Phoenix Suns at Milwaukee Bucks Game 3 Picks
Phoenix Suns at Milwaukee Bucks, Game 3, NBA Finals, 7/10/21
When: 8 pm ET Sunday, July 11
Where: Fiserv Forum
Point spread: Phx +4/Mil -4
After taking the first two games of this NBA Finals at home, the Phoenix Suns go for the throat when the teams meet for Game 3 Sunday night in Milwaukee. Phoenix is outplaying the Bucks so far, even while Milwaukee star Giannis Antetokounmpo plays admirably through a sore knee. Unfortunately, he’s not getting much help from his teammates. Can the Suns go up 3-0? Can the Bucks avoid a 3-0 hole? Here’s how we homeworked this Game 3 with our free NBA Finals betting pick.
NBA Finals Game 3 Betting OddsThe NBA playoffs betting market opened Milwaukee as a 3.5-point favorite for Game 3, with an over/under of right around 222. Early betting action then bumped the Bucks to -4. Those bettors out there just looking to bet the winner of this game outright could find Milwaukee at -180 on the Game 3 money line at BetOnline while Phoenix was getting +168 at Bookmaker.
NBA Finals Game 3 Betting PreviewPhoenix leads this series two games to none after taking Game 2 Thursday night 118-108. The Suns trailed Milwaukee 21-12 early but came back to lead 56-45 at the half. Phoenix then spurted to a 65-50 advantage early in the third quarter, let the Bucks get within 93-88 with just under nine minutes to go but closed things out from there for the win and the cover as 4.5-point favorites. Also, Game 2 played over a total of 221 thanks to some meaningless points in the last 30 seconds. On the night, the Suns shot 49 percent from the field and hit 20/40 from 3-point land, while defensively, they let Antetokounmpo get his – 42 points – but shut down everybody else. Bucks players other than the Freak combined to shoot just 27/71 from the floor. With Thursday’s win/cover, Phoenix is now 14-4 SU, 13-5 ATS this postseason. With Thursday’s loss, Milwaukee is now 12-7 SU, 10-9 ATS this postseason. The big question heading into this series was the health of Bucks F Giannis Antetokounmpo, who was dealing with a tweaked knee. He’s played both games so far, tossing in 62 total points, but it hasn’t done the Bucks any good. Giannis isn’t listed on the Game 3 injury report, but we seriously doubt he’s playing at anywhere near 100 percent. Including the regular season, the Bucks are now 50-27 SU, 35-42 ATS with Antetokounmpo, 8-6 SU, 7-7 ATS without him. Phoenix played five games better than Milwaukee during the regular season, 51-21 to 46-26, and swept the season series from the Bucks two games to none. So on the season, the Suns are now 4-0 both SU and ATS against Milwaukee.
Bucks-Suns NBA Betting Trends
- The Suns are 6-2, both SU and ATS on the road this postseason.
- The Bucks are 7-1 SU, 5-3 ATS at home this postseason.
- The Suns are 4-2 ATS as underdogs this postseason.
- Home teams are 45-36 SU, 40-40 ATS this NBA postseason.
- Favorites are 50-31 SU, 45-35 ATS this NBA postseason.