Timberwolves vs. Kings Point Spread Pick 3/4/23

by | Last updated Mar 4, 2023 | nba

Minnesota Timberwolves (33-32 SU, 31-34-0 ATS) vs. Sacramento Kings (37-25 SU, 33-28-1 ATS)

When: Saturday, March 4th, 10:00 PM (ET)

Where: Golden 1 Center, CA, Sacramento

TV: NBCS

Point Spread: Min +5.5/Sac -5.5 (STOP wasting your money betting on games at -110 odds! Start saving big bucks that you can invest in more bets by making the switch to -105 odds at BAS Sportsbook!)

Total: 236.5

Money Line: TWolves +192/Sac -238

Notable Injuries

Timberwolves

  • Karl-Anthony Towns (Out) Calf
  • Jaylen Nowell (Questionable) Knee

Kings

  • Richaun Holmes (Questionable) Illness

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Minnesota is 33-32 overall. When taking to the road, Minnesota has a mark of 13-18 and a win percentage of 42%. Currently, the team is 7th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 31-34-0 vs the spread. In their matchup against Sacramento, the Minnesota Timberwolves have won 2 straight games and will look to push that mark to 3 in a row.

In their preceding game, the Timberwolves overpowered the Lakers, earning a 110-102 win as 1 point favorites. Rudy Gobert led the way for the Timberwolves, putting up 22 points on 66.7% shooting. The Timberwolves not only secured the victory but also covered the spread.

Heading into the game, Sacramento is 37-25 overall. When playing at home, Sacramento has a mark of 19-12 and a win percentage of 61%. Currently, the team is 3rd in the Western Conference. So far, they are 33-28-1 vs the spread. Sacramento will look to stay hot in today’s game vs Minnesota as they are the winners of 5 straight games.

The Kings from Sacramento triumphed in their last match against the Clippers, achieving a 128-127 victory. De’Aaron Fox had the most points for the Kings with 33. Despite the win, the Kings did not cover the spread as 7-point favorites.

The Historicals

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Timberwolves picked up the win 117-110 win over the Kings. Heading into the game, Minnesota was the 1.5-point underdogs, giving them an ATS win. So far, the two teams have split their season series, with each team at 1-1. The Timberwolves have had the better record vs the spread over the last 5 games, going 3-2. The team’s average scoring margin in these contests sits at 3 points per game. The over-under record in these same games is 2-3, with the teams combining for an average of 231 points per game.

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Analysis

This season, Minnesota is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 115.3 points per game. So far, the Timberwolves are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 101.2 possessions per game. When looking at the team’s 3-point shooting numbers, they profile as an average team in both percentage and attempts. For the season, the Timberwolves’ offense is ranked 13th in 3-point attempts per game while connecting at a rate of 35.7%. Defense has been a struggle for Minnesota, as they are currently allowing 113.3 points per game. However, even with their overall struggles, the team has done a good job defending the 3-point line. So far, opposing teams have hit just 34.89% of their looks from deep.

Coming into today’s game, Anthony Edwards is the leading scorer for Minnesota at 24.6 points per game. This season, Edwards has a field goal percentage of 45.8%. The team’s second-leading scorer is Rudy Gobert at 13.6 points per contest.

This season, Sacramento is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 120.9 points per game. So far, the Kings are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 101.1 possessions per game. Sacramento’s offensive attack has benefited from some hot shooting from outside. Not only are they among the league leaders in 3-pointers attempted per game, but they are 10th in 3-point shooting percentage at 36.7%. Defense has been a struggle for Sacramento, as they are currently allowing 115.77 points per game. The team’s 3-point shooting defense has been a problem this year. So far, opposing offenses have hit 37.05% of their looks from the outside.

Going into today’s game, De’Aaron Fox is the leading scorer for the Sacramento team, with an average of 25.5 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 51.6%. The team’s second top scorer is Domantas Sabonis, who is averaging 18.8 points per game.

Betting Trends

  • Timberwolves are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • Timberwolves are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 Saturday games.
  • Kings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

Both teams are playing good basketball. The T-Wolves matchup well with the Kings and Sacramento isn’t beating anybody up despite their recent solid play. I’m betting the Timberwolves +5.5! Bet your NBA picks for free this week by scoring a 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $300 when you use bonus promo code PREDICT100 at MyBookie Sportsbook!