Rockets vs. Spurs Analysis & Predictions ATS

by | Last updated Mar 4, 2023 | nba

Houston Rockets (13-49 SU, 22-38-2 ATS) vs. San Antonio Spurs (16-47 SU, 26-37-0 ATS)
When: Saturday, March 4th, 8:00 PM (ET)
Where: AT&T Center, TX, San Antonio
TV: CW35

Point Spread: Hou -1/SA -1 (STOP wasting your money betting on games at -110 odds! Start saving big bucks that you can invest in more bets by making the switch to -105 odds at BAS Sportsbook!)
Total: 231.0
Money Line: Hou -118/S. Antonio -104

Notable Injuries


  • Jae’Sean Tate (Out) Injury Management
  • TyTy Washington Jr. (Questionable) Illness


  • Doug McDermott (Out) Thumb
  • Khem Birch (Out) Knee
  • Romeo Langford (Questionable) Adductor
  • Keldon Johnson (Doubtful) Foot
  • Devin Vassell (Out) Knee
  • Malaki Branham (Probable) Lower Back

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Houston is 13-49 overall. When taking to the road, Houston has a mark of 5-27 and a win percentage of 16%. Currently, the team is 15th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 22-38-2 vs. the spread. Houston travels to take on the Spurs, hoping to avoid their 12th straight loss.

In their last outing, Houston was unable to come away with a win against the Grizzlies, losing by a score of 113-99. Jalen Green led the team with 20 points, but it was not enough to overcome their status as 10-point underdogs. The Rockets also ended up with an ATS loss in the game.

Heading into the game, San Antonio is 16-47 overall. When playing at home, San Antonio has a mark of 10-21 and a win percentage of 32%. Currently, the team is 14th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 26-37-0 vs. the spread. San Antonio will look to stay hot in today’s game vs. Houston, as they are the winners of 2 straight games.

San Antonio will be looking to build on their most recent win over the Pacers. Jeremy Sochan led the team to a win with his 22 points. The Spurs were 4-point underdogs on the spread, giving them an ATS win.

The Historicals

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Spurs picked up the win 118-109 win over the Rockets. Heading into the game, San Antonio was the 1.0-point underdogs, giving them an ATS win. So far this season, the Spurs have a record of 2-0 vs. the Rockets. In terms of betting, San Antonio has an ATS record of 4-1 in the previous five matchups vs. Houston. This mark has come on an average scoring margin of +18 points per game in favor of the Spurs. In these matchups, the teams have put together an over-under mark of 4-1. Combined, they averaged 234 points in these games.

Get $60 of FREE member picks & predictions

(NO commitments. NO Credit Card. NO Salesman.)


Coming into the game, Houston’s offense is ranked just 29th in scoring at 109.5 points per game. This has come while being the 17th-ranked unit in pace. So far, the Rockets are averaging 98.9 possessions per contest. Houston’s 3-point shooting numbers are below the league average, as they have hit just 32.5% of their looks from deep. On average, the team gets up 33.1 3-point shots per game, placing them 14th in the NBA. Defense has been a struggle for Houston, as they currently allow 118.2 points per game. In terms of their 3-point defense, opposing teams have hit 35.03% of their looks from deep, placing the Rockets 14th in the NBA.

As the Rockets prepare for today’s game, Jalen Green is their leading scorer with an average of 21.7 points per game. This season, Green has a field goal percentage of 41.0%. The team’s second-leading scorer is Alperen Sengün, who is averaging 14.8 points per game.

For the season, San Antonio is averaging just 112.1 points per game, which is 25th in the league. This below-average production has come despite being one of the faster-paced teams in the NBA (5th). San Antonio has struggled with their 3-point shot this season, as they are currently ranked just 26th in 3-point shooting percentage at 33.9%. In addition, they are near the bottom of the league in attempts, at just 30.8 attempts per contest. Defense has been a struggle for San Antonio, as they are currently allowing 113.04 points per game. In terms of their 3-point defense, opposing teams have hit 35.84% of their looks from deep, placing the Spurs 20th in the NBA.

As the Spurs prepare to face the Rockets, it is unlikely that Keldon Johnson, the team’s leading scorer at 21.8, will be available. This means that Tre Jones, who is averaging 12.5, will likely have an increased role on offense.

Betting Trends

  • The Rockets are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
  • The Rockets are 28-57 ATS in their last 85 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
  • The Spurs are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a straight up win.
  • The Spurs are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a straight-up win of more than 10 points.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Rockets are a poorly run franchise. They need to lose, but they will likely be too dumb to do so and come out on the short end of the stick vs. a Spurs team that is dead set on grabbing a top draft pick in the 2023 NBA draft. I’m betting the Rockets to win at -1! Bet your NBA predictions for free this week by scoring a 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $300 when you use bonus promo code PREDICT100 at MyBookie Sportsbook!