Cincinnati Bengals vs. Baltimore Ravens Pick 10/13/19

by | Oct 10, 2019 | nfl

Cincinnati Bengals (0-5 SU, 2-3 ATS) vs. Baltimore Ravens (3-2 SU, 1-4 ATS)

When: Sunday, October 13th, 2019 – 1:00 PM ET

Where: M&T Bank Stadium – Baltimore, MD

TV: CBS

Point Spread: CIN +11.5 / BAL -11.5

Total: 48

Power Ratings: Baltimore -15

Takeaways From Week Five

The Bengals remain winless on the season. Most recently, Cincinnati was in action against the visiting Arizona Cardinals last week (who were also winless) and fell to the Cards by a score of 26-23, failing to produce a cover as a three-point favorite. The Bengals have now lost against the spread in two consecutive games. With the pre-season included, Cincinnati has gone winless in seven straight matches.

The Baltimore Ravens come into this game on the heels of an overtime win in the Steel City against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Closing as a 3.5-point road favorite against their arch-rivals, the Ravens were unable to cover by narrow margins when they emerged victorious 26-23 in Pittsburgh. The Ravens have now failed to cover in four consecutive games since their impressive rout of the Miami Dolphins in Week 1.

How the Public is Betting the Cincinnati- Baltimore Game

65% of the consensus like the Ravens here, and as a result, we have seen the line move upward by 2.5 points from the opening figure of Baltimore spotting nine points to the guest.

The Historicals

Baltimore won the most recent encounter between these two teams in November of 2018 when the Ravens hosted the Bengals. Cincinnati closed as a 6.5-point underdog and covered when the match was settled by a Baltimore field goal in a 24-21 win.

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Betting Trends

Two narratives have emerged regarding betting trends in this series. First, the Underdog is 8-2 ATS in the previous ten meetings between both sides. Moreover, for those looking at the Bengals, Cincinnati has covered in four of the last five contests between these two AFC North rivals.

Injury Concerns

The most recent significant injury to plague the Cincinnati Locker Room came two weeks when Wide Receiver John Ross broke his collarbone to join his partner Wide Receiver AJ Green on the Injury Reserve with an ankle injury. Wide Receiver Tyler Boyd has stepped up in both players’ absence, but nevertheless, the receiving depth of Cincinnati has taken some critical blows.

Why We Like The Ravens To Cover

A huge talking point heading into this game is Cincinnati’s prominence in against the spread markets and the potential re-bound that could away Cincy in this divisional rivalry game. However, this is probably the worst time to bet Cincinnati as the present edition of Bengals is inferior in quality to years’ past. Contrarily, Baltimore’s emerging catalytic offense is the best we have seen the Ravens offer in recent memory. These two teams are heading in opposite directions. However, some presiding trends may enchant takers to get on board with the points, but this is a situation where those trends will get bucked. The Ravens’ second-ranked running attack (192.2 rushing yards per game) will plow through the porous Bengals defense, and there won’t be any form of attrition in scoring. However, Cincinnati won’t be able to rebuttal. The Bengals had found themselves in the Red Zone on two occasions last week against one of the league’s worst scoring defenses in Arizona and could only come away with field goals that set the stage for Big Red to nose itself to the front. Quite frankly, Cincinnati will not be able to get away with this brand of football against the leagues’ best scoring offense as Baltimore scores 32.2 points per game. The Bengals give up 27.2 points per match (27th overall), and they only score a measly 16 points per game (29th in the NFL).

Keith’s Pick to Cover the Spread: Baltimore -11.5

Even if we are potentially playing the Ravens at a bad number here, some other sportsbooks (check out our best) would suggest that the Bird are, in fact, undervalued. I am in agreement with the preposition. Baltimore will take Cincinnati wire-to-gate. Once the Birds get on top, they will never look back. Many have compared Cincy to Miami in terms of quality, which is bad news for the Bengals. After all, Baltimore dismantled Dolphins 59-10 in the season opener, and a similar turn of events can unfold here. This game has blowout written all over it. Swallow the points with confidence.