Warriors vs. Mavericks Game 4 Odds & Predictions

by | May 24, 2022 | nba

Golden State Warriors (64-32 SU, 49-43-4 ATS) vs. Dallas Mavericks (60-38 SU, 56-40-2 ATS)

When: Tuesday May 24 2022, 09:00 PM (ET)

Where: American Airlines Center, Dallas Texas

TV: TNT

Point Spread: GSW +1.5/DAL -1.5 (Opened DAL -1 at BetNow - They’ll give you a 100% bonus up to $500 if you use bonus code PREDICTEM)

Total: 215.5 (Opened at 215.5)

Money Line: Golden State Warriors -104/Dallas Mavericks -117

Power Rating: DAL -2

Probable Starting Lineups

Golden State Warriors PG Stephen Curry, SG Klay Thompson, SF Andrew Wiggins, PF Draymond Green, C Kevon Looney

Dallas Mavericks PG Luka Doncic, SG Jalen Brunson, SF Reggie Bullock, PF Dorian Finney-Smith, C Dwight Powell

Key Injuries

Golden State Warriors
Otto Porter Jr.: Foot (QUESTIONABLE)
Andre Iguodala: Neck (OUT)
Gary Payton II: Elbow (OUT)
James Wiseman: Knee (OUT)

Dallas Mavericks
Tim Hardaway Jr.: Foot (OUT)

The Dallas Mavericks host the Golden State Warriors in an NBA Western Conference Finals matchup. Tip-off is set for 09:00 PM ET at the American Airlines Center.

Recent Form

The Golden State Warriors come into this game with an overall record of 53-29, placing them 3rd in the Western Conference. So far, Golden State is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 25-22. Over their last five games, the Warriors have played well, picking up 4 wins. In this stretch, Golden State’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 110.0 points per game. Combined, the Warriors’ last five opponents are giving up 107.0 points per contest. The Warriors have been picking up wins while holding opponents to an average of 107.0 points per game, similar to their season average of 105.9. In the Golden State Warriors’ most recent game, Golden State took down Dallas by a score of 109-100

The Dallas Mavericks come into this game with an overall record of 52-30, placing them 4th in the Western Conference. So far, Dallas is above .500 at home, holding a record of 34-14. Over the Mavericks’ last five games, they have picked up just 2 wins. In this stretch, Dallas’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 108.0 points per game. Combined, the Mavericks’ last five opponents are giving up 107.0 points per contest. In this recent cold stretch, the Mavericks are allowing an average of 105.0 points per game, similar to their usual rate of 104.7. In the Dallas Mavericks’ most recent game, the team fell to Golden State by a score of 109-100.

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Individual Player Analysis

As Golden State travels to take on the Dallas Mavericks, the Warriors’ leading scorer is Stephen Curry. Through 64 games, Curry is averaging 25 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 45.0% of his games. So far, the Mavericks are allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 47.76% of their games, placing them 11th among NBA defenses. On the other side, Luka Doncic leads the Mavericks in scoring, averaging 28 points across his 67 games. Throughout the season, Doncic has outscored his season average in 42.0% of his outings. However, if he hopes to add to this total, Doncic will need to do so against a Warriors defense that has been tough on their opponent’s top scorers. So far, leading scores have surpassed their season average at a rate of just 42.86%. This figure is good for a rank of 5th in the league.

Matchup Analysis

The Mavericks come into this game as the more efficient offensive team, averaging 109.7 points per 100 possessions. When playing as the superior offensive unit, Dallas is winning at a rate of 72%. These wins are coming by an average margin of 14.0 points. On the other side, the Warriors hold the advantage on the defensive end of the floor. So far, they have played 40 games as the better defensive team, picking up 21 wins.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Golden State Warriors and Dallas Mavericks have met up for 7 games. In their last meeting, Golden State picked up a 109-100 win.

How the Public is Betting the Warriors vs Mavericks

67% are betting the Mavericks against the spread.

52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 215.5

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Golden State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of Golden State’s last 10 games when playing on the road against Dallas
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas’s last 5 games at home
  • Dallas is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

It’s do or die for the Dallas Mavericks, as they enter game 4 in a 3-0 hole. In both games 2 and 3, the Mavericks were outplayed coming out of halftime. Look for Luka Doncic and the Mavs to address this problem and game 4, as they pick up their first win of the series. I recommend taking Dallas to cover the spread. Did you know that you can bet on sports at reduced odds? Yes! No more having to lay -110 odds! You only have to lay -105 at BetAnySports! Stop overpaying your bookie today! It’s tough enough to beat the spread without having to pay a ton of unnecessary vigorish!