Warriors vs. Mavericks Point Spread Pick

by | Nov 29, 2022 | nba

Golden State Warriors (11-10 SU, 9-12-0 ATS) vs. Dallas Mavericks (9-10 SU, 4-14-1 ATS)

When: Tuesday, November 29th, 7:30 PM (ET)

Where: American Airlines Center, TX, Dallas

TV: TNT

Point Spread: GS -1.5/ DAL +1.5 (Did you know that you could be laying -105 on your bets instead of -110? Why pay more? Make the switch to BetAnySports today to start saving money!)

Total: 227.5

Money Line: GSW -121/Dal +101

Notable Injuries

Warriors

  • Andre Iguodala (Out) Hip

Mavericks

  • Reggie Bullock (Out) Rest

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Golden State is 11-10 overall. When taking to the road, Golden State has a mark of 2-9 and a win percentage of 18.0%. Currently, the team is 8th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 9-12-0 vs. the spread. In their matchup against Dallas, the Golden State Warriors have won 3 straight games and will look to push that mark to 4 in a row.

In their last game, Golden State defeated Timberwolves (137-114) as 2-point favorites. Stephen Curry led the team with 25 on 41.2% shooting. The Warriors also covered the spread with the victory.

Heading into the game, Dallas is 9-10 overall. When playing at home, Dallas has a mark of 8-3 and a win percentage of 73%. Currently, the team is 11th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 4-14-1 vs. the spread. The Mavericks need a win in today’s matchup vs. Golden State to avoid their 5th straight loss.

Dallas most recently lost to the Bucks by a score of 124-115. The team high 27 points from Luka Doncic was not enough to come home with the win. The Mavericks’ were 6-point favorites going into the game.

The Historicals

The Mavericks and Warriors will be playing for the first time this season. Going back to last year, the Mavs won the series 3-1. In the most recent game, Dallas won by a score of 122-113 on their home floor. In last year’s meetings, the Mavericks were 3-1 vs. the spread.

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Analysis

Heading into today’s game, the Warriors are the 3rd ranked scoring offense at 117.8 points per game. So far, they are one of the top 3-point shooting units in the NBA, with a shooting percentage of 38%. On average, the team is connecting on 16 threes per contest. Stephen Curry comes into the game averaging 31.4 points per game. Andrew Wiggins in second on the team in scoring while also averaging 5.5 rebounds and 2.2 assists.

Coming into the game, the Dallas Mavericks are averaging 109.1 points per game which is just 27th in the league. Even though they are a below-average scoring unit, they still have a positive scoring margin at +1.7 points per game. A key to their success is the fact that they are one of the top defensive units in the NBA at just 107 points per game allowed. Luka Doncic comes into the game as the NBA scoring leader at 33.1 points per game.

More Picks: Get our Clippers at Trail Blazers betting analysis & spread pick for their 11/29/22 game

Betting Trends

  • Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last five games playing on one day’s rest.
  • Warriors are 5-2 ATS in their last seven after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Mavericks are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall.
  • Mavericks are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Warriors have won five out of their last six games and are averaging 130 points per game over their last three. The Mavericks have dropped five of their last six. This game will likely have a very small margin, but I’m fading a team torching nets over the past week. I’m betting on the Warriors! Rough weekend? Fix that issue today by doubling your bankroll with a massive 100% real cash bonus up to $500 at one of many of our top tier online sportsbooks by checking out our sportsbook promo codes page!