NBA Betting Preview: Pelicans at Clippers Pick – Nov 24

by | Last updated Nov 24, 2023 | nba

New Orleans Pelicans (8-7 SU, 9-6 ATS) vs. Los Angeles Clippers (6-7 SU, 5-8 ATS)

When: Friday, November 24th, 10:30 PM (ET)

Where: Crypto.com Arena, CA, Los Angeles

TV: BSSC

Point Spread: NO +5.5/LAL -5.5

Total: 224

Money Line: New Orleans Pelicans +186/-226

Notable Injuries

Pelicans

  • CJ McCollum (Out) Lung
  • Trey Murphy III (Out) Knee
  • Matt Ryan (Out) Calf

Clippers

  • Mason Plumlee (Out) Knee
  • Norman Powell (Questionable) Groin
  • Brandon Boston Jr. (Out) Quadriceps

Recent Form

Today’s matchup sees the Pelicans seeking to extend their current two-game winning streak, with an overall record standing at 8-7. At the moment, the team holds 9th place in the Western Conference and 3rd place in the Southwest division.

Over the Clippers’ last five games, they are 4-1 and come in with an overall record of 6-7. Throughout their 13 games, the Clippers have posted a 5-5 record against Western Conference opponents while going 1-2 in non-conference matchups.

The Historicals

Over the last five head to head meetings, the Pelicans have averaged 114 points per game compared to 107 for Los Angeles. This has led to an ATS record of 4-1 for New Orleans. New Orleans and Los Angeles averaged a combined 221 points per game in these games, leading to an over-under mark of 2-3.

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Analysis

The Pelicans offense is coming off a game where they scored 117 points against the Kings. They posted a field goal percentage of 47.1% and connected on seven threes. Leading the Pelicans in scoring vs. the Kings was Zion Williamson with his 25 points. Brandon Ingram also added 23 points for the Pelicans.

At present, the Pelicans’ defense is ranked 16th, allowing 113.9 points per game.

Inside the arc, the Pelicans defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 57.6% and 31.8% from three-point territory.

In their most recent game, the Clippers’ offense concluded with only 109 points against the Spurs. Throughout the game, they made 9/28 three-point attempts and had a field goal percentage of 45.9%. The team’s scoring leader is Paul George, who holds an average of 24.8 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Kawhi Leonard is averaging 21.4 points per game this season.

In the current season, the Clippers defense has excelled, sitting 8th in the NBA by allowing 109.1 points per game.

Most recently, the Clippers’ defense put together a solid performance, giving up just 102 points to the Spurs.

Betting Trends

  • Although New Orleans has a straight-up record of 5-5 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 5-5. The team averaged 111 points per game in these games.
  • The Clippers are 2-1 ATS in their last three home games and 2-1 straight-up.
  • As the betting underdog, the Pelicans have an ATS record of 3-0 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight-up record was 2-1.
  • Through their last three matchups as the betting favorite, the Clippers have a good straight-up record, but their ATS mark is just 1-2.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

After struggling to start the James Harden era in LA, the Clippers have picked up three straight wins. Even though two of these three wins came against the Spurs, you can only play who is on your schedule. Favored by 5.5, I like the Clippers to cover at home.