Warriors vs. Celtics Game 6 Odds & Spread Bet

by | Jun 16, 2022 | nba

Golden State Warriors (68-35 SU, 53-46-4 ATS) vs. Boston Celtics (65-40 SU, 57-45-3 ATS)
When: Thursday June 16 2022, 09:00 PM (ET)
Where: TD Garden, Boston, Massachusetts
TV: ABC

Point Spread: GSW +4/BOS -4 (Opened BOS -3 at SportsBetting.ag)
Total: 210 (Opened at 211)
Money Line: Golden State Warriors 140/Boston Celtics -168
Power Rating: BOS -3

Probable Starting Lineups

Golden State Warriors PG Stephen Curry, SG Klay Thompson, SF Andrew Wiggins, PF Otto Porter Q, C Draymond Green
Boston Celtics PG Marcus Smart, SG Jaylen Brown, SF Jayson Tatum, PF Al Horford, C Robert Williams Q

Key Injuries

Golden State Warriors Otto Porter Jr.: Foot (QUESTIONABLE) Andre Iguodala: Knee (QUESTIONABLE) James Wiseman: Knee (OUT)

Boston Celtics Robert Williams III: Knee (QUESTIONABLE)

The Boston Celtics host the Golden State Warriors in Game 6 of the NBA Finals. Tip-off is set for 09:00 PM ET at the TD Garden.

Recent Form

The Golden State Warriors come into this game with an overall record of 53-29, placing them 3rd in the Western Conference. So far, Golden State is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 26-24. Over their last five games, the Warriors have played well, picking up 3 wins. In this stretch, Golden State’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 105.0 points per game. Combined, the Warriors’ last five opponents are giving up 104.0 points per contest. The Warriors have been picking up wins while holding opponents to an average of 103.0 points per game, similar to their season average of 105.9. In the Golden State Warriors’ most recent game, Golden State took down Boston by a score of 104-94

The Boston Celtics come into this game with an overall record of 51-31, placing them 4th in the Eastern Conference. So far, Boston is above .500 at home, holding a record of 34-18. Over the Celtics’ last five games, they have picked up just 2 wins. In this stretch, Boston’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 103.0 points per game. Combined, the Celtics’ last five opponents are giving up 106.0 points per contest. In this recent cold stretch, the Celtics are allowing an average of 105.0 points per game, similar to their usual rate of 103.9. In the Boston Celtics’ most recent game, the team fell to Golden State by a score of 104-94.

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Individual Player Analysis

As Golden State travels to take on the Boston Celtics, the Warriors’ leading scorer is Stephen Curry. Through 64 games, Curry is averaging 25 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 45.0% of his games. Against the Celtics, Curry will need to be on top of his game as Boston is allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their average in 43.0% of their games, placing them in the top 10. On the other side, Jayson Tatum leads the Celtics in scoring, averaging 26 points across his 76 games. Throughout the season, Tatum has outscored his season average in 47.0% of his outings. Given that Golden State’s defense has struggled to slow down their opponent’s top scorers, Jayson Tatum should be in line for a big performance. So far, the Warriors have allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 51.43% of their games, giving them a rank of 20th among NBA defenses.

Matchup Analysis

Heading into this matchup, the Boston Celtics are the more efficient team on both ends of the court. This scenario has taken place in 32 of Boston’s 81 games, leading to a winning percentage of 62%. So far, the Golden State Warriors have played 1 game as the inferior offensive and defensive unit. In these instances, they have lost 1 time by an average margin of 0 points.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Golden State Warriors and Boston Celtics have met up for 7 games. In their last meeting, Golden State picked up a 104-94 win.

How the Public is Betting the Warriors vs Celtics

67% are betting the Celtics against the spread.
52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 210

Betting Trends Worth Noting

The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Golden State’s last 18 games when playing Boston Golden State is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Boston’s last 18 games when playing Golden State Boston is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

Heading into game 6 of the NBA Finals, the series now shifts back to Boston. The Warriors have the opportunity to be crowned the 2021-2022 champions but will need to do so on the road. If Golden State is going to finish off the series, they will benefit from another outstanding performance from Andrew Wiggins, who ended game 5 with 26 points, while continuing to play outstanding defense. However, all along this felt like a series that would need all 7 games. Like the Warriors did in the previous game, look for Boston’s role players to step up with big performances to keep their season alive. I like the Celtics to pick up the win and cover the spread.