Warriors vs. Bucks Predictions 1/13/22

by | Jan 13, 2022 | nba

Golden State Warriors (30-10 SU, 23-15-2 ATS) vs. Milwaukee Bucks (26-17 SU, 19-24-0 ATS)

When: Thursday January 13 2022, 07:30 PM (ET)

Where: Fiserv Forum: Milwaukee, Wisconsin

TV: TNT

Point Spread: GSW +3/MIL -3 (Opened at MIL -3 (MyBookie - Get a 100% bonus up to $300 when you use special bonus code PREDICT100)

Total: 223 (Opened at 222.5)

Money Line: Golden State +115/Milwaukee -137)

Power Rating: MIL -2.5

Probable Starting Lineups

Warriors: PG Stephen Curry, SG Klay Thompson, SF Andrew Wiggins, PF Otto Porter Jr, C Kevon Looney

Bucks: PG Jrue Holiday, SG Grayson Allen, SF Khris Middleton, PF Giannis Antetokounmpo, C Bobby Portis

Key Injuries

Warriors
Draymond Green: calf (QUESTIONABLE) Otto Porter Jr.: shoulder (QUESTIONABLE) James Wiseman: knee (OUT)

Bucks
Grayson Allen: illness (OUT) George Hill: illness (OUT) Jrue Holiday: ankle (QUESTIONABLE) Brook Lopez: back (OUT)

Recent Form

The Golden State Warriors enter today’s game, having won six of their past ten games. When playing away from home, the Warriors are an above .500 team, having gone 12-7. As the road team, Golden State travels to Milwaukee with a positive plus-minus of rating 2.1 points. Overall, the Warriors are ranked 1st among NBA teams in point differential (0.9). Among NBA teams, they have played the 5th toughest schedule.

For bettors, taking the Golden State Warriors to cover the spread has been a winning bet as they have covered in 60.50% of their games. Their season-long plus-minus against the spread is 3.2.

On offense, the team’s leading scorer is PG Stephen Curry. So far, Curry is averaging 26.84 points per game. This output places him 2nd among point guards. However, the team will need to account for missing Draymond Green and his team-leading 7.56 rebounds per contest.

The Milwaukee Bucks enter today’s game, having lost two straight games. Even though the Bucks are on a losing streak, they have an above .500 record in their past ten games, going 6-4. As they get set to host the Warriors, Milwaukee has a positive home plus-minus of 5.4 points. Overall the Bucks are ranked 7th among NBA teams in point differential (5.7).

For bettors, taking the Milwaukee Bucks to cover the spread has been a losing bet as they have covered in 44.20% of their games. Their season-long plus-minus against the spread is -1.0.

On offense, the team’s leading scorer is SF Giannis Antetokounmpo. So far, Antetokounmpo is averaging 28.41 points per game. The Bucks’ best three-point shooter has been Grayson Allen, connecting on 2.72 shots from downtown per game. Milwaukee will be looking forward to Allen’s return in tonight’s game from the Health And Safety Protocols List.

An Eye On Pace

Coming into this matchup, the Bucks and Warriors have played at opposing speeds, with the Golden State ranking 27th in field goal attempts per game and Milwaukee at 7th. However, even with their limited possessions, the Warriors still managed to get up a lot of looks from downtown, ranking 4th. Look for plenty of three-point shooting in this matchup as Milwaukee ranks 3rd in three-point attempts.

Key Matchups

In a battle between two of the premier teams in the NBA, look for Milwaukee and Giannis Antetokounmpo to attack the Warriors’ interior defense. Even though Golden State is one of the premier defensive teams, they tend to put opponents on the line, ranking 26th in free-throw attempts allowed per field goal attempt. With the Greek Freak’s relentless style of play, I expect him to get plenty of looks at the charity stripe.

The Historicals

Tonight’s game between the Bucks and Warriors will be their first meeting of the season. Last year, each team picked up one win in their two-game series.

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How the Public is betting the Warriors vs. Bucks

60% are betting the Bucks against the spread.

55% are wagering on the game to go Over the posted total of 223

Betting Trends Worth Noting

Warriors are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight-up loss.
Warriors are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog.
The Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last five games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Joe’s Pick To Cover The Spread

Due to their recent skid, the Milwaukee Bucks have dropped to the 4th seed in the Eastern Conference, sitting four games behind the Chicago Bulls for the top spot in the East. On the other side, Golden State looks to keep pace with the Phoenix, as the Suns have a one-game lead over the Warriors in the West. Throughout Giannis Antetokounmpo’s time in Milwaukee, the team always seems to get up for big games. With Draymond Green missing tonight’s game, look for the Warriors to suffer defensively. I recommend taking the Bucks to win at home and to cover the spread.

Prop Bets Worth Wagering

In this matchup, look for a signature performance from the Greek Freak. On the year, he averages 28.4 points per game to go along with 11 rebounds and six assists. I expect Antetokounmpo to attack the basket in what should be a +30 point performance. Bet your NBA picks for FREE this week by taking advantage of a 100% REAL CASH bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $1000 at Betnow Sportsbook!