Nets vs. Heat Prediction ATS

by | Mar 26, 2022 | nba

Brooklyn Nets (38-35 SU, 29-42-2 ATS) vs. Miami Heat (47-27 SU, 40-33-1 ATS)

When: Saturday March 26 2022, 08:00 PM (ET)

Where: FTX Arena, Miami, Florida

TV: YES

Point Spread: BRO -3.5/MIA +3.5 (Opened BRK -3.5 at BetOnline - Home of the fastest BTC payouts on the web!)

Total: 228 (Opened at 2.5)

Money Line: Brooklyn Nets -157/Miami Heat 132

Power Rating: BRO -4

Probable Starting Lineups

Brooklyn Nets PG Kyrie Irving, SG Seth Curry P, SF Bruce Brown, PF Kevin Durant, C Andre Drummond

Miami Heat PG Kyle Lowry, SG Duncan Robinson, SF Jimmy Butler, PF P.J. Tucker, C Bam Adebayo

Key Injuries

Brooklyn Nets
Goran Dragic: Knee (PROBABLE)
Seth Curry: Ankle (PROBABLE)
Ben Simmons: Back (OUT)
David Duke Jr.: Ankle (OUT)
LaMarcus Aldridge: Hip (OUT)
Joe Harris: Ankle (OUT)

Miami Heat
Gabe Vincent: Toe (QUESTIONABLE)
Tyler Herro: Knee (QUESTIONABLE)

The Miami Heat host the Brooklyn Nets in a Non-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 08:00 PM ET at the FTX Arena.

Recent Form

The Brooklyn Nets come into this game with an overall record of 38-35, placing them 8th in the Eastern Conference. So far, Brooklyn is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 22-16. Over their last five games, the Nets have played well, picking up 3 wins. During this stretch, Brooklyn is averaging 125.0 points per game, 13.0 points more than their season average of 112.2. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 110.0 points per contest. Even though Brooklyn has been picking up wins, their opponents have had no trouble scoring the ball, averaging 116.0 points per game, up from the Nets’ usual rate of 112.0. In the Brooklyn Nets’ most recent game, the team fell to Memphis by a score of 132-120.

The Miami Heat come into this game with an overall record of 47-27, placing them 1st in the Eastern Conference. So far, Miami is above .500 at home, holding a record of 26-11. Over the Heat’s last five games, they have picked up just 2 wins. In this stretch, Miami’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 108.0 points per game. Combined, the Heat’s last five opponents are giving up 108.0 points per contest. A key reason for the Heat’s recent struggles is a defensive unit giving up 110.0 points over their last five contests. This figure is up from their season average of 105.2. In the Miami Heat’s most recent game, the team fell to New York by a score of 111-103.

Reduced Juice Sportsbook

BAS Sportsbook
BET AT -105
 
 

Individual Player Analysis

As Brooklyn travels to take on the Miami Heat, the Nets’ leading scorer is Kevin Durant. Through 46 games, Durant is averaging 29 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 46.0% of his games. As Durant gets set to take on the Heat, he could be in line for a big game as Miami is allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 56.45% of their games. This figure places them 27th among NBA defenses. On the other side, Jimmy Butler leads the Heat in scoring, averaging 21 points across his 51 games. Throughout the season, Butler has outscored his season average in 47.0% of his outings. However, if he hopes to add to this total, Butler will need to do so against a Nets defense that has been tough on their opponent’s top scorers. So far, leading scores have surpassed their season average at a rate of just 36.54%. This figure is good for a rank of 1st in the league.

Matchup Analysis

Heading into this matchup, the Miami Heat are the more efficient team on both ends of the court. This scenario has taken place in 23 of Miami’s 73 games, leading to a winning percentage of 83%. So far, the Brooklyn Nets have played 10 games as the inferior offensive and defensive unit. In these instances, they have lost 10 times, by an average margin of -14.0 points.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Brooklyn Nets and Miami Heat have met up for 3 games. In their last meeting, Miami picked up a 113-107 win.

How the Public is Betting the Nets vs Heat

67% are betting the Nets against the spread.

52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 227.0

More Picks: Milwaukee at Memphis Point Spread Prediction 3/26/22 >>>

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Nets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
  • Nets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
  • Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog.
  • Heat are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games as an underdog.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

Heading into this game, the Miami Heat are trending in the wrong direction, having dropped three straight games. This includes going just 5-5 over their last 10. On the other side, the Nets are now feeling pressure from the Hornets and Hawks, who are each trying to catch Brooklyn for the 8th seed and get home-court advantage in the play-in tournament. Look for Miami’s woes to continue as the Nets. Bet your Saturday NBA and March Madness picks for FREE by taking advantage of a 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $1000 at Betnow!