Miami Heat at Philadelphia 76ers Predictions 3/21/22

by | Mar 21, 2022 | nba

Miami Heat (47-24 SU, 40-30-1 ATS) vs. Philadelphia 76ers (43-27 SU, 34-35-1 ATS)
When: Monday March 21 2022, 07:00 PM (ET)
Where: Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
TV: BSSUN

Point Spread: MIA -1/PHI +1 (Opened PHX -10 at BetNow)
Total: 216.5 (Opened at 216.5)
Money Line: Miami Heat -117/Philadelphia 76ers -104
Power Rating: MIA -1

Probable Starting Lineups

Miami Heat PG Kyle Lowry, SG Duncan Robinson, SF Jimmy Butler Q, PF P.J. Tucker, C Bam Adebayo
Philadelphia 76ers PG James Harden, SG Tyrese Maxey, SF Matisse Thybulle, PF Tobias Harris, C Joel Embiid

Key Injuries

Miami Heat
Caleb Martin: Knee (QUESTIONABLE)
Gabe Vincent: Toe (OUT)
Victor Oladipo: Back (OUT)
Jimmy Butler: Ankle (QUESTIONABLE)

Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia has no reported injuries at this time.

The Philadelphia 76ers host the Miami Heat in an Eastern-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 07:00 PM ET at the Wells Fargo Center.

Recent Form

The Miami Heat come into this game with an overall record of 47-24, placing them 1st in the Eastern Conference. So far, Miami is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 21-15. Over their last five games, the Heat have played well, picking up 3 wins. In this stretch, Miami’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 107.0 points per game. Combined, the Heat’s last five opponents are giving up 109.0 points per contest. The Heat have been picking up wins, while holding opponents to an average of 107.0 points per game, similar to their season average of 104.8. In the Miami Heat’s most recent game, Miami took down the Okla City by a score of 120-108

The Philadelphia 76ers come into this game with an overall record of 43-27, placing them 3rd in the Eastern Conference. So far, Philadelphia is above .500 at home, holding a record of 20-16. The 76ers have played well over their last five games, picking up 3 wins. In this stretch, Philadelphia’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 109.0 points per game. Combined, the 76ers’ last five opponents are giving up 107.0 points per contest. The 76ers have been picking up victories while holding opponents to an average of 107.0 points per game, similar to their season average of 106.5. In the Philadelphia 76ers’ most recent game, the team fell to Toronto by a score of 93-88.

Individual Player Analysis

As Miami travels to take on the Philadelphia 76ers, the Heat’s leading scorer is Tyler Herro. Through 64 games, Herro is averaging 21 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 47.0% of his games. Against the 76ers, Herro will need to be on top of his game as Philadelphia is allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their average in 41.0% of their games, placing them in the top 10. On the other side, Joel Embiid leads the 76ers in scoring, averaging 29 points across his 59 games. Throughout the season, Embiid has outscored his season average in 58.0% of his outings. On the season, the Heat have allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 47.37% of their games, giving them a rank of 11th among NBA defenses.

Matchup Analysis

Heading into this matchup, the Miami Heat are the more efficient team on both ends of the court. This scenario has taken place in 21 of Miami’s 35 games, leading to a winning percentage of 67%. So far, the Philadelphia 76ers have played 40 games as the inferior offensive and defensive unit. In these instances, they have lost 40 times, by an average margin of -11.0 points.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Miami Heat and Philadelphia 76ers have met up for 3 games. In their last meeting, Miami picked up a 99-82 win.

How the Public is Betting the Heat vs 76ers

67% are betting the Heat against the spread.
52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 216.5

More NBA Picks: Get Joe’s Jazz vs. Nets 3/21/22 Point Spread Winner >>>

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Heat are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
  • Heat are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.
  • 76ers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • 76ers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

The Miami Heat and Philadelphia 76ers get set to square off in a battle of two of the top seeds in the Eastern Conference. The Heat come into this matchup having won two games in row. In addition, they are the more rested unit, having not played since Friday night vs OKC. On the other side, the 76ers are playing on back-to-back nights, coming off a disappointing loss to the Raptors. With spread sitting just one point in favor of Miami, look for the Heat to pull off the road win and cover the spread.