Suns vs. Pacers Free Pick and Expert Analysis

by | Last updated Feb 10, 2023 | nba

Phoenix Suns (30-27 SU, 29-26-2 ATS) vs. Indiana Pacers (25-31 SU, 30-25-1 ATS)
When: Friday, February 10th, 7:00 PM (ET)
Where: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, IN, Indianapolis
TV: BSAZ

Point Spread: Pho -1/Ind -1 (Deposit $100 and get $100 FREE with code PREDICTEM at Betnow!)
Total: 230.5
Money Line: Phoenix Suns -115/-106

Notable Injuries

Suns

  • T.J. Warren (Out) Trade Pending
  • Kevin Durant (Out) Knee
  • Cameron Payne (Out) Foot
  • Devin Booker (Out) Injury Management
  • Landry Shamet (Out) Foot
  • Darius Bazley (Out) Trade Pending

Pacers

  • George Hill (Out) Trade Pending
  • Jordan Nwora (Out) Trade Pending

Recent Form

Phoenix is 30-27 overall heading into the game. When taking to the road, Phoenix has a mark of 11-18 and a win percentage of 38%. Currently, the team is 6th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 29-26-2 vs. the spread. When looking at how the team has performed of late straight and vs. the spread, they are 3-2 in their past five games and 2-3 ATS. Over their past ten games, they are 7-3 SU and 6-4 ATS.

In their last outing, Phoenix was unable to come away with a win against the Hawks, losing by a score of 116-107. Josh Okogie led the team with 25 points, but it was not enough to overcome their status as 8-point underdogs. The Suns also ended up with an ATS loss in the game.

Heading into the game, Indiana is 25-31 overall. When playing at home, Indiana has a mark of 17-12 and a win percentage of 59%. Currently, the team is 12th in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 30-25-1 vs. the spread. The Pacers need a win in today’s matchup vs. Phoenix to avoid their 3rd straight loss.

In their last game, Indiana was defeated by Heat with a score of 116-111. Despite Buddy Hield scoring 29 points, the team was unable to come out on top. Going into the game, the Pacers were 6-point favorites.

The Historicals

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Suns picked up the 112-107 win over the Pacers. The Suns’ margin of victory was enough to cover the spread as a 3.0-point favorite. This has been the only matchup between the two teams this season. Across the previous five meetings between the teams, the Suns have an average scoring margin of +6 points per game, leading to an ATS mark of 3-2. The over-under record in these same games is 2-3, with the teams combining for an average of 222 points per game.

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Analysis

This season, Phoenix is averaging just 112.6 points per game, which places them 21st in the league. A major reason for these low numbers is the fact that they play at one of the slower paces in the NBA at just 97.9 possessions per game. Phoenix’s 3-point shooting numbers are below the league average, as they have hit just 38.1% of their looks from deep. On average, the team gets up 32.8 3-point shots per game, placing them 19th in the NBA. Defensively, the Suns have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 107.33 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 33.88%.

A major injury to note for today’s game is that Phoenix will not have Kevin Durant available as is already listed as out on the injury report. Deandre Ayton will take on the role as the primary scorer for the team. This season, Ayton is averaging 18.5 points per game for the Suns.

This season, the Pacers have loved to get up and down the court, as they are currently 10th in the league in possessions per game. However, this has not fully translated into the offensive success they are looking for, as Indiana is 13th in scoring at 114.6 points per game. The three-point shot has been a big part of Indiana’s offensive game plan, as they are ranked 6th in 3-point attempts per game. So far, they have connected on 36.3% of their looks from the outside. The defense has been below average for Indiana, as they are currently allowing 114.94 points per game. The team’s 3-point shooting defense has been a problem this year. So far, opposing offenses have hit 36.78% of their looks from the outside.

Buddy Hield is the top scorer for Indiana, averaging 17.6 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 45.4%. The team’s second-leading scorer is Bennedict Mathurin, with an average of 17.1 points per game.

Betting Trends

  • The Suns are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss.
  • The Suns are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight-up loss.
  • The Pacers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games.
  • The Pacers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games overall.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Suns are still in transition from the trade they made. They played last night, got whooped on by the Hawks, and then had to travel to Indiana. A lot is going on here. The Suns are a good team but in a horrible spot Friday night against the Pacers. I’m betting Indiana at +1. Note: Invest one minute of your time to read this. It will change the way you bet on games forever. And it’s FREE! It’s more than likely you are having to lay -110 odds on games. Did you know that you could be betting -105? This may not sound like much, but it’s HUGE! It lowers your breakeven point from 52.38% to 51.19%. If you plan on winning at sports betting, you need every single edge you can get! This saves a $100 bettors five bucks everytime they wager. That adds up to a HUGE amount over the course of season! It saves a dime player $50 everytime they bet! Be smart! Don’t pass on a money saving opportunity! This bookie is probably better than yours too! We’ve advertised them for over 15 years with ZERO complaints! Find this awesome offer and more at BetAnySports Sportsbook!