Suns vs. Blazers Odds, Analysis, Free Pick

by | Oct 21, 2022 | nba

Phoenix Suns (1-0 SU, 1-0-0 ATS) vs. Portland Trail Blazers (1-0 SU, 1-0-0
ATS)

When: Friday, October 21st, 10:00 PM (ET)

Where: Moda Center, OR, Portland

TV: BSAZ

Point Spread: PHO -4.5/ POR +4.5 (Find out how you can get a FREE half point every time you bet your favorite basketball teams!)

Total: 224.5

Money Line: Phoenix Suns -184/ +151

Notable Injuries

Suns

  • Jae Crowder (Out) Not Injury Related
  • Landry Shamet (Out) Hip

Trail Blazers

  • Gary Payton II (Out) Abdomen
  • Trendon Watford (Out) Knee
  • Olivier Sarr (Out) Wrist

Recent Form

So far, the Suns have put together an overall record of 1-0, while going 1-0-0 vs the spread.
In their previous game, the Suns took down the Mavericks by a score of 107-105. Not only did they
come away with a straight-up win, but they also covered the spread as 4-point favorites. In the
win, Devin Booker led the team in scoring with 28 points on a field goal percentage of 50.0%.

The Trail Blazers come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 1-0. So far, the team
has gone 1-0-0 against the spread. The Trail Blazers are coming off a 115-108 win over the Kings.
This win came despite entering the game as the 3-point underdogs. In the win, Jerami Grant led
the team in scoring with 23 points on a field goal percentage of 45.5%.

The Historicals

In last year’s head-to-head series, Phoenix put together a mark of 3-1 through games. When
playing at the Moda Center, the Suns and Trail Blazers split the season series (1-1). Similar to
their season-long average, the Suns averaged 113.75 points per game vs the Trail Blazers. Similar
to the Suns, the Trail Blazers scored at a rate near their league average. In their games vs
Phoenix, the team averaged 110.0 points per game. The ATS record across the previous 5
head-to-head meetings is 3-2 in favor of the Suns. In these matchups, Phoenix has averaged 114
points per game while allowing 111. Over the course of these games, they averaged 225 points per
game, leading a 3-2 over-under record.

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Analysis

The Suns come into today’s game as the 24th-ranked scoring offense at 107.0 points per game.
The Suns come into the game as one of the league’s better 3-point shooting teams, connecting at a
rate of 8.0 made 3’s per game. Phoenix is a strong candidate to see their overall offensive
numbers improve, as not only are they a good outside shooting unit, but they do a good job taking
care of the ball, ranking near the top of the league in the fewest turnovers per game.

Leading scorer Devin Booker will need to be on top of his game vs the Trail Blazers, as they
were on the NBA’s top teams at limiting the scoring of opposing shooting guards.

The Portland offense will take the floor in today’s game, with the league’s 10th-ranked
offense at 115.0 points per game. When looking at the team’s pace of play, the Trail Blazers are
currently below the league average in possessions per game, averaging just 101.23 per contest.
One thing to keep on an eye on is if the Trail Blazers’ offense will be able to maintain their
production, as not only are they a below-average team in terms of pace, but their effective field
goal percentage of 50.0% is a below-average figure.

One thing to watch will be if Jerami Grant will be able to take advantage of his matchup vs
the Suns. Last year, they were ranked just 6th in points allowed to small-forwards.

Betting Trends

Suns are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss. Suns are 18-8
ATS in their last 26 Friday games. Trail Blazers are 6-18 ATS in their last 24 games overall.
Trail Blazers are 5-17 ATS in their last 22 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in
their previous game.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Phoenix Suns and Portland Trail Blazers should have some epic battles this season. They
matchup fairly well (athletically speaking), with the Suns having a slight advantage in the paint
with Ayton, who they don’t use properly, as they’re a guard-oriented offense. I think Portland
has a shot of winning this game straight up, so naturally, I am excited to grab the +4.5! Bet this week’s basketball picks for FREE by taking advantage of a 100% real cash bonus from one of our top tier online sportsbooks!