Philadelphia 76ers at Denver Nuggets Predictions 11/18/21

by | Nov 18, 2021 | nba

Philadelphia 76ers (8-7 SU, 7-8 ATS) vs. Denver Nuggets (9-5 SU, 7-7 ATS)

When: Thursday November 18 2021, 09:00 PM (ET)

Where: Pepsi Center: Denver, Colorado

TV: NBCSP+

Point Spread: PHI 8.0/DEN -8.0 (Opened at DEN -8 at Betnow: Home of the 100% REAL CASH bonus up to $1000!)

Total: 209.5 (Opened at 210)

Money Line: Philadelphia 270/Denver -340

Power Rating: DEN -10

Probable Starting Lineups

76ers: PG Tyrese Maxey, SG Seth Curry, SF Shake Milton, PF Tobias Harris, C Andre Drummond

Nuggets: PG Monte Morris, SG Austin Rivers, SF Aaron Gordon, PF Jeff Green, C Nikola Jokic

Key Injuries

76ers
Joel Embiid: illness (OUT) Danny Green: hamstring (OUT) Aaron Henry: illness (QUESTIONABLE) Grant Riller: knee (OUT) Ben Simmons: holdout (OUT) Matisse Thybulle: illness (OUT)

Nuggets
Will Barton: back (DOUBTFUL) Vlatko Cancar: hip (PROBABLE) Jamal Murray: knee (OUT) Zeke Nnaji: ankle (OUT) Michael Porter Jr.: back (OUT)

Recent Form

The Philadelphia 76ers enter today’s game, having lost five straight games. As of late, Philly has really struggled to pick up wins, having won just five of their past ten games. As the road team, the 76ers travel to Denver with a negative plus-minus of rating -0.1 points. Overall the 76ers are ranked 10th among NBA teams in point differential (5.9). Among NBA teams, they have played the 18th toughest schedule.

For bettors, taking the Philadelphia 76ers to cover the spread has been a losing bet as they are covering the spread in 46.70% of their games. Their season-long plus-minus against the spread is 1.1.

On offense, the team’s leading scorer is PG Tyrese Maxey. So far, Maxey is averaging 17.47 points per game. This output places him 14th in his position group.

The 76ers’ best three-point shooter has been Seth Curry, who has connected on 2.36 shots from downtown per game. Andre Drummond has been in charge of cleaning up the glass, hauling in 11.14 boards per game.

The Denver Nuggets enter today’s game, winning seven of their past ten games. When playing at home, the Nuggets are an above .500 team, having gone 7-1. This has come while playing the 13th toughest schedule.
As they get set to host the 76ers, Denver has a positive home plus-minus of 10.5 points. Overall the Nuggets are ranked 7th among NBA teams in point differential (3.7).

For bettors, taking the Denver Nuggets to cover the spread has yet to pay off as they are covering in 50% of their games. Their season-long plus-minus against the spread is 3.5.

On offense, the team’s leading scorer is C Nikola Jokic. So far, Jokic is averaging 26.08 points per game. Jokic is also the team’s top rebounder, averaging 13.85 rebounds per game.

The Nuggets’ best three-point shooter has been Will Barton, connecting on 2.42 shots from downtown per game.

An Eye On Pace

In this game, both teams prefer to play at a pace below the league average. This is especially true for the Nuggets, who, on average, when playing other slow-paced teams, bring down the possessions per game by 5. Denver goes on to win these contests at a rate of 76%.

Key Matchups

The most important matchup in this game is how Philadelphia will hold up against a Nuggets offense among the most efficient in the NBA. Even when playing good defenses, Denver averages 8 points per possession above the league average. When the 76ers take on quality offensive teams, they win at a rate of 43%. On average, they have a margin of victory of +1 per game.

The Historicals

These two teams met up for two non-conference games last year, with Philly winning the series 2-0. Between the two contests, Milwaukee outscored the Lakers by a score of 219 to 198.

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How the Public is Betting the Warriors vs. Nets

74% are betting the Nuggets against the spread.

54% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 208.5.

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • 76ers are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • 76ers are 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall.
  • Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games.
  • Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.

Joe’s Pick To Cover The Spread

In this game, I recommend taking the Nuggets to cover the spread of 7.5 points. Without Joel Embiid, the 76ers have remained competitive but have faltered when facing good competition. Tobias Harris and Tyrese Maxey often end up in isolation situations, which has led to poor shot selection and offensive inefficiency. Embiid was also a defensive anchor, helping to limit opposing centers. Look for Nikola Jokic to have a big game with Embiid’s absence.

Prop Bets Worth Wagering

My best prop bet of the night is to take Nikola Jokic to go over his point total. Without Joel Embiid, the primary defensive duties fall on Andre Drummond. Although Drummond can play a physical defense style, Jokic’s game is too versatile to be slowed down by the 76ers big man. Question: Did you know that you could be laying -105 odds on your games instead of -110? Take a second to pencil it out! You’d save HUNDRED (if not thousands) of dollars in unecessarily risked funds! Be smart! Make the switch TODAY to BetAnySports!