Pacers vs Hawks Jan 12: Expert Picks and Predictions for Tonight’s Showdown

by | Last updated Jan 12, 2024 | nba

Indiana Pacers (22-15 SU, 21-16 ATS) vs. Atlanta Hawks (15-21 SU, 9-27 ATS)

When: Friday, January 12th, 7:30 PM (ET)

Where: State Farm Arena, GA, Atlanta

TV: Peac

Point Spread: Ind +5.5/Atl -5.5 (Stop overpaying for odds! You only have to lay -105 at BAS!)

Total: 252.5

Money Line: Indiana Pacers +178/-216

Notable Injuries

Pacers

  • Jalen Smith (Questionable) Back
  • Tyrese Haliburton (Out) Hamstring
  • Aaron Nesmith (Questionable) Shin
  • Jarace Walker (Out) Illness

Hawks

  • Clint Capela (Probable) Achilles
  • Wesley Matthews (Out) Calf
  • Trae Young (Probable) Shoulder
  • De’Andre Hunter (Out) Knee
  • Garrison Mathews (Out) Ankle
  • Vít Krejčí (Out) Shoulder
  • Mouhamed Gueye (Out) Back

The Pacers are 4th in the Eastern Conference and 2nd in the Central Division. They have a record of 22-15 and are on a two-game win streak. The Hawks are 11th in the Eastern Conference and 3rd in the Southeast Division. Their record is 15-21.

The Hawks are favored by 5.5 points, and the over/under is 252.5. This Eastern Conference matchup is scheduled to start at 7:30 ET. The game will be played at State Farm Arena in Atlanta and will be shown on Peac.

Recent Form

Indiana comes into today’s game vs. Atlanta with a 22-15 overall record, putting them 4th in the Eastern Conference. In non-conference games, they are 3-4 compared to 19-11 against other Eastern Conference teams.

As the underdog, Indiana has gone 11-8 straight-up this season, and they have an average scoring differential of -4.1 points per game. Against the spread, they are 11-8 as the underdog.

The Pacers have won two straight games, and they were also able to pick up an ATS win in their last game. They were favored by 8.5 points vs. Washington, and they won the game by a score of 112-104.

On the road, Indiana has an average scoring differential of -2.8 points per game, and they are 9-7 straight-up. Their average scoring differential at home is +7.0 points per game, and they are 13-8 at home.

For the season, Indiana has been the underdog in 19 of their 37 games, and their O/U record for the season is 25-12. The over/under has gone under in three straight road games for the Pacers.

The O/U line for today’s game is set at 252.5, and Indiana has played in 30 games with lower O/U lines this season. Their games have averaged 250.4 points per game this year.

At 15-21, the Hawks are 11th in the Eastern Conference. In non-conference games, they are 5-4 compared to 10-17 against other teams in the East.

When playing at home, the Hawks are 6-9 straight up and 3-12 against the spread. They have won two straight games at home and are favored by 5.5 points today.

Against the spread, the Hawks are 9-27 for the season, and they have gone 4-14 ATS as the favorite. As the underdog, they are 5-13 straight up and 5-13 ATS. Their ATS record at home is 3-12, but they have covered the spread in two straight games at home.

In their last game, the Hawks were 1-point favorites and picked up a 139-132 win over the 76ers. The teams combined for 271 points, surpassing the O/U line of 246.5.

For the season, the Hawks’ games have averaged 246.6 points per game, and their O/U record is 22-14. In 32 of their 36 games, the O/U line has been lower than 252.5.

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The Historicals

The ATS record across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings is 4-1 in favor of the Pacers. In these matchups, Indiana has averaged 135 points per game while allowing 127. Over the course of these games, they averaged 262 points per game, leading a 4-1 over-under record.

Analysis

Indiana comes into the game as the NBA’s top-scoring team at 126.6 points per game. They have also been the league’s most efficient two-point shooting team, hitting 59% of their attempts. Overall, the Pacers are shooting 50% from the field (2nd in the NBA).

When it comes to three-point shooting, Indiana has been solid, hitting 38% of their attempts (6th). They have made an average of 14.5 threes per game, which is 5th in the league.

On the road, the Pacers are averaging 125.3 points per game this season. So far, they have outscored the NBA scoring average in 78.4% of their games.

Currently, the Pacers’ defense holds the 28th rank in the NBA, allowing 123.8 points per game. In terms of two-point field goal attempts, the Pacer’s defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 56.0% while allowing 37.5% from downtown.

So far this season, the Hawks have been an offensive juggernaut, averaging 122.7 points per game, which is 4th in the NBA. At home, they have been even better, scoring 125.9 points per game.

When it comes to pace, Atlanta is 5th in the league at 101.7 possessions per game. They have also been one of the top teams in terms of getting to the free-throw line, ranking 5th in attempts.

In terms of three-point shooting, the Hawks have attempted the 6th most threes in the NBA but have only hit 36% of their attempts, which is 16th in the league. Overall, they are 17th in field goal percentage.

Looking at the Hawks’s defense; they will be looking for a better performance considering they are currently conceding 124.0 points per game (29th). Opponents are hitting 58.0% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 38.7% of their three-point attempts.

Betting Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Indiana has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 115 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
  • In their last three games at home, the Hawks have a straight-up record of 1-2 while going 0-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 118 points per game in these contests.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Pacers have a strong straight-up record of 4-1. In addition, their ATS record was 4-1 in these scenarios.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Hawks have a straight-up record of 6-4. Their record vs the spread in these games was 3-7.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Pacers have been a tough team to predict this season, as they are capable of beating the best teams in the league, but on any given night, they could lose to anyone. Even without Tyrese Haliburton, I like them to cover the spread vs. Atlanta tonight. Did you know that 20 point NBA teasers exist? Find them at Wagerweb Sportsbook!