Nuggets vs. Lakers Game 4 Free Pick

by | Last updated May 22, 2023 | nba

Denver Nuggets (53-29 SU, 52-43-1 ATS) vs. Los Angeles Lakers (43-39 SU, 50-45-3 ATS)
When: Monday, May 22nd, 8:30 PM (ET)
Where: Arena, CA, Los Angeles

Point Spread: Den +3/LAL -3 (Why bet games at -110 odds when you could be laying only -105 at BAS?)
Total: 224.5
Money Line: Denver Nuggets +131/-156

Notable Injuries



    • Anthony Davis (Probable) Foot
    • LeBron James (Probable) Ankle
    • Mo Bamba (Probable) Ankle

    Recent Form

    Heading into the game, Denver is 53-29 overall. When taking to the road, Denver has a mark of 19-22 and a win percentage of 46%. Currently, the team is 1st in the Western Conference. So far, they are 52-43-1 vs the spread. In their matchup against Los Angeles, the Denver Nuggets have won 5 straight games and will look to push that mark to 6 in a row.

    In their upcoming game, Denver will be looking to capitalize on their recent win over the Lakers. Jamal Murray led the way for the Nuggets with 37 points. Despite being 6-point underdogs on the spread, the Nuggets were able to secure an ATS win.

    Heading into the game, Los Angeles is 43-39 overall. When playing at home, Los Angeles has a mark of 23-18 and a win percentage of 56%. Currently, the team is 7th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 50-45-3 vs. the spread. The Lakers need a win in today’s matchup vs Denver to avoid their 4th straight loss.

    Los Angeles most recently lost to the Nuggets by a score of 119-108. The team high 28 points from Anthony Davis was not enough to come home with the win. The Lakers were 6-point favorites going into the game.

    The Historicals

    In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Nuggets picked up the win 119-108 win over the Lakers. Heading into the game, Denver was the 6.0-point underdogs, giving them an ATS win. So far this season, the Nuggets have a record of 5-2 vs the Lakers. In terms of betting vs. the spread, the Lakers have gone 3-1-1, but the Nuggets actually have a positive scoring differential. In these meetings, Denver has averaged 117 points per contest while allowing 114. In these contests, they averaged a combined 231 points per game, leading to an over-under mark of 2-3.


    This year, Denver is averaging 115.8 points per game. Their strong production has come despite being one of the slower-paced teams in the NBA at just 97.9 possessions per game. Denver comes in with a three-point field goal percentage of 37.9% on an average of 31.2 attempts per contest. On defense, the Nuggets are allowing 110.41 points per game, placing them 14th in the league. So far, they have done a good job defending the 3-point arc, as teams are hitting just 34.42% of their looks from deep.

    Going into today’s game, Nikola Jokic is the leading scorer for the Denver team, with an average of 24.5 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 63.2%. The team’s second top scorer is Jamal Murray, who is averaging 20.0 points per game.

    This season, Los Angeles is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 117.2 points per game. So far, the Lakers are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 101.8 possessions per game. Los Angeles has struggled with their 3-point shot this season with a 3-point shooting percentage of 34.6%. The team’s defense is allowing 115.15 points per game. In terms of their 3-point defense, opposing teams have hit 35.38% of their looks from deep, placing the Lakers 18th in the NBA.

    As the Lakers prepare for today’s game, LeBron James is their leading scorer with an average of 28.9 points per game. This season, James has a field goal percentage of 50.0%. The team’s second-leading scorer is Anthony Davis, who is averaging 25.9 points per game.

    Betting Trends

    • The Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
    • The Nuggets are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
    • The Lakers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.
    • The Lakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.

    Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

    I like player prop bet Rui Hachimura to go OVER 13.5 points. His minutes have increased in every game of this series and he’s a chucker on offense, shooting the ball nearly ever time he touches it. I’ve got him scoring 18+ points tonight! Bet the rest of your NBA picks or FREE by scoring a 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $300 at a sportsbook that can/will get your credit card to work for deposits! —> MyBookie Sportsbook (Must use bonus code PREDICT100)