Sacramento Kings vs. Los Angeles Clippers Pick ATS | Feb 25

Sacramento Kings (32-23 SU, 28-27 ATS) vs. Los Angeles Clippers (37-18 SU, 29-26 ATS)

When: Sunday, February 25th, 9:30 PM (ET)

Where: Crypto.com Arena, CA, Los Angeles

TV: ESPN

Point Spread: Sac +6.5/LAC -6.5 (Be smart! Only lay -105 at Betanysports!)

Total: 239.5

Money Line: Sacramento Kings +205/-251

Notable Injuries

Kings

• Alex Len (Questionable) Illness
• Sasha Vezenkov (Out) Ankle

Clippers

• Norman Powell (Questionable) Ankle

At 9:30 ET, the Clippers (-251) will host the Kings (+205) in a Western Pacific division matchup. Sacramento is on a two-game winning streak and is currently 7th in the Western Conference. The Clippers are favored by 6.5 and are 3rd in the West.

This game will be played at Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles and can be seen on ESPN. The over/under line is currently set at 239.5.

Recent Form

Sacramento has a record of 32-23 this season and is currently 7th in the Western Conference. In the Pacific Division, they are 2nd.

On the road, the Kings are 16-14 this season, and their straight-up record vs. the Western Conference is 21-15 compared to 11-8 against the East.

In terms of their ATS record, the Kings are 28-27 overall and 17-13 on the road. As the underdog, their ATS record is 9-7.

Sacramento has won two straight games and is the underdog today against the Clippers. In their last game, they beat the Spurs by a score of 127-122. The O/U line for that game was 243 points.

This season, the Kings have an O/U record of 29-25-1, and their games have averaged 236.6 points per game. Today’s line of 239.5 is higher than 39 of their previous games.

In Clippers games this season, the average over/under line is 230.5, which is lower than today’s line of 239.5. Overall, the team’s games have averaged 230.4 points per game.

Los Angeles has an O/U record of 24-30-1 this season. In their last game against the Grizzlies, the teams combined for just 196 points, which was well below the O/U line of 224.5.

At home, the Clippers have an average scoring margin of +6.7 points per game. Against the spread, they have a home record of 14-12 and have failed to cover in their last three games at home.

The Clippers are 35-9 as the favorite this season and have a record of 26-18 against the spread as the favorite. Today, they are favored by 6.5 points.

After beating the Grizzlies by a score of 101-95, the Clippers are now 37-18 on the season. In the Western Conference, they are currently in 3rd place and are leading the Pacific Division.

Out of their 55 games, the Clippers have been favored in 44 of them. As the favorite, they have a scoring margin of +8.7 points per game. Their ATS record for the season is 29-26, with their last two games resulting in ATS losses.

The Historicals

Spanning across the last 5 head-to-head matchups, the Kings and Clippers have been competitive, with an average margin of victory sitting at just -1 points per game. This has resulted in a 3-2 ATS record for Los Angeles. Sacramento and Los Angeles averaged a combined 257 points per game in these games, leading to an over-under mark of 3-2.

Analysis

This season, the Kings have been one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 118.6 points per game (8th). When playing on the road, they have scored 115.7 points per game (13th).

In terms of pace, Sacramento is 8th in the NBA, averaging 100.3 possessions per game. They have also been efficient from the field, shooting 48% (11th).

One of the keys to the Kings’ success on offense has been their three-point shooting. They are 4th in the league in made threes per game (14.7) and 3rd in three-point attempts (39.8). Overall, they have hit 37% of their shots from beyond the arc (12th).

On defense, the Kings come into the game ranked 22nd in the league in points allowed at 118.0 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 116.7 points per contest (21st). The Sacramento defense has allowed opponents to shoot 39.5% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 48.8% of their field goal attempts vs. Sacramento.

At home, the Clippers are scoring 117.3 points per game, which is 14th in the NBA. Overall, they are 10th in scoring at 117.7 points per game. In terms of shooting, the Clippers are 7th in field goal percentage at 49%. They are also 2nd in three-point shooting at 39%.

So far this season, the Clippers have outscored the NBA scoring average in 52.7% of their games. They are also 8th in free throw attempts per game at 23. In terms of pace, the Clippers are 25th in the league at 97.4 possessions per game.

When it comes to assists, the Clippers are 20th in the NBA at 25.9 per game. In terms of offensive rebounding, they are 18th in the league with 10.2 per game.

Coming into the game, the Clippers defense has held opposing team’s to fewer points than the league average in 41.8% of their games. Currently, they are 9th in the NBA at 112.7 points per game allowed. When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Clippers squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 54.1% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 35.6% from downtown.

Betting Trends

• When looking at their past three road matchups, Sacramento has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 113 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
• In their last ten games at home, the Clippers have a straight-up record of 8-2 while going 6-4 vs. the spread. The team averaged 120 points per game in this stretch.
• Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Kings have gone 2-3 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 2-3.
• Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Clippers have gone 4-6 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 7-3.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Kings will head to LA on a two-game winning streak, as they are jockeying for seeding in a bunched-up middle part of the Western Conference. Just one game separates them from the 5th seed. On the other end, the Clippers are still in the thick of things for the top spot in the West. Although I see the Clippers winning this one straight-up, I do like the Kings to cover the spread. My pick is Sacramento at +6.5.

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