Today’s NBA Pick: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Milwaukee Bucks Jan 24/24
Cleveland Cavaliers (26-15 SU, 22-17 ATS) vs. Milwaukee Bucks (30-13 SU, 16-27 ATS)
When: Wednesday, January 24th, 8:00 PM (ET)
Where: Fiserv Forum, WI, Milwaukee
TV: BSW
Point Spread: Cle +6.5/Mil -6.5 (Did you know you can bet games at -105 odds instead of -110? You can find this killer offer at BetAnySports Sportsbook! You’ll be so glad you made the switch!)
Total: 236
Money Line: Cleveland Cavaliers +215/-267
Notable Injuries
Cavaliers
- Tristan Thompson (Out) Suspension
- Caris LeVert (Questionable) Wrist
- Darius Garland (Out) Jaw
- Ty Jerome (Out) Ankle
- Evan Mobley (Out) Knee
Bucks
- Giannis Antetokounmpo (Probable) Right Shoulder
At 8:00 ET, the Bucks (-267) will host the Cavaliers (+215) in an Eastern Central Division matchup. Milwaukee (30-13) is currently 2nd in the East, while Cleveland (26-15) is 4th. The Bucks are favored by 6.5 points and have won two straight games. The over/under line for this game is 236 points.
This game will be played at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee and can be seen on BSW.
Recent Form
The Cavaliers are 6.5-point underdogs on the spread today and have gone 2-3 ATS as underdogs in their last five games. As the underdog, their ATS record is 7-7 for the season.
Cleveland’s O/U record for the season is 19-21-1, and 36 of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s (236). The average O/U line in their games is 224.8, and this season, their games have averaged 223.7 points.
Against the spread, the Cavaliers have covered in five straight games and have an overall ATS record of 22-17. On the road, they are 10-6 ATS compared to 12-11 ATS at home.
The Cavaliers are currently 4th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 26-15. In the Central Division, they are in 2nd place. The team has won eight straight games, with their most recent win coming against the Magic (126-99).
In the Eastern Conference, the Cavaliers have gone 18-9 compared to 8-6 in non-conference games. Today, they are looking to win their 3rd straight game as the underdog.
Milwaukee is favored by 6.5 points in today’s game vs. the Cavaliers. The Bucks have been favored in all but two of their games this season and have a 30-11 record as the favorite.
Against the spread, Milwaukee is 16-27 overall and has failed to cover in their last two home games. Their average scoring margin at home is +6.3 points per game.
The Bucks have won three straight games at home and are 19-4 on their home court this season. In the Eastern Conference, they are currently in 2nd place with a record of 30-13.
In their last game against the Pistons, the Bucks won by a score of 122-113. The O/U line for that game was 247.5, and they were favored by 12.5 points.
This season, the Bucks have an O/U record of 26-17, and their games have averaged a combined 245 points. Today’s O/U line is set at 236, which is lower than their season average of 239.5.
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The Historicals
The ATS record across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings is 3-2 in favor of the Cavaliers. In these matchups, Cleveland has averaged 115 points per game, while allowing 107. Cleveland and Milwaukee averaged a combined 222 points per game in these games, leading to an over-under mark of 2-3.
Analysis
Heading into tonight’s game in Milwaukee, the Cavaliers are 19th in the league in scoring at 114 points per game. On the road, they are averaging 113 points per game.
Cleveland’s offense is 11th in the NBA in field goal percentage at 47%. In terms of pace, they are 22nd in the league at 97.9 possessions per game.
So far this season, the Cavaliers have outscored the NBA scoring average in 41.5% of their games. In terms of assists, they are 12th in the league at 26.9 per game.
At this time, the Cavaliers’ defense is positioned 2nd in the NBA, permitting 109.7 points per game. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Cavaliers defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 52.3% while allowing 35.0% from downtown.
This season, the Bucks have been one of the most potent offenses in the NBA, averaging 124.6 points per game, which is 2nd in the league. At home, they are averaging 126 points per game.
When it comes to pace, the Bucks are 2nd in the NBA, averaging 102.1 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, Milwaukee is 4th in the league at 49%.
One area where the Bucks excel is getting to the free-throw line. They are 2nd in free throw attempts per game this season. In terms of three-point shooting, Milwaukee is 9th in the NBA at 37%.
On defense, the Bucks come into the game ranked 25th in the league in points allowed at 120.5 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 127.7 points per contest (21st). Milwaukee’s defense is currently forcing 12.6 turnovers per game, which is 11th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 10th in blocked shots, with an average of 5.6 rejections per game.
Betting Trends
- The Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in their last road games and 4-1 straight-up.
- Through their last three home games, Milwaukee has an ATS record of just 0-3. However, their overall record was 2-1 while averaging 119 points per game.
- Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Cavaliers have a straight up record of 4-6. Their record vs the spread in these games was 5-4-1.
- Through their previous five contests as the betting favorite, the Bucks have a strong record of 5-0. Their record vs the spread in these matchups is 1-4.
Joes Pick To Cover The Spread
In this matchup, I’m hammering the Bucks at -6.5 points. I’m expecting Milwaukee to come out with a sense of urgency after the firing of head coach Adrian Griffin. Also, the Buck will have the benefit of facing a banged-up Cavs squad. I like Milwaukee at -6.5. Boost your bankroll by 100% by using one of our numerous sportsbook promo codes!
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