Monday NBA Picks: Lakers vs. 76ers Point Spread Prediction

by | Last updated Nov 27, 2023 | nba

Los Angeles Lakers (10-7 SU, 7-10 ATS) vs. Philadelphia 76ers (11-5 SU, 11-5 ATS)

When: Monday, November 27th, 7:00 PM (ET)

Where: Wells Fargo Center, PA, Philadelphia

TV: NBCS

Point Spread: LAL +5/Phi -5

Total: 231.5

Money Line: Los Angeles Lakers +172/-210

Notable Injuries

Lakers

  • Anthony Davis (Probable) Hip
  • LeBron James (Questionable) Calf
  • Jarred Vanderbilt (Out) Heel
  • Gabe Vincent (Out) Knee
  • Rui Hachimura (Out) Nose
  • Cam Reddish (Questionable) Groin

76ers

  • Kelly Oubre Jr. (Out) Ribs
  • Danuel House Jr. (Questionable) Quadriceps
  • Jaden Springer (Questionable) Illness

Recent Form

In today’s game against the 76ers, the Lakers aim to continue their success with a record above .500, currently at 10-7. At this time, the team’s rank is 7th in the Western Conference, and they are also 3rd in the Pacific division.

The 76ers will face the Lakers, bringing in an overall record of 11-5 and a 0-3 record over their previous three games. During their 16 games, the 76ers have gone 8-4 against teams in the Eastern Conference and 3-1 in non-conference matchups.

The Historicals

Across the previous 5 meetings between the teams, the 76ers have an average scoring margin of +9 points per game, leading to an ATS mark of 3-2. Los Angeles and Philadelphia averaged a combined 225 points per game in these games, leading to an over-under mark of 2-3.

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Analysis

The Lakers offense is coming off a game where they scored 121 points against the Cavaliers. They posted a field goal percentage of 52.2% and connected on 9 threes. The team’s top scorer is LeBron James, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 25.5, while Anthony Davis also maintains a PPG average of 22.1 leading up to the game.

At present, the Lakers’ defense is ranked 11th, allowing 112.2 points per game.

Los Angeles’ defense is currently forcing 14.7 turnovers per game, which is 24th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 5th in blocked shots, with an average of 6.1 rejections per game.

In their latest game, Philadelphia’s offense looked good, scoring 127 points against the Thunder. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 45.8% and made 37/45 free throws. The top scorer for the 76ers was Joel Embiid with 35 points, while Tyrese Maxey also added 28 to the scoreboard.

So far, the 76ers’ defense is ranked 15th in the league at 112.9 points per contest.

The 76ers defense is coming off a game in which they held the Thunder offense to just 45.8% shooting. Overall, they gave up 123 points to Oklahoma City.

Betting Trends

  • Across their ten previous road games, Los Angeles has an ATS mark of 6-4. Their straight-up record in these matchups was 3-7 while averaging 111 points per game.
  • In their last ten games at home, the 76ers have a straight-up record of 6-4 while going 6-4 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 110 points per game in these contests.
  • Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Lakers have a straight-up record of 2-3. Their record vs. the spread in these games was 3-2.
  • Through their last three games as the favorite, the 76ers have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight-up mark of 2-1.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

Even if both Anthony Davis and Lebron James are able to play for the Lakers, I like the Sixers as -5 point favorites at home. Look for Embiid to get Davis into foul trouble early and for Philadelphia to coast to a win and cover.