Mavericks vs. Suns Game Predictions

by | May 2, 2022 | nba

Dallas Mavericks (56-32 SU, 52-34-2 ATS) vs. Phoenix Suns (68-20 SU, 48-40-0 ATS)

When: Monday May 02 2022, 10:00 PM (ET)

Where: Footprint Center, Phoenix, Arizona

TV: TNT

Point Spread: DAL +5.5/PHX -5.5 (Opened PHX -6 at MyBookie - Sign up through our special link and use bonus code PREDICT100 and they’ll give you a special 100% real cash bonus up to $300!)

Total: 214.5 (Opened at 211.5)

Money Line: Dallas Mavericks 189/Phoenix Suns -234

Power Rating: PHX -5

Probable Starting Lineups

Dallas Mavericks PG Luka Doncic, SG Jalen Brunson, SF Reggie Bullock, PF Dorian Finney-Smith, C Dwight Powell

Phoenix Suns PG Chris Paul, SG Devin Booker, SF Mikal Bridges, PF Jae Crowder, C Deandre Ayton

Key Injuries

Dallas Mavericks
Tim Hardaway Jr.: Foot (OUT)

Phoenix Suns
Dario Saric: Knee (OUT)

The Phoenix Suns host the Dallas Mavericks in a Non-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 10:00 PM ET at the Footprint Center.

Recent Form

The Dallas Mavericks come into this game with an overall record of 52-30, placing them 4th in the Western Conference. So far, Dallas is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 25-19. Over their last five games, the Mavericks have played well, picking up 4 wins. In this stretch, Dallas’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 107.0 points per game. Combined, the Mavericks’ last five opponents are giving up 107.0 points per contest. Dallas comes into this game also playing well defensively, holding their opponents to just 99.0 points per game. An improvement on their season average of 104.3. In the Dallas Mavericks’ most recent game, Dallas took down Utah by a score of 98-96

The Phoenix Suns come into this game with an overall record of 64-18, placing them 1st in the Western Conference. So far, Phoenix is above .500 at home, holding a record of 34-10. The Suns have played well over their last five games, picking up 3 wins. In this stretch, Phoenix’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 112.0 points per game. Combined, the Suns’ last five opponents are giving up 110.0 points per contest. Even though the Suns have been adding to the win column, their opponents have had no trouble scoring the ball, averaging 112.0 points per game, up from Phoenix’s usual rate of 107.5. In the Phoenix Suns’ most recent game, Phoenix took down New Orleans by a score of 115-109.

Individual Player Analysis

As Dallas travels to take on the Phoenix Suns, the Mavericks’ leading scorer is Luka Doncic. Through 67 games, Doncic is averaging 28 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 42.0% of his games. As Doncic gets set to take on the Suns, he could be in line for a big game as Phoenix is allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 51.67% of their games. This figure places them 24th among NBA defenses. On the other side, Devin Booker leads the Suns in scoring, averaging 26 points across his 79 games. Throughout the season, Booker has outscored his season average in 48.0% of his outings. However, if he hopes to add to this total, Booker will need to do so against a Mavericks defense that has been tough on their opponent’s top scorers. So far, leading scores have surpassed their season average at a rate of just 47.62%. This figure is good for a rank of 10th in the league.

Matchup Analysis

Heading into this matchup, the Phoenix Suns are the more efficient team on both ends of the court. This scenario has taken place in 35 of Phoenix’s 80 games, leading to a winning percentage of 80%. So far, the Dallas Mavericks have played 6 games as the inferior offensive and defensive unit. In these instances, they have lost 6 times, by an average margin of -8.0 points.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Dallas Mavericks and Phoenix Suns have met up for 3 games. In their last meeting, Phoenix picked up a 109-101 win.

How the Public is Betting the Mavericks vs Suns

67% are betting the Suns against the spread.

52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 214.5

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Conference Semifinals games.
  • Mavericks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games.
  • Suns are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Suns are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

Heading into game 1 of this matchup between the Suns and Mavs, the big news is the return of Devin Booker from injury. After a brief moment of doubt in their series against New Orleans, the Suns went on to take down the Pelicans and now have their best player back for round 2. On the other side, the Mavericks will look to knock off the reigning Western Conference champs by picking up a road win in game 1. With the spread sitting 5.5 points in favor of the Suns, look for this to be a closer game than expected. I like Dallas’ strong defensive to keep them within reach and recommend taking them ATS. Question: Did you know that you could be betting on basketball games (and football too!) at -105 instead of -110? Why are you continuing to overpay for odds? Be wise and make the switch today to BAS Sportsbook! You’ll be so glad you did!