Suns vs. Mavericks Game 3 Odds & Predictions

by | May 6, 2022 | nba

Phoenix Suns (70-20 SU, 50-40-0 ATS) vs. Dallas Mavericks (56-34 SU, 52-36-2 ATS)

When: Friday May 06 2022, 09:30 PM (ET)

Where: American Airlines Center, Dallas Texas

TV: ESPN

Point Spread: PHX +0.5/DAL -0.5 (Opened DAL +1 at MyBookie - Use promo code PREDICT100 and they’ll give you a 100% REAL CASH bonus up to $300!)

Total: 219.5 (Opened at 219.5)

Money Line: Phoenix Suns -112/Dallas Mavericks -108

Power Rating: PHX -2

Probable Starting Lineups

Phoenix Suns PG Chris Paul, SG Devin Booker, SF Mikal Bridges, PF Jae Crowder, C Deandre Ayton

Dallas Mavericks PG Luka Doncic, SG Jalen Brunson, SF Reggie Bullock, PF Dorian Finney-Smith, C Dwight Powell

Key Injuries

Phoenix Suns
Dario Saric: Knee (OUT)

Dallas Mavericks
Tim Hardaway Jr.: Foot (OUT)

The Dallas Mavericks host the Phoenix Suns in a Western-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 09:30 PM ET at the American Airlines Center.

Recent Form

The Phoenix Suns come into this game with an overall record of 64-18, placing them 1st in the Western Conference. So far, Phoenix is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 34-10. Over their last five games, the Suns have played well, picking up 4 wins. In this stretch, Phoenix’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 116.0 points per game. Combined, the Suns’ last five opponents are giving up 108.0 points per contest. The Suns have been picking up wins while holding opponents to an average of 109.0 points per game, similar to their season average of 107.6. In the Phoenix Suns’ most recent game, Phoenix took down Dallas by a score of 129-109

The Dallas Mavericks come into this game with an overall record of 52-30, placing them 4th in the Western Conference. So far, Dallas is above .500 at home, holding a record of 31-13. Over the Mavericks’ last five games, they have picked up just 2 wins. In this stretch, Dallas’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 104.0 points per game. Combined, the Mavericks’ last five opponents are giving up 107.0 points per contest. In this recent cold stretch, the Mavericks are allowing an average of 105.0 points per game, similar to their usual rate of 104.8.In the Dallas Mavericks’ most recent game, the team fell to Phoenix by a score of 129-109.

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Individual Player Analysis

As Phoenix travels to take on the Dallas Mavericks, the Suns’ leading scorer is Devin Booker. Through 79 games, Booker is averaging 26 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 48.0% of his games. Against the Mavericks, Booker will need to be on top of his game as Dallas is allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their average in 45.0% of their games, placing them in the top 10. On the other side, Luka Doncic leads the Mavericks in scoring, averaging 28 points across his 67 games. Throughout the season, Doncic has outscored his season average in 42.0% of his outings. On the season, the Suns have allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 50.82% of their games, giving them a rank of 19th among NBA defenses.

Matchup Analysis

Heading into this matchup, the Phoenix Suns are the more efficient team on both ends of the court. This scenario has taken place in 35 of Phoenix’s 41 games, leading to a winning percentage of 83%. So far, the Dallas Mavericks have played 45 games as the inferior offensive and defensive unit. In these instances, they have lost 45 times, by an average margin of -13.0 points.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Phoenix Suns and Dallas Mavericks have met up for 5 games. In their last meeting, Phoenix picked up a 129-109 win.

How the Public is Betting the Suns vs Mavericks

67% are betting the Suns against the spread.

52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 219.5

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
  • Phoenix is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Dallas
  • Dallas is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
  • Dallas is 7-1-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

The Phoenix Suns are looking to take a commanding 3-0 lead in this Western Conference semi-final series. On the other side, the Mavs will hope to pick up a win, as the series shifts to Dallas. In game 2, the Suns put the pedal to the floor in the 4th quarter, as they outscored the Mavericks 40-26. Given that they are now on the road, the spread has dropped down to just -1 in favor of the Suns. I recommend grabbing Phoenix once again, as they put themselves in position to come away with the sweep. Did you know that you could be wagering on basketball (and football!) at reduced odds -105 instead of the spendier -110 you’re paying? Why on earth would anybody pay five dollars more for odds when you could be paying less and it costs you nothing? Find this killer offer at BetAnySports! We’ve advertised them for over ten years with ZERO complaints!