Suns vs. Bucks Point Spread Pick

by | Last updated Feb 26, 2023 | nba

Phoenix Suns (33-28 SU, 32-27-2 ATS) vs. Milwaukee Bucks (42-17 SU, 33-23-3 ATS)
When: Sunday, February 26th, 1:00 PM (ET)
Where: Fiserv Forum, WI, Milwaukee

Point Spread: Pho +3.5/Mil -3.5 (Deposit $300 and get $300 FREE when you sign up through our link and use bonus promo code PREDICT100 at MyBookie Sportsbook!)
Total: nan
Money Line: Phoenix Suns +138/-167

Notable Injuries


  • Kevin Durant (Out) Knee
  • Landry Shamet (Out) Foot


  • Giannis Antetokounmpo (Doubtful) Quad
  • Wesley Matthews (Out) Calf

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Phoenix is 33-28 overall. When taking to the road, Phoenix has a mark of 12-18 and a win percentage of 40%. Currently, the team is 4th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 32-27-2 vs. the spread. When looking at how the team has performed of late straight and vs. the spread, they are 3-2 in their past five games and 3-2 ATS. Over their past ten games, they are 7-3 SU and 6-4 ATS.

In their last game, Phoenix defeated the Thunder (124-115) as 8-point favorites. Devin Booker led the team with 25 points on 42.9% shooting. The Suns also covered the spread with the victory.

Heading into the game, Milwaukee is 42-17 overall. When playing at home, Milwaukee has a mark of 25-5 and a win percentage of 83%. Currently, the team is 2nd in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 33-23-3 vs. the spread. Milwaukee will look to stay hot in today’s game vs. Phoenix, as they are the winners of 13 straight games.

The Bucks came away with a win in their last matchup against the Heat, achieving a 128-99 victory as 6-point favorites. Jrue Holiday led the Bucks with an impressive performance, scoring 24 points on a shooting percentage of 64.3%. In addition to the win, the Bucks also covered the spread.

The Historicals

In last year’s head-to-head meetings, the Suns averaged 126.5 points per game vs. Milwaukee, which was an increase over their season-long average. While the Suns saw a boost in scoring, the Bucks averaged 119.5 points per contest in a head-to-head meeting vs. Phoenix. This figure was similar to their season-long average. Through the last five matchups between the teams, Milwaukee has an ATS mark of 4-1. But, looking at the scoring margin in these games, an average of just 1 point per game separates the teams. A combined average of 229 points per game was achieved in these matchups, leading to an over-under mark of 3-2.

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This season, Phoenix is averaging just 112.9 points per game, which places them 22nd in the league. A major reason for these low numbers is the fact that they play at one of the slower paces in the NBA at just 97.9 possessions per game. In terms of 3-point shooting, the Suns are ranked 19th in attempts per game. However, they have been one of the more efficient shooting teams in the league, connecting at a rate of 37.8%. Defensively, the Suns have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 107.33 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 33.88%.

Kevin Durant will not be available for today’s game in Phoenix due to an injury, as reported on the injury report. This means that Deandre Ayton will need to step up and take on the role of primary scorer for the team. This year, Ayton has been averaging 18.7 points per game for the Suns.

This season, Milwaukee is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 115.1 points per game. So far, the Bucks are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 100.4 possessions per game. The three-point shot has been a big part of Milwaukee’s offensive game plan, as they are ranked 4th in 3-point attempts per game. So far, they have connected on 36.1% of their looks from the outside. On defense, the Bucks are allowing an average of 112.13 points per game, placing them 19th in the league. So far, opposing teams are hitting 35.73% of their looks from deep vs. Milwaukee.

As the Bucks face off against the Suns, they may be without their highest scorer, Giannis Antetokounmpo, who has been averaging 31.2 per game. This means that Jrue Holiday, who is averaging 19.5, will likely have a larger offensive role in the game.

Betting Trends

  • The Suns are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 Sunday games.
  • The Suns are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • The Bucks are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a straight-up win.
  • The Bucks are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

Giannis is doubtful Sunday, which means Bobby Portis would step in and gobble up his minutes. What a luxury to have a guy like Portis coming off your bench to step into the starting lineup! I’m betting the Bucks -3.5. Bet your NBA basketball predictions for FREE this week by scoring a massive 125% real cash bonus up to $400 AND a free half point everytime you bet your favorite team when you use bonus promo code PREDICTEM at GTBets Sportsbook!