the last five matchups between the teams, Orlando has gone 4-1 vs. the spread. However, the Warriors actually have a positive scoring margin in these games at +6 points per game. A combined average of 224 points per game was achieved in these matchups, leading to an over-under mark of 3-2.

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Analysis

Coming into the game, Orlando’s offense is ranked just 27th in scoring at 110.3 points per game. This has come while being the 19th-ranked unit in pace. So far, the Magic are averaging 98.7 possessions per contest. Orlando has struggled with their 3-point shot this season, as they are currently ranked just 21st in 3-point shooting percentage at 34.3%. In addition, they are near the bottom of the league in attempts, at just 31.0 attempts per contest. On defense, the Magic are allowing an average of 112.23 points per game, placing them 20th in the league. So far, teams have shot 36.62% on their looks from outside vs. Orlando. This figure places them 27th in 3-point shooting defense.

Coming into today’s game, Franz Wagner is the leading scorer for Orlando at 19.9 points per game. This season, Wagner has a field goal percentage of 48.2%. The team’s second-leading scorer is Paolo Banchero at 21.3 points per contest.

This season, Golden State is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 117.2 points per game. So far, the Warriors are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 102.3 possessions per game. Golden State’s offensive attack has benefited from some hot shooting from outside. Not only are they among the league leaders in 3-pointers attempted per game, but they are 7th in 3-point shooting percentage at 37.4%. Defensively, the Warriors have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 105.46 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 33.92%.

Heading into today’s game, Golden State will be needing a strong offensive effort from Jordan Poole, and the team’s supporting cast as Stephen Curry won’t be available vs. Orlando. So far, Curry is averaging 30.0 points per game. Poole is averaging 20.6 points per contest.

Betting Trends

  • The Magic are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.
  • The Magic are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 Saturday games.
  • The Warriors are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games vs. a team with a losing record.
  • The Warriors are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games overall.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Orlando Magic have gotten absolutely waxed in four of their last five games. The Warriors have put together a nice run in which the team has won five of its last six games. Between these teams matching up well and the fact that the Warriors aren’t beating opponents by many points, the Orlando Magic are a good bet Saturday night!