Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Miami Heat Predictions 3/12/22

by | Mar 12, 2022 | nba

Minnesota Timberwolves (38-30 SU, 36-30-2 ATS) vs. Miami Heat (45-23 SU, 40-27-1 ATS)

When: Saturday March 12 2022, 08:00 PM (ET)

Where: FTX Arena, Miami, Florida

TV: BSN

Point Spread: MIN +6/MIA -6 (Opened MIA -5 at BetNow - Offers a 100% real cash bonus up to 1K!)

Total: 226 (Opened at 224.5)

Money Line: Minnesota Timberwolves 192/Miami Heat -234

Power Rating: MIA -6

Probable Starting Lineups

Minnesota Timberwolves PG Patrick Beverley Q, SG D’Angelo Russell, SF Anthony Edwards, PF Jarred Vanderbilt, C Karl-Anthony Towns

Miami Heat PG Kyle Lowry, SG Duncan Robinson, SF Jimmy Butler, PF P.J. Tucker, C Bam Adebayo

Key Injuries

Minnesota Timberwolves
Patrick Beverley: Ear (QUESTIONABLE)
Jordan McLaughlin: Groin (QUESTIONABLE)
McKinley Wright IV: Elbow (OUT)

Miami Heat
Caleb Martin: Knee (QUESTIONABLE)
Markieff Morris: Neck (OUT)

The Miami Heat host the Minnesota Timberwolves in a Non-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 08:00 PM ET at the FTX Arena.

Recent Form

The Minnesota Timberwolves come into this game with an overall record of 38-30, placing them 7th in the Western Conference. Throughout the season, Minnesota has struggled in their 34 road contests, sitting at 16-18. Over their last five games, the Timberwolves have played well, picking up 4 wins. During this stretch, Minnesota is averaging 128.0 points per game, 13.0 points more than their season average of 114.6. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 112.0 points per contest. Minnesota comes into this game also playing well defensively, holding their opponents to just 105.0 points per game. An improvement on their season average of 111.7. In the Minnesota Timberwolves’ most recent game, the team fell to Orlando by a score of 118-110.

The Miami Heat come into this game with an overall record of 45-23, placing them 1st in the Eastern Conference. So far, Miami is above .500 at home, holding a record of 24-8. The Heat have played well over their last five games, picking up 4 wins. In this stretch, Miami’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 108.0 points per game. Combined, the Heat’s last five opponents are giving up 109.0 points per contest. The Heat have been picking up victories while holding opponents to an average of 102.0 points per game, similar to their season average of 104.7. In the Miami Heat’s most recent game, Miami took down Cleveland by a score of 117-105.

Individual Player Analysis

As Minnesota travels to take on the Miami Heat, the Timberwolves leading scorer is Karl-Anthony Towns. Through 61 games, Towns is averaging 24 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 49.0% of his games. Against the Heat, Towns will need to be on top of his game as Miami is allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their average in 28.0% of their games, placing them in the top 10. On the other side, Jimmy Butler leads the Heat in scoring, averaging 21 points across his 46 games. Throughout the season, Butler has outscored his season average in 46.0% of his outings. On the season, the Timberwolves have allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 47.27% of their games, giving them a rank of 13th among NBA defenses.

Matchup Analysis

The Heat come into this game as the more efficient offensive team, averaging 109.5 points per 100 possessions. When playing as the superior offensive unit, Miami is winning at a rate of 77%. These wins are coming by an average margin of 12.0 points. On the other side, the Timberwolves hold the advantage on the defensive end of the floor. So far, they have played 21 games as the better defensive team, picking up 13 wins.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Minnesota Timberwolves and Miami Heat have met up for 1 game. Minnesota took game one by a score of 113-101.

How the Public is Betting the Timberwolves vs Heat

67% are betting the Heat against the spread.

52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 225.0

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Timberwolves are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
  • Timberwolves are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
  • Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Heat are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

Both the Minnesota Timberwolves and Minnesota Heat come into this matchup, having played just last night. Minnesota won’t have far to travel, as they were playing in Orlando. However, they are coming off a disappointing loss to the Magic, as the team is looking to make a push into the Western Conference playoffs. Things won’t get any easier, as they are playing a Heat unit that just took down the Cavaliers and are hoping to strengthen their grip on the Eastern Conference’s top seed. Even with being favored in a majority of their games, the Heat have been excellent vs. the spread. Look for this to continue as they pick up the ATS win over Minnesota. Bet your NBA predictions for FREE this week by taking advantage of a 100% real cash bonus from one of the top tier bookies on our sportsbook bonus page!