Mavericks vs. Jazz Picks & Predictions for Game 6

by | Apr 28, 2022 | nba

Dallas Mavericks (55-32 SU, 51-34-2 ATS) vs. Utah Jazz (51-36 SU, 34-50-3 ATS)
When: Thursday April 28 2022, 10:00 PM (ET)
Where: Vivint Smart Home Arena, Salt Lake City, Utah
TV: BSSW-DAL

Point Spread: DAL +0.5/UTA -0.5 (Opened UTA -1.5 at Everygame - Check out their 200% bonus on your $25 deposit!)
Total: 209 (Opened at 210.5)
Money Line: Dallas -112/Utah -108
Power Rating: UTA -2>br>

Probable Starting Lineups

Dallas Mavericks PG Luka Doncic, SG Jalen Brunson, SF Spencer Dinwiddie, PF Dorian Finney-Smith, C Dwight Powell
Utah Jazz PG Mike Conley Jr., SG Donovan Mitchell, SF Bojan Bogdanovic, PF Royce O’Neale, C Rudy Gobert

Key Injuries

Dallas Mavericks
Tim Hardaway Jr.: Foot (OUT)

Utah Jazz
Donovan Mitchell: Hamstring (PROBABLE)
Trent Forrest: Foot (QUESTIONABLE)
Udoka Azubuike: Ankle (OUT)

The Utah Jazz host the Dallas Mavericks in a Western-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 10:00 PM ET at the Vivint Smart Home Arena.

Recent Form

The Dallas Mavericks come into this game with an overall record of 52-30, placing them 4th in the Western Conference. So far, Dallas is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 24-19. Over their last five games, the Mavericks have played well, picking up 3 wins. In this stretch, Dallas’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 106.0 points per game. Combined, the Mavericks’ last five opponents are giving up 108.0 points per contest. Dallas comes into this game also playing well defensively, holding their opponents to just 100.0 points per game. An improvement on their season average of 104.4. In the Dallas Mavericks’ most recent game, Dallas took down Utah by a score of 102-77

The Utah Jazz come into this game with an overall record of 49-33, placing them 5th in the Western Conference. So far, Utah is above .500 at home, holding a record of 30-13. Over the Jazz’s last five games, they have picked up just 2 wins. In this stretch, Utah’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 100.0 points per game. Combined, the Jazz’s last five opponents are giving up 104.0 points per contest. In this recent cold stretch, the Jazz are allowing an average of 106.0 points per game, similar to their usual rate of 107.5. In the Utah Jazz’ most recent game, the team fell to Dallas by a score of 102-77.

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Individual Player Analysis

As Dallas travels to take on the Utah Jazz, the Mavericks’ leading scorer is Luka Doncic. Through 67 games, Doncic is averaging 28 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 42.0% of his games. Against the Jazz, Doncic will need to be on top of his game as Utah is allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their average in 39.0% of their games, placing them in the top 10. On the other side, Donovan Mitchell leads the Jazz in scoring, averaging 25 points across his 68 games. Throughout the season, Mitchell has outscored his season average in 59.0% of his outings. Given that Dallas’s defense has struggled to slow down their opponent’s top scorers, Donovan Mitchell should be in line for a big performance. So far, the Mavericks have allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 51.67% of their games, giving them a rank of 23rd among NBA defenses.

Matchup Analysis

The Jazz come into this game as the more efficient offensive team, averaging 112.6 points per 100 possessions. When playing as the superior offensive unit, Utah is winning at a rate of 71%. These wins are coming by an average margin of 17.0 points. On the other side, the Mavericks hold the advantage on the defensive end of the floor. So far, they have played 33 games as the better defensive team, picking up 18 wins.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Dallas Mavericks and Utah Jazz have met up for 9 games. In their last meeting, Dallas picked up a 102-77 win.

How the Public is Betting the Mavericks vs Jazz

67% are betting the Jazz against the spread.
52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 209

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Conference Quarterfinals games.
  • Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
  • Jazz are 17-8-2 ATS in their last 27 games playing on 2 days rest.
  • Jazz are 18-38-4 ATS in their last 60 games overall.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

The Dallas Mavericks travel to take on the Jazz, hoping to close out what has been a back and forth first-round series. In their last outing, the Mavericks played outstanding defense, holding Utah to below 20 points in 3 of the 4 quarters. Once again, Dallas’ perimeter defense caused problems for a Jazz unit that relies on their ability to knock down 3-point shots. With their strong defensive play, the Mavericks were able to pick up the decisive win, despite having a sub-standard shooting performance themselves. Look for Dallas to continue their strong play, picking up the win and covering the spread in Utah. Bet your Mavs vs. Jazz prediction and ALL your NBA playoffs bets for FREE by taking advantage of a 100% REAL CASH bonus on your first deposit up to $300 at MyBookie Sportsbook when you use bonus code PREDICT100 when registering for a new betting account!