Nuggets vs. Lakers Game 3 Player Prop Pick

by | Last updated May 20, 2023 | nba

Denver Nuggets (53-29 SU, 51-43-1 ATS) vs. Los Angeles Lakers (43-39 SU, 50-44-3 ATS)
When: Saturday, May 20th, 8:30 PM (ET)
Where: Crypto.com Arena, CA, Los Angeles
TV: ABC

Point Spread: Den +5.5/LAL -5.5
Total: 223
Money Line: Denver Nuggets +190/-233

Notable Injuries

Nuggets

    Lakers

    • Anthony Davis (Probable) Foot
    • LeBron James (Probable) Ankle
    • Mo Bamba (Out) Ankle

    Recent Form

    Heading into the game, Denver is 53-29 overall. When taking to the road, Denver has a mark of 19-22 and a win percentage of 46%. Currently, the team is 1st in the Western Conference. So far, they are 51-43-1 vs. the spread. In their matchup against Los Angeles, the Denver Nuggets have won 4 straight games and will look to push that mark to 5 in a row.

    The Nuggets from Denver triumphed in their last match against the Lakers, achieving a 108-103 victory. Jamal Murray had the most points for the Nuggets with 37. Despite the win, the Nuggets did not cover the spread as 5-point favorites.

    Heading into the game, Los Angeles is 43-39 overall. When playing at home, Los Angeles has a mark of 23-18 and a win percentage of 56%. Currently, the team is 7th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 50-44-3 vs. the spread. The Lakers need a win in today’s matchup vs. Denver to avoid their 3rd straight loss.

    In their most recent matchup, the Nuggets defeated Los Angeles with a score of 108-103. Austin Reaves scored the most points for the team with 22, but it was not enough to earn the win. The Lakers were 5 points ahead going into the game.

    The Historicals

    In the most recent game between the two teams, the Nuggets picked up a 108-103 win over the Lakers. However, heading into the game, Denver was favored to win by 5.5 points, giving the Lakers an ATS victory. So far this season, the Nuggets have a record of 4-2 vs the Lakers. Los Angeles has the ATS edge in this span at 4-0-1. Over the course of these games, they averaged 233 points per game, leading a 2-3 over-under record.

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    Analysis

    This year, Denver is averaging 115.8 points per game. Their strong production has come despite being one of the slower-paced teams in the NBA at just 97.9 possessions per game. Denver is currently ranked 4th in 3-point shooting percentage at 37.9% on an average of 31.2 attempts per contest. On defense, the Nuggets are allowing an average of 110.41 points per game, placing them 14th in the league. So far, they have done a good job defending the 3-point arc, as teams are hitting just 34.42% of their looks from deep.

    Nikola Jokic is the top scorer for the Nuggets, with an average of 24.5 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 63.2%. Jamal Murray is the team’s second-leading scorer, averaging 20.0 points per game.

    This season, Los Angeles is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 117.2 points per game. So far, the Lakers are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 101.8 possessions per game. Los Angeles has hit 34.6% of their looks from outside this year. In addition, they are near the bottom of the league in attempts, at just 31.2 attempts per contest. Defense has been a struggle for Los Angeles, as they are currently allowing 115.15 points per game. In terms of their 3-point defense, opposing teams have hit 35.38% of their looks from deep, placing the Lakers 18th in the NBA.

    LeBron James is the top scorer for the Lakers, with an average of 28.9 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 50.0%. Anthony Davis is the team’s second leading scorer, averaging 25.9 points per game.

    Betting Trends

    • Nuggets are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
    • Nuggets are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 Conference Finals games.
    • Lakers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 Conference Finals games.
    • Lakers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

    Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

    We’re going right back to the well from Game 1 and betting Austin Reaves again to go OVER 24.5 points, rebounds and assists!

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