Mavericks vs. Kings Betting Analysis & Spread Winner

by | Last updated Feb 11, 2023 | nba

Dallas Mavericks (31-26 SU, 22-33-2 ATS) vs. Sacramento Kings (31-24 SU, 28-26-1 ATS)

When: Saturday, February 11th, 10:00 PM (ET)

Where: Golden 1 Center, CA, Sacramento


Point Spread: Dal +2/Sac -2 (Deposit $100 and get $50 FREE at the web’s best bookie: Bovada!)

Total: 235.5

Money Line: Dallas Mavericks +109/-133

Notable Injuries


  • Davis Bertans (Out) Calf
  • Maxi Kleber (Out) Hamstring
  • Luka Doncic (Questionable) Heel


  • Malik Monk (Questionable) Ankle

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Dallas is 31-26 overall. When taking to the road, Dallas has a mark of 12-17 and a win percentage of 41%. Currently, the team is 4th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 22-33-2 vs. the spread. In their matchup against Sacramento, the Dallas Mavericks have won 3 straight games and will look to push that mark to 4 in a row.

In their upcoming game, Dallas will be looking to capitalize on their recent win over the Kings. Kyrie Irving led the way for the Mavericks with 25 points. Despite being 4-point underdogs on the spread, the Mavericks were able to secure an ATS win.

Heading into the game, Sacramento is 31-24 overall. When playing at home, Sacramento has a mark of 16-12 and a win percentage of 57%. Currently, the team is 3rd in the Western Conference. So far, they are 28-26-1 vs. the spread. In Sacramento’s last five games, the Kings have a straight-up record of 2-3 while going 1-4 in those games. Going back to the last 10, they are 5-5 and 4-6 ATS.

In their last game, Sacramento was defeated by the Mavericks with a score of 122-114. Despite De’Aaron Fox scoring 33 points, the team was unable to come out on top. Going into the game, the Kings were 4-point favorites.

The Historicals

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Mavericks picked up the win 122-114 win over the Kings. Heading into the game, Dallas was the 4.5-point underdogs, giving them an ATS win. This has been the only matchup between the two teams this season. Across the previous five meetings between the teams, the Mavericks have an average scoring margin of +6 points per game, leading to an ATS mark of 3-2. Over the course of these games, they averaged 212 points per game, leading a 2-3 over-under record.

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This season, Dallas is averaging just 112.7 points per game, which places them 23rd in the league. A major reason for these low numbers is the fact that they play at one of the slower paces in the NBA, at just 96.3 possessions per game. Dallas’ offensive attack has benefited from some hot shooting from outside. Not only are they among the league leaders in 3-pointers attempted per game, but they are 12th in 3-point shooting percentage at 36.4%. Defensively, the Mavericks have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 104.72 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 33.98%.

Heading into the game, Luka Doncic is listed as questionable on the injury report. This season, he leads the team with a per-game scoring average of 33.4. Currently, Kyrie Irving is 2nd on the team in scoring at 27.0 points per game.

This season, Sacramento is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 119.4 points per game. So far, the Kings are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 100.6 possessions per game. Sacramento’s offensive attack has benefited from some hot shooting from outside. Not only are they among the league leaders in 3-pointers attempted per game, but they are 9th in 3-point shooting percentage at 36.7%. The defense has been a struggle for Sacramento, as they currently allow 115.77 points per game. The team’s 3-point shooting defense has been a problem this year. So far, opposing offenses have hit 37.05% of their looks from the outside.

As the Kings prepare for today’s game, De’Aaron Fox is their leading scorer, averaging 24.4 points per game. This season, Fox has a field goal percentage of 50.6%. The team’s second-leading scorer is Domantas Sabonis, who is averaging 18.6 points per game.

Betting Trends

  • The Mavericks are 5-0 ATS in their last five after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • The Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following an ATS win.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Kings should be highly motivated Saturday night to even the score with the Mavs after a HORRENDOUS first quarter in which they were outscored by 20 points. Sacramento ended up getting their rhythm after the ugly quarter and actually outscored Dallas in each of the next three quarters. I’m stoked about only having to lay -1.5 with the Kings at Golden 1 Center Saturday night! Question: When you place your NBA wagers, are you laying -110 odds? There’s a 99% chance you are. Did you know that you can lay only -105? Imagine how many thousands of dollars you’d have saved over the last bunch of years had you been getting a 5% discount everytime you placed a bet? Stop wasting money, start saving TODAY by making the switch to BetAnySports! We’d advertised them since 2008 with ZERO complaints!