Wizards vs. Nuggets Betting Preview & Pick ATS

by | Dec 14, 2022 | nba

Washington Wizards (11-17 SU, 10-17-1 ATS) vs. Denver Nuggets (16-10 SU, 11-15-0 ATS)

When: Wednesday, December 14th, 9:00 PM (ET)

Where: Ball Arena, CO, Denver

TV: NBC

Point Spread: WAS +10/ DEN -10 (STOP wasting your money betting on games at -110 odds! Save big bucks by making the switch to -105 at BetAnySports!)

Total: 224.5

Money Line: Washington Wizards +386/ -513

Notable Injuries

Wizards

  • Bradley Beal (Questionable) Hamstring
  • Kristaps Porzingis (Questionable) Back
  • Delon Wright (Out) Hamstring
  • Monte Morris (Questionable) Groin
  • Rui Hachimura (Out) Ankle
  • Anthony Gill (Questionable) Heel

Nuggets

  • Michael Porter Jr. (Out) Heel
  • Collin Gillespie (Out) Lower Leg

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Washington is 11-17 overall. When taking to the road, Washington has a mark of 3-10 and a win percentage of 23%. Currently, the team is 12th in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 10-17-1 vs. the spread. Washington travels to take on the Nuggets, hoping to avoid their 8th straight loss.

In their most recent game, Washington was unable to come away with a victory against the Nets, losing by a score of 112-100. Despite Will Barton leading the team with 22 points, the Wizards were unable to overcome their status as 6-point underdogs. The Wizards also ended up with an ATS loss in the game.

Heading into the game, Denver is 16-10 overall. When playing at home, Denver has a mark of 7-3 and a win percentage of 70%. Currently, the team is 3rd in the Western Conference. So far, they are 11-15-0 vs. the spread. Denver will look to stay hot in today’s game vs. Washington, as they are the winners of 2 straight games.

The Nuggets from Denver triumphed in their last match against the Jazz, achieving a 115-110 victory. Nikola Jokic had the most points for the Nuggets with 31. Despite the win, the Nuggets did not cover the spread as 11-point favorites.

The Historicals

The Nuggets will look to carry over last year’s success vs. Washington, as they won both games of the series. The average point total of these two meetings was 221.0, with Denver winning by scores of 113-107 and 109-107. Similar to their season-long average, the Wizards averaged 108.0 points per game vs. the Nuggets. On the other side, Denver saw an improvement in their scoring numbers when playing the Wizards, as they averaged 120.0 points per game in these matchups. Spanning across the last five head-to-head matchups, the Wizards and Nuggets have been competitive, with an average margin of victory sitting at just -1 point per game. This has resulted in a 3-2 ATS record for Washington. In these matchups, the teams have put together an over-under mark of 4-1. Combined, they averaged 235 points in these games.

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Analysis

Coming into the game, Washington’s offense is ranked just 23rd in scoring at 110.4 points per game. This has come while being the 19th-ranked unit in pace. So far, the Wizards are averaging 98.7 possessions per contest. Washington comes into the game ranked just 21st in 3-point attempts per game. So far, they have connected on 34.2% of their shots from deep, which places them 21st in the NBA. On defense, the Wizards allow an average of 112.0 points per game, placing them 16th in the league. So far, teams have shot 35.92% on their looks from outside vs. Washington. This figure places them 21st in 3-point shooting defense.

Heading into the game, Kristaps Porzingis is listed as questionable on the injury report. This season, he leads the team with a per-game scoring average of 22.6. Currently, Kyle Kuzma is 2nd on the team in scoring at 21.3 points per game.

This year, Denver is the 23rd-ranked scoring unit in the NBA at 115.0 points per game. Their strong production has come despite being one of the slower-paced teams in the NBA at just 97.9 possessions per game. Denver has struggled with their 3-point shot this season, as they are currently ranked just 1st in 3-point shooting percentage at 39.4%. In addition, they are near the bottom of the league in attempts, at just 30.7 attempts per contest. On defense, the Nuggets are allowing an average of 110.41 points per game, placing them 14th in the league. So far, they have done a good job defending the 3-point arc, as teams are hitting just 34.42% of their looks from deep.

Nikola Jokic is the top scorer for Denver, averaging 23.8 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 62.0%. The team’s second-leading scorer is Jamal Murray, averaging 18.3 points per game.

Betting Trends

  • The Wizards are 5-1 ATS in their last six games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • The Wizards are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight games following a double-digit loss at home.
  • The Nuggets are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games following a straight-up win.
  • The Nuggets are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Nuggets -10 points line is over-inflated. Washington has consistently been losing, but not by a ton. On the road in their nine regulation losses, only seven were by more than tonight’s listed spread. The Nuggets have run hot and cold but aren’t really blowing teams out. I’ll take the points and look for the Wizards to keep it within double digits. Bet your college bowl game predictions for FREE by scoring a 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit up to $500 by entering bonus code PREDICTEM on the Special Offers page at the web’s oldest and most trusted sportsbook —> Everygame!