Miami Heat vs. Brooklyn Nets Predictions 3/3/22

by | Mar 3, 2022 | nba

Miami Heat (41-22 SU, 36-26-1 ATS) vs. Brooklyn Nets (32-31 SU, 24-38-1 ATS)
When: Thursday March 03 2022, 07:30 PM (ET)
Where: Barclays Center, Brookyln, New York
TV: YES

Point Spread: MIA -3/BRO +3(Opened at MIA -3 BAS)
Total: 221.0 (Opened at 221.5)
Money Line: Miami Heat -160/Brooklyn Nets 135
Power Rating: MIA -5

Probable Starting Lineups

Miami Heat PG Gabe Vincent, SG Duncan Robinson, SF Jimmy Butler, PF P.J. Tucker, C Bam Adebayo

Brooklyn Nets PG Patty Mills, SG Seth Curry, SF Bruce Brown, PF Kevin Durant IN, C Andre Drummond P

Key Injuries

Heat
Kyle Lowry: personal (QUESTIONABLE) Markieff Morris: neck (OUT) Victor Oladipo: knee (OUT)

Nets
No Reported Injuries

The Brooklyn Nets host the Miami Heat in a Non-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 07:30 PM ET at the Barclays Center.

Recent Form

The Miami Heat come into this game with an overall record of 41-22, placing them 1st in the Eastern Conference. So far, Miami is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 20-15. Over their last five games, the Heat have played well, picking up 4 wins. During this stretch, Miami is averaging 118.0 points per game, 8.0 points more than their season average of 109.6. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 111.0 points per contest. Even though Miami has been picking up wins, their opponents have had no trouble scoring the ball, averaging 111.0 points per game, up from the Heat’s usual rate of 104.9. In the Miami Heat’s most recent game, the team fell to Milwaukee by a score of 120-119.

The Brooklyn Nets come into this game with an overall record of 32-31, placing them 8th in the Eastern Conference. Throughout the season, Brooklyn has struggled in their 30 home contests, sitting at 13-17. Over the Nets’ last five games, they have picked up just 1 win. In this stretch, Brooklyn’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 108.0 points per game. Combined, the Nets’ last five opponents are giving up 108.0 points per contest. A key reason for the Nets’ recent struggles is a defensive unit giving up 122.0 points over their last five contests. This figure is up from their season average of 111.6. In the Brooklyn Nets’ most recent game, the team fell to Toronto by a score of 109-108.

Individual Player Analysis

As Miami travels to take on the Brooklyn Nets, the Heat’ leading scorer is Jimmy Butler. Through 43 games, Butler is averaging 21 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 49.0% of his games. So far, the Nets are allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 50.0% of their games, placing them 16th among NBA defenses. On the other side, Kevin Durant leads the Nets in scoring, averaging 29 points across his 36 games. Throughout the season, Durant has outscored his season average in 42.0% of his outings. However, if he hopes to add to this total, Durant will need to do so against a Heat defense that has been tough on their opponent’s top scorers. So far, leading scores have surpassed their season average at a rate of just 44.23%. This figure is good for a rank of 7th in the league.

Matchup Analysis

Heading into this matchup, the Miami Heat are the more efficient team on both ends of the court. This scenario has taken place in 21 of Miami’s 33 games, leading to a winning percentage of 62%. So far, the Brooklyn Nets have played 47 games as the inferior offensive and defensive unit. In these instances, they have lost 47 times, by an average margin of -13.0 points.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Miami Heat and Brooklyn Nets have met up for 2 games. In their last meeting, Miami picked up a 115-111 win.

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How the Public is Betting the Heat vs Nets

51% are betting the Nets against the spread.
52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 221

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Heat are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
  • Heat are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.
  • Nets are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.
  • Nets are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

The Miami Heat come into this matchup in the unenviable position of having to play on the road in back-to-back nights. Last night, the Heat fell to Milwaukee in a game they appeared to have wrapped up going down the stretch. To make matters worse, they are facing a Nets unit looking forward to the return of Kevin Durant. Look for Brooklyn to come out energized by the return of their leader and best player. I am taking the Nets to cover the spread at home. Bet your Mem/Bos pick and ALL your NBA bets for FREE this weekend by taking advantage of a 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $1000 at Betnow Sportsbook!