Pistons vs. Raptors Point Spread, Analysis, Free Pick

by | Last updated Mar 24, 2023 | nba

Detroit Pistons (16-57 SU, 31-41-1 ATS) vs. Toronto Raptors (35-38 SU, 36-36-1 ATS)

When: Friday, March 24th, 7:30 PM (ET)

Where: Scotiabank Arena, ON, Toronto

TV: BSDE

Point Spread: Det +12.5/Tor -12.5

Total: 226.5

Money Line: Motor City +555/Tor -818

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Notable Injuries

Pistons

  • Bojan Bogdanovic (Out) Achilles
  • Alec Burks (Out) Foot
  • Rodney McGruder (Out) Illness
  • Hamidou Diallo (Out) Ankle
  • Isaiah Stewart (Out) Hip
  • Cade Cunningham (Out) Shin
  • Isaiah Livers (Probable) Hip

Raptors

  • Otto Porter Jr. (Out) Foot
  • Gary Trent Jr. (Questionable) Elbow
  • Precious Achiuwa (Questionable) Hamstring
  • Scottie Barnes (Questionable) Wrist
  • Joe Wieskamp (Questionable) Hamstring
  • Dalano Banton (Out) Thumb

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Detroit is 16-57 overall. When taking to the road, Detroit has a mark of 7-28 and a win percentage of 20%. Currently, the team is 15th in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 31-41-1 vs. the spread. Detroit travels to take on the Raptors, hoping to avoid their 5th straight loss.

Most recently, Detroit lost to the Hawks by a score of 129-107. Marvin Bagley III and his 31 points were not enough for the team to pull out a win as 13-point underdogs. The Pistons also finished with an ATS loss in the game.

Heading into the game, Toronto is 35-38 overall. When playing at home, Toronto has a mark of 23-14 and a win percentage of 62%. Currently, the team is 9th in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 36-36-1 vs. the spread. The Raptors need a win in today’s matchup vs. Detroit to avoid their 3rd straight loss.

In their most recent matchup, the Pacers defeated Toronto with a score of 118-114. Pascal Siakam scored the most points for the team with 31, but it was not enough to earn the win. The Raptors were 9 points ahead going into the game.

The Historicals

In the most recent game between the two teams, the Raptors picked up a 115-111 win over the Pistons. However, heading into the game, Toronto was favored to win by 5.0 points, giving the Pistons and ATS victory. So far this season, the Raptors have a record of 3-0 vs. the Pistons. When looking at how these teams have performed against the spread in recent matchups, the Pistons hold the edge at 5-0. However, the average scoring margin in these matchups has been tight, sitting at just 2 points per game. Over the course of these games, they averaged 210 points per game, leading a 2-3 over-under record.

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Analysis

Coming into the game, Detroit’s offense is ranked just 28th in scoring at 110.8 points per game. This has come while being the 13th-ranked unit in pace. So far, the Pistons are averaging 99.4 possessions per contest. Detroit’s 3-point shooting numbers are below the league average, as they have hit just 35.1% of their looks from deep. On average, the team gets up 32.7 3-point shots per game, placing them 18th in the NBA. The team’s 3-point shooting defense has been a problem this year. So far, opposing offenses have hit 36.41% of their looks from the outside.

A major injury to note for today’s game is that Detroit will not have Bojan Bogdanovic available, as he is already listed as out on the injury report. Jaden Ivey will take on the role of the primary scorer for the team. This season, Ivey is averaging 15.4 points per game for the Pistons.

This season, Toronto averages just 112.9 points per game, which places them 22nd in the league. A major reason for these low numbers is the fact that they play at one of the slower paces in the NBA at just 97.4 possessions per game. Toronto has struggled with their 3-point shot this season, as they are currently ranked just 28th in 3-point shooting percentage at 33.8%. In addition, they are near the bottom of the league in attempts, at just 32.0 attempts per contest. Defensively, the Raptors have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 107.1 points per game. So far, they have allowed a 3-point shooting percentage of 35.34%, placing them 17th in the NBA.

As the Raptors prepare for today’s game, Pascal Siakam is their leading scorer with an average of 24.2 points per game. This season, Siakam has a field goal percentage of 47.4%. The team’s second-leading scorer is Fred VanVleet, who is averaging 19.7 points per game.

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Betting Trends

  • The Pistons are 3-10-2 ATS in their last 15 Friday games.
  • The Pistons are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss.
  • The Raptors are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games.
  • The Raptors are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Raptors are really good at beating up on bad teams. I think they win in a blowout! I’m laying the -12.5 with Toronto! Rough March Madness? Don’t re-deposit at your bookie for NOTHING! Consider using one of our sportsbook promo codes to grab a 100% real cash bonus (or more!)