Pacers vs. Hornets Betting Odds, Trends, Prediction ATS

by | Last updated Nov 16, 2022 | nba

Indiana Pacers (6-6 SU, 8-4-0 ATS) vs. Charlotte Hornets (4-11 SU, 6-8-1 ATS)
When: Wednesday, November 16th, 7:00 PM (ET)
Where: Spectrum Center, NC, Charlotte
TV: BSSE

Point Spread: IND +3/ CHA -3
Total: 232.0
Money Line: Indiana Pacers +115/ -138

Notable Injuries

Pacers

  • Daniel Theis (Out) Rest
  • Tyrese Haliburton (Questionable) Ankle
  • Chris Duarte (Out) Ankle

Hornets

  • Gordon Hayward (Out) Shoulder
  • Dennis Smith Jr. (Doubtful) Ankle
  • Cody Martin (Out) Knee

Recent Form

The Pacers come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 6-6. So far, the team has gone 8-4-0 against the spread. In the team’s past 3 games, their overall mark sits at 2-1. Indiana is 3-0 vs the spread in these matchups.

The Pacers will look to keep things rolling, as they previously beat the Raptors by a score of 118-104. Heading into the game, they were 2 point favorites on the spread, giving them an ATS win. Indiana put together a strong second-half performance, as, after two quarters, they trailed the Raptors by 13 points. Leading the team in scoring was Buddy Hield, as he contributed 22 points while hitting 53.3% of his shots.

The Hornets come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 4-11. So far, the team has gone 6-8-1 against the spread. Against the spread, Charlotte has a mark of 2-1. Straight up, their record is 1-2 in these games.

In their previous game, the Hornets took down the Magic by a score of 112-105. Not only did they come away with a straight-up win, but they also covered the spread as 1 point favorites. Charlotte benefited from holding a substantial first-half lead, as the Magic actually outscored the Hornets in the second half. Leading the team in scoring was Mason Plumlee, as he contributed 18 points while hitting 88.9% of his shots.

The Historicals

Last season, the Hornets finished with the leg up in their head-to-head games vs Indiana, going 4-0. When they played the Pacers at home, they posted a mark of 2-0. In last year’s head-to-head meetings, the Pacers averaged 118.5 points per game vs Charlotte, which was an increase over their season-long average. On the other side, the Hornets also experienced an uptick in scoring during head-to-head matchups, averaging 129.5 points per game vs Indiana. Across the previous 5 meetings between the teams, the Hornets have an average scoring margin of +4 points per game, leading to an ATS mark of 4-1. In these matchups, the teams have put together an over-under mark of 4-1. Combined, they averaged 250 points in these games.

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Analysis

The Indiana offense will take the floor in today’s game with the league’s 4th-ranked offense at 117.3 points per game. So far, Indiana is averaging 101.5 possessions per game, making them one of the more up-tempo teams in the league. A key aspect of the team’s offensive success is their ability to pair an up-tempo style of play with efficient outside shooting. So far, they are the 5th ranked team in 3-point shooting percentage.

Currently, the Pacers defense is ranked 26th in points allowed. So far, opposing teams are averaging 114.94 points per game vs the unit.

One situation to keep an eye on leading up to the game is the availability of Tyrese Haliburton, as he is currently questionable on the injury report. If he is able to play, the team will have its 1-2 punch available as Haliburton leads the team in scoring at 20.5 points per game, while Mathurin is 2nd at 19.92. For the season, Haliburton is 106th in the NBA in usage rate and 26th in player efficiency. Behind him, Mathurin has taken 14.7% of the team’s field goal attempts, connecting at a rate of 45.6%.

Through 15 games, the Hornets are averaging 108.9 points per contest, placing them 25th in the NBA. In terms of pace, the Hornets are on the top units in the NBA, averaging 100.8 possessions per game. Despite this up-tempo style of basketball, the unit is still a below-average group in made fields goals per contest, averaging just 16th made shots per game.

Against the Pacers, the Hornets will need a stronger defensive effort as they are ranked just 25th in points allowed.

On offense, Kelly Oubre Jr. leads the Pacers in scoring at 18.33 points per game, placing him 59th in the NBA. Overall, Oubre Jr. has hit 41.0% of his shots while accounting for 17.8% of the team’s looks from the field. In today’s game, he will be working against a defensive unit that is 18th in points allowed to shooting guards. At 14.53 points per game, P.J. Washington is the 2nd leading scorer for the Pacers. For the season, he is 289th in the league in player efficiency rating.

More Picks: Knicks at Nuggets 11/16/22 betting analysis & pick ATS

Betting Trends

  • Knicks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Knicks are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
  • Nuggets are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Knicks are playing inspired basketball and today’s line of +9 looks like an easy bet, but anybody who has bet on the NBA for any amount of years knows that nothing comes easy in this sport. If you look at the Knicks schedule, they rarely put to good games together in a row, and more importantly, they’re on a back-to-back with travel, with the second leg being at altitude. I’m forecasting that they stick close until halftime and then get smoked in the second half. I’m laying the points with the Denver Nuggets at -4.5!

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Betting Trends

  • Pacers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
  • Pacers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Hornets are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 Wednesday games.
  • Hornets are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Indiana Pacers are starting to get hot, winners of three of their last four games and five of their last seven. I think the win the game straight up tonight!