Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans Pick 12/15/19
Houston Texans (8-5 SU, 6-7 ATS) vs. Tennessee Titans (8-5 SU, 7-5-1 ATS)
When: Sunday, December 15th, 2019 – 1:00 PM ET
Where: Nissan Stadium – Nashville, TN
Point Spread: HOU +3 / TEN -3 (Bookmaker - Takes Bets up to $50K!)
Power Ratings: Tennessee -7
Takeaways From Week 14
The Texans step into this key divisional contest off a shocking 38-24 loss at home against the Denver Broncos last Sunday. Closing as an eight-point favorite, the Texans trailed by as much as 38-3 before they would diminish the gap. Denver Rookie Quarterback Drew Lock carved up Houston’s defense for 301 yards through the air and tossed three touchdowns on the day.
The Titans come into this game on a tear as they have won their last four matches overall and getting the point spread cover in each contest. Expanding on this premise, the Titans have won six of their last seven overall. Most recently, the Titans went on the road to the Oakland Raiders and routed them in their own barn by a score of 42-21. The Titans were easy money priced as a three-point favorite, which is the same number they sport as they step into this AFC South collision.
How the Public is Betting the Houston-Tennessee Game
59% of the consensus like the Titans laying the points, but the line has remained parked on its opening number of Tennessee -3.
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The Texans won the last meeting between both parties when they last met in H-Town in 2018. As a 3.5-point favorite, the Texans cruised to a 34-17 win over the Titans and produced an easy cover while they were at it.
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Home field advantage is prevalent in this series as the host has won eight of the last nine meetings between both parties. Over this span, the Home Team is also 8-1 ATS to match this trend. Complementing this narrative, the Favorite is 8-2 ATS in the previous ten match-ups. All of the aforementioned trends will undoubtedly steer action toward Tennessee, who is priced as the home favorite. For those that fancy playing totals, the Under is 5-2 ATS in the previous seven contests that have taken place in Tennessee. Embellishing upon this narrative, the Under is 5-1 ATS in the last six matches Houston has participated in against the AFC South.
Texans stand-out Defensive End J.J. Watt will find himself on the sideline for this pivotal AFC South clash as he is on the Injury Reserve list after sustaining a torn left pectoral muscle on December 1st.
Why We Like The Texans To Cover
Some other sports betting sites would argue the Titans should be laying a touchdown to the Texans here as opposed to a field goal, but I would argue the opposite. As mentioned being a home favorite plays right into Tennessee’s wheelhouse as a result of recent trends, but it doesn’t bode value for the Titans but rather the opposite as I would expect the market to overvalue Tennessee thanks to this narrative. If anything, the Titans are being played at a lousy number here, not a good one. This propensity is only heightened when we consider the fact that the Titans have won and covered in their last four. Contrarily, the Texan loss to Denver creates the possibility for an overreaction to the result as Houston did not look good by any means against the Broncos. What these variables in total create is a quintessential buy-low and sell-high scenario. I urge all who have an interest in the Texans to take advantage of the equity presented.
Keith’s Pick to Cover the Spread: Houston +130 (Money Line)
Outside of their 35-32 win against the Kansas City Chiefs, the Titans good form came against marginal competition when compared to the Texans. Beating up on the Jacksonville Jaguars, Los Angeles Chargers, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and Indianapolis Colts is nothing to revel in. Contrarily, Houston has faced the likes of New England and Baltimore in two of their previous four contests, and they managed to snag a win against the Patriots while they did so. I am willing to write off the Denver loss as a rare bad-showing by the Texans. After all, once things settled down in H-Town, the Texans blanked the Broncos for the rest of the game and scored 21 unanswered. However, as a result of recent events, we get the better team here at, the better price. I’ll go ahead and trade the pnoints away here to take Houston outright to enhance the return. Give me the Texans straight-up on the Money Line. Ad: Bankroll Booster! Predictem has negotiated a special bonus offer for our readers! Get a 100% REAL CASH BONUS on your first deposit of $100 to $300 at MyBookie!
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