Warriors vs. Pelicans Prediction ATS

by | Apr 10, 2022 | nba

Golden State Warriors (52-29 SU, 40-37-4 ATS) vs. New Orleans Pelicans (36-45 SU, 41-39-1 ATS)

When: Sunday April 10 2022, 09:30 PM (ET)

Where: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, Louisiana

TV: NBCSBA

Point Spread: GSW -5/NOP +5 (Opened GSW -3.5 at BetAnySports - You only lay -105 there instead of -110! Huge savings!)

Total: 223.5 (Opened at 223.5)

Money Line: Golden State -200/New Orleans 166

Power Rating: GSW -5

Probable Starting Lineups

Golden State Warriors PG Jordan Poole, SG Klay Thompson P, SF Andrew Wiggins, PF Draymond Green, C Kevon Looney

New Orleans Pelicans PG Devonte’ Graham, SG Trey Murphy, SF Naji Marshall, PF Jaxson Hayes, C Willy Hernangomez

Key Injuries

Golden State Warriors
James Wiseman: Knee (OUT)
Stephen Curry: Foot (OUT)

New Orleans Pelicans
Brandon Ingram: Hamstring (QUESTIONABLE)
Zion Williamson: Foot (OUT)
Kira Lewis Jr.: Knee (OUT)

The New Orleans Pelicans host the Golden State Warriors in a Western-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 09:30 PM ET at the Smoothie King Center.

Recent Form

The Golden State Warriors come into this game with an overall record of 52-29, placing them 3rd in the Western Conference. So far, Golden State is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 21-19. Over their last five games, the Warriors have played well, picking up 4 wins. In this stretch, Golden State’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 110.0 points per game. Combined, the Warriors’ last five opponents are giving up 112.0 points per contest. The Warriors have been picking up wins while holding opponents to an average of 102.0 points per game, similar to their season average of 105.4. In the Golden State Warriors’ most recent game, Golden State took down San Antonio by a score of 100-94

The New Orleans Pelicans come into this game with an overall record of 36-45, placing them 9th in the Western Conference. Throughout the season, New Orleans has struggled in their 40 home contests, sitting at 19-21. The Pelicans have played well over their last five games, picking up 3 wins. During this stretch, New Orleans is averaging 116.0 points per game, 7.0 points more than their season average of 109.3. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 113.0 points per contest. Even though the Pelicans have been adding to the win column, their opponents have had no trouble scoring the ball, averaging 115.0 points per game, up from New Orleans’s usual rate of 110.1. In the New Orleans Pelicans’ most recent game, the team fell to Memphis by a score of 141-114.

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Individual Player Analysis

As Golden State travels to take on the New Orleans Pelicans, the Warriors will be looking for a big night from Jordan Poole, who is coming off a team-high 18 points vs San Antonio. As Poole gets set to take on the Pelicans, he could be in line for a big game as New Orleans is allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 52.17% of their games. This figure places them 23rd among NBA defenses. On the other side, CJ McCollum leads the Pelicans in scoring, averaging 25 points across his 25 games. Throughout the season, McCollum has outscored his season average in 40.0% of his outings. On the season, the Warriors have allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 49.18% of their games, giving them a rank of 14th among NBA defenses.

Matchup Analysis

Heading into this matchup, the Golden State Warriors are the more efficient team on both ends of the court. This scenario has taken place in 16 of Golden State’s 39 games, leading to a winning percentage of 69%. So far, the New Orleans Pelicans have played 59 games as the inferior offensive and defensive unit. In these instances, they have lost 59 times, by an average margin of -13.0 points.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Golden State Warriors and New Orleans Pelicans have met up for 2 games. In their last meeting, New Orleans picked up a 101-96 win.

How the Public is Betting the Warriors vs Pelicans

67% are betting the Warriors against the spread.

52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 223.5

Betting Trends Worth Noting

Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
Pelicans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Pelicans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

The Golden State Warriors enter the final game of the season, looking to lock in the Western Conference’s 3rd seed with a win over New Orleans. However, given that they will be tipping off at the same time as Denver and Utah, they will not know their first-round opponent, as the two teams are tied for the 5th/6th seed in the West. Both Golden State and New Orleans enter this matchup playing on back-to-back nights. But, given that the Pelicans will have a quicker turnaround with a play-in game, look for them to be more careful about managing minutes. I see the Warriors covering the spread on the road. Did you know… that we also offer free daily baseball picks?