Thunder vs. Clippers Odds, Analysis, Prediction 3/23/23

by | Last updated Mar 23, 2023 | nba

Oklahoma City Thunder (36-36 SU, 44-27-1 ATS) vs. Los Angeles Clippers (38-35 SU, 36-36-1 ATS)

When: Thursday, March 23rd, 10:30 PM (ET)

Where: Crypto.com Arena, CA, Los Angeles

TV: NBA

Point Spread: OKC +3/LAL -3 (Stop wasting your hard earned money! Stop laying -110 on games! Start laying only -105 TODAY at BetAnySports!)

Total: 233.0

Money Line: Oklahoma City Thunder +126/-152

Notable Injuries

Thunder

  • Kenrich Williams (Out) Wrist
  • Chet Holmgren (Out) Foot

Clippers

  • Paul George (Out) Knee
  • Norman Powell (Out) Shoulder
  • Brandon Boston Jr. (Out) Tailbone

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Oklahoma City is 36-36 overall. When taking to the road, Oklahoma City has a mark of 14-21 and a win percentage of 40%. Currently, the team is 8th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 44-27-1 vs. the spread. In their matchup against Los Angeles, the Oklahoma City Thunder have won 2 straight games and will look to push that mark to 3 in a row.

After their win against the Clippers, Oklahoma City will be looking to continue their momentum. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander had a big game, scoring 31 points to help lead the team to victory. As 7-point underdogs on the spread, the Thunder were able to come away with an ATS win

Heading into the game, Los Angeles is 38-35 overall. When playing at home, Los Angeles has a mark of 19-17 and a win percentage of 53%. Currently, the team is 5th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 36-36-1 vs. the spread. In Los Angeles’ last five games, the Clippers have a straight-up record of 3-2 while going 3-2 in those games. Going back to the last 10, they are 5-5 and 5-5 ATS.

In their most recent matchup, the Thunder defeated Los Angeles with a score of 101-100. Kawhi Leonard scored the most points for the team with 21, but it was not enough to earn the win. The Clippers were 7 points ahead going into the game.

The Historicals

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Thunder picked up the 108-94 win over the Clippers. Heading into the game, Oklahoma City was the 5.5-point underdogs, giving them an ATS win. So far this season, the Thunder have a record of 3-0 vs. the Clippers. Although the Thunder have the better ATS mark across the previous five head-head matchups at 4-1, the average scoring margin sits in favor of Los Angeles, as they averaged 109 points per game while allowing 103. Oklahoma City and Los Angeles averaged a combined 212 points per game in these games, leading to an over-under mark of 2-3.

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Analysis

This season, Oklahoma City is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 117.6 points per game. So far, the Thunder are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 101.6 possessions per game. The three-point shot has been a big part of Oklahoma City’s offensive game plan, as they are ranked 11th in 3-point attempts per game. So far, they have connected on 36.0% of their looks from the outside. On defense, the Thunder are allowing an average of 111.83 points per game, placing them 15th in the league. So far, opposing teams are hitting 34.97% of their looks from deep vs. Oklahoma City.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the top scorer for Oklahoma City, averaging 31.4 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 51.0%. The team’s second-leading scorer is Josh Giddey, with an average of 16.1 points per game.

This season, Los Angeles is averaging just 112.7 points per game, which places them 23rd in the league. A major reason for these low numbers is the fact that they play at one of the slower paces in the NBA at just 97.9 possessions per game. In terms of 3-point shooting, the Clippers are ranked 14th in attempts per game. However, they have been one of the more efficient shooting teams in the league, connecting at a rate of 37.5%. Defensively, the Clippers have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 108.39 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 34.31%.

An important injury to consider for today’s game is that Los Angeles will be without Paul George, who is listed as out on the injury report. Kawhi Leonard will assume the role of primary scorer for the team. This season, Leonard has been averaging 23.7 points per game for the Clippers.

Betting Trends

  • The Thunder are 4-0 ATS in their last four games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • The Thunder are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.
  • The Clippers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games vs. a team with a losing straight-up record.
  • The Clippers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

There’s no reason to think the Oklahoma City Thunder can’t do it again Thursday with Paul George being out. I’m betting SGA and Co. at +3! Live betting is the new “big thing” in sports wagering. Most sites offer it, but only one can claim to have the best platform! —> Bovada Sportsbook! See everything on one page, nice fat limits and TONS more options!