Milwaukee Bucks vs. Golden State Warriors Predictions 3/12/22

by | Last updated Mar 12, 2022 | nba

Milwaukee Bucks (42-25 SU, 31-36-0 ATS) vs. Golden State Warriors (45-22 SU, 33-30-4 ATS)
When: Saturday March 12 2022, 08:30 PM (ET)
Where: Chase Center, San Francisco, California

Point Spread: MIL -1/GSW +1 (Opened GSW +1 at BetOnline)
Total: 232.5 (Opened at 1)
Money Line: Milwaukee -116/Golden State -104
Power Rating: MIL -3

Probable Starting Lineups

Milwaukee Bucks PG Jrue Holiday, SG Grayson Allen, SF Khris Middleton, PF Giannis Antetokounmpo, C Bobby Portis

Golden State Warriors PG Stephen Curry, SG Moses Moody, SF Klay Thompson, PF Andrew Wiggins, C Kevon Looney

Key Injuries

Milwaukee Bucks
George Hill: Neck (OUT)
Pat Connaughton: Finger (OUT)
Lindell Wigginton: Ankle (QUESTIONABLE)
Brook Lopez: Back (OUT)

Golden State Warriors
Gary Payton II: Knee (PROBABLE)
Otto Porter Jr.: Illness (OUT)
Draymond Green: Calf (OUT)
Andre Iguodala: Back (OUT)

The Golden State Warriors host the Milwaukee Bucks in a Non-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 08:30 PM ET at the Chase Center.

Recent Form

The Milwaukee Bucks come into this game with an overall record of 42-25, placing them 2nd in the Eastern Conference. So far, Milwaukee is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 18-13. Over their last five games, the Bucks have played well, picking up 5 wins. During this stretch, Milwaukee is averaging 127.0 points per game, 12.0 points more than their season average of 114.6. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 109.0 points per contest. Even though Milwaukee has been picking up wins, their opponents have had no trouble scoring the ball, averaging 117.0 points per game, up from the Bucks’ usual rate of 110.5. In the Milwaukee Bucks’ most recent game, Milwaukee took down Atlanta by a score of 124-115

The Golden State Warriors come into this game with an overall record of 45-22, placing them 3rd in the Western Conference. So far, Golden State is above .500 at home, holding a record of 27-7. Over the Warriors’ last five games, they have picked up just 2 wins. During this stretch, Golden State is averaging 116.0 points per game, 5.0 points more than their season average of 111.2. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 108.0 points per contest. A key reason for the Warriors’ recent struggles is a defensive unit giving up 115.0 points over their last five contests. This figure is up from their season average of 104.9. In the Golden State Warriors’ most recent game, Golden State took down Denver by a score of 113-102.

Reduced Juice Sportsbook

BAS Sportsbook
BET AT -105

Individual Player Analysis

As Milwaukee travels to take on the Golden State Warriors, the Bucks’ leading scorer is Giannis Antetokounmpo. Through 56 games, Antetokounmpo is averaging 29 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 46.0% of his games. So far, the Warriors are allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 49.02% of their games, placing them 15th among NBA defenses. On the other side, Stephen Curry leads the Warriors in scoring, averaging 25 points across his 61 games. Throughout the season, Curry has outscored his season average in 44.0% of his outings. On the season, the Bucks have allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 46.55% of their games, giving them a rank of 12th among NBA defenses.

Matchup Analysis

The Bucks come into this game as the more efficient offensive team, averaging 111.3 points per 100 possessions. When playing as the superior offensive unit, Milwaukee is winning at a rate of 62%. These victories are coming by an average margin of 15.0 points. On the other side, the Warriors hold the advantage on the defensive end of the floor. So far, they have played 34 games as the better defensive team, picking up 27 wins (79%).

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Milwaukee Bucks and Golden State Warriors have met up for one game. Milwaukee took game one by a score of 118-99.

How the Public is Betting the Bucks vs Warriors

67% are betting the Bucks against the spread.

52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 231.5

More Picks: Get Joe’s Cavs at Bulls Predicted Point Spread Winner

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Bucks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
  • Bucks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Warriors are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
  • Warriors are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

The Golden State Warriors come into this matchup, appearing to have gotten things back on track after a stretch of games that saw them slip to 3rd in the Western Conference. The Warriors will take on the Bucks with a little momentum, having rattled off two straight wins. However, in terms of momentum, no team is hot as the Bucks, who have won 6 straight games. This winning streak is even more impressive as a majority of these contests came against teams near the top of their respective conferences. Look for the Bucks to continue this streak as they take down the Warriors and cover the spread. Note: With March Madness coming, you can surely use a bankroll booster! Check out our list of the best sportsbook bonuses on the web!