Phoenix Suns at Denver Nuggets Prediction ATS

by | Mar 24, 2022 | nba

Phoenix Suns (59-14 SU, 40-33-0 ATS) vs. Denver Nuggets (43-30 SU, 34-39-0 ATS)

When: Thursday March 24 2022, 09:00 PM (ET)

Where: Ball Arena, Denver, Colorado

TV: BSAZ

Point Spread: PHX +4/DEN -4 (Opened DEN -3.5 at BetOnline - Fastest BTC payouts on the web! Usually under 1 hour!)

Total: 231.5 (Opened at 231.5)

Money Line: Phoenix Suns 136/Denver Nuggets -163

Power Rating: DEN -2

Probable Starting Lineups

Phoenix Suns PG Chris Paul Q, SG Devin Booker, SF Mikal Bridges, PF Jae Crowder, C Deandre Ayton

Denver Nuggets PG Monte Morris, SG Will Barton, SF Aaron Gordon, PF Jeff Green, C Nikola Jokic

Key Injuries

Phoenix Suns
Chris Paul: Thumb (OUT)
Frank Kaminsky: Knee (OUT)
Gabriel Lundberg: Personal (OUT)
Cameron Johnson: Quadricep (OUT)
Dario Saric: Knee (OUT)

Denver Nuggets
Michael Porter Jr.: Back (OUT)
Vlatko Cancar: Foot (OUT)
Zeke Nnaji: Knee (OUT)

The Denver Nuggets host the Phoenix Suns in a Western-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 09:00 PM ET at the Ball Arena.

Recent Form

The Phoenix Suns come into this game with an overall record of 59-14, placing them 1st in the Western Conference. So far, Phoenix is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 29-6. Over their last five games, the Suns have played well, picking up 5 wins. During this stretch, Phoenix is averaging 128.0 points per game, 13.0 points more than their season average of 115.0. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 113.0 points per contest. Even though Phoenix has been picking up wins, their opponents have had no trouble scoring the ball, averaging 114.0 points per game, up from the Suns’ usual rate of 106.6. In the Phoenix Suns’ most recent game, Phoenix took down Minnesota by a score of 125-116

The Denver Nuggets come into this game with an overall record of 43-30, placing them 6th in the Western Conference. So far, Denver is above .500 at home, holding a record of 21-14. The Nuggets have played well over their last five games, picking up 3 wins. During this stretch, Denver is averaging 118.0 points per game, 6.0 points more than their season average of 111.5. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 107.0 points per contest. Even though the Nuggets have been adding to the win column, their opponents have had no trouble scoring the ball, averaging 115.0 points per game, up from Denver’s usual rate of 109.0. In the Denver Nuggets’ most recent game, Denver took down the LA Clippers by a score of 127-115.

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Individual Player Analysis

As Phoenix travels to take on the Denver Nuggets, the Suns’ leading scorer is Devin Booker. Through 69 games, Booker is averaging 26 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 46.0% of his games. Against the Nuggets, Booker will need to be on top of his game as Denver is allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their average in 41.0% of their games, placing them in the top 10. On the other side, Nikola Jokic leads the Nuggets in scoring, averaging 26 points across his 66 games. Throughout the season, Jokic has outscored his season average in 41.0% of his outings. On the season, the Suns have allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 47.54% of their games, giving them a rank of 15th among NBA defenses.

Matchup Analysis

Heading into this matchup, the Phoenix Suns are the more efficient team on both ends of the court. This scenario has taken place in 30 of Phoenix’s 34 games, leading to a winning percentage of 90%. So far, the Denver Nuggets have played 37 games as the inferior offensive and defensive unit. In these instances, they have lost 37 times, by an average margin of -13.0 points.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Phoenix Suns and Denver Nuggets have met up for 2 games. In their last meeting, Phoenix picked up a 126-97 win.

How the Public is Betting the Suns vs Nuggets

67% are betting the Suns against the spread.

52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 231.0

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Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Suns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Suns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
  • Nuggets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite.
  • Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

Heading into this matchup, not only does Denver have the advantage of playing at home, but they are also the more rested team. As part of their road trip, just last night, the Suns took down the streaking Minnesota Timberwolves. Given that they already have the number one seed locked up look for Phoenix to be careful with their key players when playing on back-to-back nights. I like the Nuggets to cover this spread at home. Bet your Suns/Nuggets pick and ALL your NBA bets this week for FREE by taking advantage of a 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $1000 at Betnow Sportsbook!