Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics Spread Bet for 10/27/23

Miami Heat (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS) vs. Boston Celtics (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS)

When: Friday, October 27th, 7:30 PM (ET)

Where: TD Garden, MA, Boston

TV: ESPN

Point Spread: Mia +8/Bos -8

Total: 217

Money Line: Miami Heat +261/-334

Notable Injuries

Heat

• Josh Richardson (Out) Foot
• Duncan Robinson (Probable) Foot
• Haywood Highsmith (Out) Knee
• Caleb Martin (Probable) Knee
• Jaime Jaquez Jr. (Probable) Groin

Celtics

Recent Form

Miami’s most recent game came against the Pistons, where they emerged victorious with a final score of 103-102. The total combined score of the game was 205, which fell short of the over under line of 217.5. Despite a spread of -10, the outcome resulted in a no cover.

Boston is coming off a 108-104 win over the Knicks. The total combined score for both teams amounted to 212, and although the Celtics were expected to win by 4.5 points, they failed to cover the spread.

The Historicals

In terms of betting, Miami has an ATS record of 3-2 in the previous 5 matchups vs Boston. This mark has come on an average scoring margin of +3 points per game in favor of the Heat. In these matchups, the teams have put together an over-under mark of 1-4. Combined, they averaged 209 points in these games.

Analysis

Miami’s leading scorer was Jimmy Butler, who scored a total of 19 points for the Miami Heat. Additionally, Bam Adebayo made 7 out of 13 field goal attempts in the game.

Defensively, the Heat recorded 11 steals and 32 defensive rebounds in their most recent game against the Pistons. They also allowed 102 points.

Boston’s leading scorer was Jayson Tatum, who shot 13/22 from the field and 3/8 from three-point range in the most recent game. Additionally, Kristaps Porzingis contributed 30 points and is the team’s second leading scorer.

On defense vs. the Knicks, the Boston Celtics recorded 6 steals and 39 defensive rebounds in their most recent game. They also allowed 104 points.

Betting Trends

• Across their last three road contests, Miami has a 2-1 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 1-2 while averaging 97 points per game.
• Across their three previous home games, Boston has an ATS mark of 1-2. Their straight up record in these matchups was 3-0 while averaging 109 points per game.
• In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Heat have a straight up record of 0-3 and an ATS mark of 1-2.
• In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Celtics have a straight up record of 2-1, while going 0-3 against the spread.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

Even though the Celtics didn’t cover in their opening game against the Knicks, I see them picking up the win and covering vs. the Heat today. The additions of Kristaps Porzingis and Jrue Holiday is going to make these Celtics fun to watch on a nightly basis. Even if Jayson Tatum or Jaylen Brown are struggling on a given night, Holiday and Porzingis are easily capable of picking up the slack offensively. I like Boston at -8.