Cincinnati Bengals vs. Denver Broncos Point Spread – Free Pick

by | Last updated Dec 17, 2021 | nfl

Cincinnati Bengals (7-6 SU, 6-7 ATS) vs. Denver Broncos (7-6 SU, 7-6 ATS)

NFL Week 15

Date/Time: Sunday December 19th, 2021. 4:05PM (EST)

Where: Empower Field at Mile High Denver, CO


Betting Odds:

Point Spread:CIN -1.5/DEN +1.5 (Find the best parlay odds >>> A few books pay more!)

Total: 43.5

Two teams fighting for the postseason aspirations will collide on Sunday when the Denver Broncos host the Cincinnati Bengals at Empower Field at Mile High. At 7-6 SU, both the Bengals and Broncos are fighting for a playoff berth. The Bengals are actually just one game behind Baltimore in the AFC North, and with QB Lamar Jackson’s health in question, Cincinnati is still completely alive in the division race. Meanwhile, the Broncos have rattled off four victories in the last six games to keep their postseason hopes alive. The Broncos are among five teams in the AFC with a 7-6 SU record, which means each one of these games will be extremely important to keep those playoff chances intact.

Last week, Denver captured a relatively easy 38-10 victory over the hapless Lions. The level of competition can be attributed to Denver’s recent rally where they have competed against sub 500 teams in 4 of their last six games. To the Broncos credit, they did knock off the Cowboys in a surprising upset back in week 9. In each of Denver’s victories, the defense has been the storyline. In fact, Denver has not given up more than 16 points in a single win this season, and they will get a tough challenge on Sunday against QB Joe Burrow and a dangerous Bengals offense. The Bengals appeared to be in command last Sunday against the 49ers but allowed 14 points in the 4th quarter before losing 26-23 in overtime. With the loss, the Bengals have dropped two in a row and desperately need to turn things around.

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Denver Broncos Betting Trends

  • The Bengals are 2-4 ATS in the last six games
  • The Bengals are 4-1 ATS in the last five games on the road
  • The Bengals have hit the “over” in five of the last seven games
  • The Bengals are just 1-10 SU in the last 11 games on the road at Denver
  • The Broncos are 4-2 ATs in the last six games
  • The Broncos are have hit the “under” in six of the last seven games
  • The Broncos are 1-5 ATS in the last six games against AFC opponents
  • The Broncos are 16-4 SU in the last 20 games against the Bengals

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Cincinnati Bengals vs. Denver Broncos Betting Analysis

Admittedly, I am slightly surprised to see the total for this game listed at just 43.5 points. Despite Denver’s tendency to rely heavily on their defense, both offensive lines are seemingly better than their opponents’ defensive front in this match-up. Bengals QB Joe Burrow is having a strong season if he can just limit the mistakes. Burrow is completing just under 70% passing for 3,483 yards with 28 touchdowns and 14 picks on the season. Receivers Tee Higgins and Ja’Marr Chase are emerging as one of the bigger 1-2 threats in the league, and even RB Joe Mixon has turned things up in recent games. With ample protection, this seems to be an ideal spot for Cincinnati to comfortably run their offense, and that includes a heavy dose of Higgins and Chase in the passing game.

Like Cincinnati, Denver also will have some opportunities on the offensive side of the football. RB Melvin Gordon III officially has a questionable status due to a sprained thumb following an 111 yard and two-touchdown performance against the Lions. While Gordon’s injury is not expected to keep him sidelined, it will be interesting to see if Gordon gets the majority of the workload for the 2nd straight week because Denver has nearly split carries between Gordon and Javonte Williams throughout the season. Ultimately if Cincinnati has the success that I expect on offense, QB Teddy Bridgewater will need a solid performance. Bridgewater has been excellent in protecting the football, but his role has been more tailored towards game management behind the Broncos running game. Denver will likely need more firepower to pull out the victory on Sunday against a Bengals pass defense that is among the worst in the league.

Jay’s Pick: Weather is ideal for Sunday’s match-up, which is always a concern this time of the year. With that worry on the table, I really like the over 43.5 as I believe both offenses will have opportunities to move the football consistently. Take the over! Bet your Week 15 NFL picks for FREE by taking advantage of a 100% REAL CASH bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $1000 at Betnow Sportsbook!