Denver Broncos (3-3 SU, 2-3-1 ATS) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (5-2 SU, 5-2 ATS)
NFL Week 8
Date/Time: Monday, October 30, 2017 at 8:30 P.M. ET
Where: Arrowhead Stadium
by Jerbeek, Expert Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: Den +7.5/KC -7.5
Over/Under Total: 43
The Denver Broncos go on the road to take on the division rival Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium in Monday Night Football action. Both teams are coming off 2 game losing streaks as Denver got shutout in week 7 by the Chargers and the Chiefs lost on a last second touchdown to the Raiders. Denver has struggled offensively the past 4 games as they have only scored 42 points in those 4 games and only 10 the past 2 games. As for the Chiefs, it has been the defense that has struggled as they have given up an average of 28 points the last 3 games.
Denver is led by QB Trevor Siemian who has completed 63.0% of his passes for 1,471 yards, 8 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. There were rumors of a QB switch but Head Coach Vance Joseph has stated that he is sticking with Siemian despite his struggles. The other option of Brock Osweiler is not enticing so I would expect Siemian to remain as the starting QB for the foreseeable future. The Broncos are led by C.J. Anderson on the ground, Anderson has 391 yards rushing and 4 touchdowns. It will be interesting to see if backup Jamaal Charles gets more opportunities this week to get revenge on his old team. The receiving corps is led by Demaryius Thomas who has 30 receptions for 389 yards and but has not yet found the end zone this season.
Chiefs QB Alex Smith is off to a great start to what could possibly be his last year in Kansas City. Smith is 2nd in the NFL with 1,979 yards completing 72.4% of his passes. He has thrown for 15 touchdowns and has not yet been intercepted. Rookie RB Kareem Hunt, who was not expected to be a starter this season until Spencer Ware went down with a season ending injury, has been off to an amazing start. Hunt leads the NFL in rushing with 717 yards rushing and 4 touchdowns and has added another 2 touchdowns and 285 yards receiving. The receiving game is led by Tyreek Hill who has big play ability with his amazing speed. Hill has 515 yards receiving and 5 touchdowns. TE Travis Kelce has also chipped in with 423 yards receiving and a 3 touchdowns.
The Broncos are averaging 4.1 yards per rush against teams that average giving up 4.3 yards per play. The Broncos have averaged 6.2 yards per attempt against teams who average giving up 6.5 yards per attempt. Overall the Texans are averaging 5.3 yards per play against teams that average 5.6 yards per play.
The Chiefs have averaged 5.2 yards per rush against teams that average 4.3 yards. In the passing game they have averaged 8.1 per attempt against teams that average 6.7 yards per pass attempt. Overall they have averaged 6.8 per play against teams that average 5.7 yards per play.
On defense, Denver has given up 3.0 yards per rush against teams that average 4.0 yards per rush. In the passing game they have given up 5.9 yards per attempt against teams that average 6.5 yards. Overall they have given up 4.7 yards per play against teams that average 5.5 yards per play.
Kansas City has given up 4.7 yards per rush against teams that average 4.1 yards per rush. The Chiefs have allowed 7.5 yards per pass attempt against teams that average 7.2 yards per attempt. Overall they have given up 6.3 yards per play against teams that average 5.8 yards per play.
Jerbeeks Pick to Cover the Point Spread: I look for the Chiefs to get back on the winning track in this game; however, the Chiefs struggles on defense will allow the Broncos to score some points. The Chiefs are also not very good ATS as they are 7-11 at home the past 3 years on their home turf despite a good winning record. I look for the Chiefs to pull off a 24-21 win but not get the cover. My recommendation is to play the Denver Broncos +7.5 points. - Bet this game and all your sports bets at 5Dimes! Why should you switch? Because you’re being overcharged for odds! Your book is socking you -110. Why pay that hefty price when you can bet at the lower price of -105? This saves you $5 for every $100 you bet and $50 for every $1000 you wager. Added up over time, this amounts to a massive amount of cash you’re pissing away. Plus, 5Dimes is simply better. More wagers, teasers up to 20 points, parlays up to 25 teams, faster payouts. It doesn’t make any sense to bet anywhere else! Get signed up today by clicking here!