Warriors vs. Mavericks Game 3 Predictions

by | Last updated May 22, 2022 | nba

Golden State Warriors (63-32 SU, 48-43-4 ATS) vs. Dallas Mavericks (60-37 SU, 56-39-2 ATS)

When: Sunday May 22 2022, 09:00 PM (ET)

Where: American Airlines Center, Dallas Texas


Point Spread: GSW +3/DAL -3 (Opened DAL -2.5 at Everygame – Check out their 200% bonus on your deposit of only $25!)

Total: 218.5 (Opened at 218.5)

Money Line: Golden State Warriors +120/Dallas Mavericks -143

Power Rating: DAL -3

Probable Starting Lineups

Golden State Warriors PG Stephen Curry, SG Klay Thompson, SF Andrew Wiggins P, PF Draymond Green, C Kevon Looney

Dallas Mavericks PG Luka Doncic, SG Jalen Brunson, SF Reggie Bullock, PF Dorian Finney-Smith, C Dwight Powell

Key Injuries

Golden State Warriors
Andrew Wiggins: Ankle (PROBABLE)
Andre Iguodala: Neck (OUT)
Gary Payton II: Elbow (OUT)
James Wiseman: Knee (OUT)

Dallas Mavericks
Tim Hardaway Jr.: Foot (OUT)

The Dallas Mavericks host the Golden State Warriors in A Western-Conference Finals matchup. Tip-off is set for 09:00 PM ET at the American Airlines Center.

Recent Form

The Golden State Warriors come into this game with an overall record of 53-29, placing them 3rd in the Western Conference. So far, Golden State is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 24-22. Over their last five games, the Warriors have played well, picking up 4 wins. In this stretch, Golden State’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 109.0 points per game. Combined, the Warriors’ last five opponents are giving up 108.0 points per contest. The Warriors have been picking up wins while holding opponents to an average of 106.0 points per game, similar to their season average of 105.9. In the Golden State Warriors’ most recent game, Golden State took down Dallas by a score of 126-117

The Dallas Mavericks come into this game with an overall record of 52-30, placing them 4th in the Western Conference. So far, Dallas is above .500 at home, holding a record of 34-13. Over the Mavericks’ last five games, they have picked up just 2 wins. In this stretch, Dallas’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 104.0 points per game. Combined, the Mavericks’ last five opponents are giving up 107.0 points per contest. In this recent cold stretch, the Mavericks are allowing an average of 105.0 points per game, similar to their usual rate of 104.6. In the Dallas Mavericks’ most recent game, the team fell to Golden State by a score of 126-117.


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Individual Player Analysis

As Golden State travels to take on the Dallas Mavericks, the Warriors’ leading scorer is Stephen Curry. Through 64 games, Curry is averaging 25 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 45.0% of his games. As Curry gets set to take on the Mavericks, he could be in line for a big game as Dallas is allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 53.52% of their games. This figure places them 26th among NBA defenses. On the other side, Luka Doncic leads the Mavericks in scoring, averaging 28 points across his 67 games. Throughout the season, Doncic has outscored his season average in 42.0% of his outings. However, if he hopes to add to this total, Doncic will need to do so against a Warriors defense that has been tough on their opponent’s top scorers. So far, leading scores have surpassed their season average at a rate of just 40.3%. This figure is good for a rank of 4th in the league.

Matchup Analysis

The Mavericks come into this game as the more efficient offensive team, averaging 109.7 points per 100 possessions. When playing as the superior offensive unit, Dallas is winning at a rate of 72%. These wins are coming by an average margin of 14.0 points. On the other side, the Warriors hold the advantage on the defensive end of the floor. So far, they have played 40 games as the better defensive team, picking up 21 wins.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Golden State Warriors and Dallas Mavericks have met up for 6 games. In their last meeting, Golden State picked up a 126-117 win.

How the Public is Betting the Warriors vs Mavericks

67% are betting the Mavericks against the spread.

52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 218.5

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of Golden State’s last 9 games when playing on the road against Dallas
  • Golden State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
  • Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
  • Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

If the Dallas Mavericks are going to climb their way back into the series, they will need to do so in game 3. In game 2, the Mavericks looked as if they were on their way to a win and stealing home court advantage. However, Golden State’s ferocious second-half comeback was a deflating loss for the Mavericks. Heading into game 3, Dallas is the 3-point home favorite at home. But, even with the advantage of playing at home, I see Golden State pulling out yet another win. I recommend the Warriors +3. Bet your Warriors/Mavericks prediction and ALL your NBA playoffs picks this week for FREE by taking advantage of a 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $500 at Betnow Sportsbook!