Nuggets vs. Sixers Predictions 3/14/22

by | Mar 14, 2022 | nba

Denver Nuggets (40-28 SU, 31-37-0 ATS) vs. Philadelphia 76ers (41-25 SU, 33-33-0 ATS)
When: Monday March 14 2022, 07:30 PM (ET)
Where: Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
TV: ALT

Point Spread: DEN +2.5/PHI -2.5 (Opened PHI -6 at MyBookie)
Total: 220.5 (Opened at 221.5)
Money Line: Denver Nuggets 119/Philadelphia 76ers -143
Power Rating: PHI -2

Probable Starting Lineups

Denver Nuggets PG Monte Morris, SG Will Barton, SF Aaron Gordon Q, PF Jeff Green, C Nikola Jokic
Philadelphia 76ers PG James Harden Q, SG Tyrese Maxey, SF Matisse Thybulle, PF Tobias Harris, C Joel Embiid Q

Key Injuries

Denver Nuggets Zeke Nnaji: Knee (QUESTIONABLE) Aaron Gordon: Foot (QUESTIONABLE) Michael Porter Jr.: Back (OUT) Jamal Murray: Knee (OUT) Vlatko Cancar: Foot (OUT)

Philadelphia 76ers Danny Green: Finger (OUT)

The Philadelphia 76ers host the Denver Nuggets in a Non-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 07:30 PM ET at the Wells Fargo Center.

Recent Form

The Denver Nuggets come into this game with an overall record of 40-28, placing them 6th in the Western Conference. So far, Denver is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 20-15. Over their last five games, the Nuggets have played well, picking up 3 wins. During this stretch, Denver is averaging 118.0 points per game, 7.0 points more than their season average of 111.1. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 109.0 points per contest. Even though Denver has been picking up wins, their opponents have had no trouble scoring the ball, averaging 119.0 points per game, up from the Nuggets’ usual rate of 108.5. In the Denver Nuggets’ most recent game, the team fell to Toronto by a score of 127-115.

The Philadelphia 76ers come into this game with an overall record of 41-25, placing them 2nd in the Eastern Conference. So far, Philadelphia is above .500 at home, holding a record of 19-14. The 76ers have played well over their last five games, picking up 3 wins. In this stretch, Philadelphia’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 109.0 points per game. Combined, the 76ers’ last five opponents are giving up 109.0 points per contest. Even though the 76ers have been adding to the win column, their opponents have had no trouble scoring the ball, averaging 113.0 points per game, up from Philadelphia’s usual rate of 106.5. In the Philadelphia 76ers’ most recent game, Philadelphia took down Orlando by a score of 116-114.

Individual Player Analysis

As Denver travels to take on the Philadelphia 76ers, the Nuggets’ leading scorer is Nikola Jokic. Through 59 games, Jokic is averaging 26 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 42.0% of his games. So far, the 76ers are allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 47.06% of their games, placing them 13rd among NBA defenses. On the other side, Joel Embiid leads the 76ers in scoring, averaging 29 points across his 51 games. Throughout the season, Embiid has outscored his season average in 55.0% of his outings. However, if he hopes to add to this total, Embiid will need to do so against a Nuggets defense that has been tough on their opponent’s top scorers. So far, leading scores have surpassed their season average at a rate of just 38.89%. This figure is good for a rank of 4th in the league.

Matchup Analysis

The Nuggets come into this game as the more efficient offensive team, averaging 110.1 points per 100 possessions. When playing as the superior offensive unit, Denver is winning at a rate of 65%. These victories are coming by an average margin of 9.0 points. On the other side, the 76ers hold the advantage on the defensive end of the floor. So far, they have played 21 games as the better defensive team, picking up 14 wins (67%).

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Denver Nuggets and Philadelphia 76ers have met up for 1 game. Philadelphia took game one by a score of 103-89.

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How the Public is Betting the Nuggets vs 76ers

67% are betting the Nuggets against the spread.
52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 221.5

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
  • Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • 76ers are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS loss.
  • 76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

Tonight’s matchup between the Nuggets and 76ers, features two of the top teams in their respective conferences. However, each team will be looking for better performances than their last outings as Denver fell to Toronto at home, and Philly nearly lost to the lowly Magic. In a battle of two of the NBA’s leading MVP candidates, I like the Nuggets to pick up the win and cover the spread.