NBA Best Bet: Suns vs. Warriors 3/30/22

by | Mar 30, 2022 | nba

Phoenix Suns (61-14 SU, 42-33-0 ATS) vs. Golden State Warriors (48-28 SU, 36-36-4 ATS)

When: Wednesday March 30 2022, 10:00 PM (ET)

Where: Chase Center, San Francisco, California

TV: BSAZ

Point Spread: PHX -6/GSW +6 (Opened PHX -5.5 at Everygame - Check out their 200% bonus on your $25 deposit!)

Total: 225 (Opened at 224)

Money Line: Phoenix Suns -238/Golden State Warriors 194

Power Rating: PHX -6

Probable Starting Lineups

Phoenix Suns PG Chris Paul, SG Devin Booker, SF Mikal Bridges, PF Jae Crowder, C Deandre Ayton

Golden State Warriors PG Jordan Poole, SG Klay Thompson Off Inj, SF Andrew Wiggins, PF Otto Porter Off Inj, C Draymond Green Off Inj

Key Injuries

Phoenix Suns
JaVale McGee: Illness (OUT)
Cameron Johnson: Quadricep (OUT)
Frank Kaminsky: Knee (OUT)
Gabriel Lundberg: Personal (OUT)
Dario Saric: Knee (OUT)

Golden State Warriors
Andre Iguodala: Back (PROBABLE)
Quinndary Weatherspoon: Ankle (QUESTIONABLE)
James Wiseman: Knee (OUT)
Stephen Curry: Foot (OUT)

The Golden State Warriors host the Phoenix Suns in a Western-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 10:00 PM ET at the Chase Center.

Recent Form

The Phoenix Suns come into this game with an overall record of 61-14, placing them 1st in the Western Conference. So far, Phoenix is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 30-6. Over their last five games, the Suns have played well, picking up 5 wins. During this stretch, Phoenix is averaging 127.0 points per game, 12.0 points more than their season average of 115.3. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 111.0 points per contest. Even though Phoenix has been picking up wins, their opponents have had no trouble scoring the ball, averaging 115.0 points per game, up from the Suns’ usual rate of 106.9. In the Phoenix Suns’ most recent game, Phoenix took down Philadelphia by a score of 114-104

The Golden State Warriors come into this game with an overall record of 48-28, placing them 3rd in the Western Conference. So far, Golden State is above .500 at home, holding a record of 29-9. Over the Warriors’ last five games, they have picked up just 1 win. In this stretch, Golden State’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 106.0 points per game. Combined, the Warriors’ last five opponents are giving up 110.0 points per contest. A key reason for the Warriors’ recent struggles is a defensive unit giving up 113.0 points over their last five contests. This figure is up from their season average of 105.7. In the Golden State Warriors’ most recent game, the team fell to Memphis by a score of 123-95.

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Individual Player Analysis

As Phoenix travels to take on the Golden State Warriors, the Suns’ leading scorer is Devin Booker. Through 72 games, Booker is averaging 26 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 49.0% of his games. As Booker gets set to take on the Warriors, he could be in line for a big game as Golden State is allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 51.79% of their games. This figure places them 23rd among NBA defenses. On the other side, the Warriors will be looking for Klay Thompson to carry the team’s scoring load. On the season, the Suns have allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 50.82% of their games, giving them a rank of 19th among NBA defenses.

Matchup Analysis

The Suns come into this game as the more efficient offensive team, averaging 112.2 points per 100 possessions. When playing as the superior offensive unit, Phoenix is winning at a rate of 85%. These victories are coming by an average margin of 13.0 points. On the other side, the Warriors hold the advantage on the defensive end of the floor. So far, they have played 37 games as the better defensive team, picking up 29 wins (78%).

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Phoenix Suns and Golden State Warriors have met up for 3 games. In their last meeting, Golden State picked up a 116-107 win.

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How the Public is Betting the Suns vs Warriors

67% are betting the against the spread.

52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 224.5

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record
  • Suns are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
  • Warriors are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
  • Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

Heading into tonight’s Western Conference showdown, the Phoenix Suns square off with the Golden State Warriors. For much of the season, these two team’s held down the 1 and 2 seeds in the West. However, Golden State’s injury situation and inconsistent play have them seeded 3rd in the West. Going down the stretch, the Warriors will need to find a way to pick up wins as they are in danger of being caught by Dallas. Look for the Suns to pick up the road win and cover the 6.5 point spread. Be sure to check out the rest of my Wednesday NBA picks!