Week 15 Picks: Eagles vs. Redskins

by | Dec 10, 2019 | nfl

Philadelphia Eagles (6-7 SU, 4-9 ATS) vs. Washington Redskins (3-10 SU, 6-7 ATS)
When: Sunday, December 15th, 2019 – 1:00 PM ET
Where: FedEx Field, Andover, MD

Point Spread: PHI -6 / WAS +6 (Best Bonus)
Total: 40.5

Power Rankings: Washington +4

Takeaways From Week 14

The Eagles step into this contest off a win on Monday Night Football against arch-nemesis, New York. Closing as a 9.5-point favorite, the Eagles failed to cover as the home favorites when they were taken to overtime by the Giants to earn a 23-17 win.

The Redskins step into this divisional clash off a 20-15 loss on the road at Green Back. Closing as a 13-point underdog, the Skins took the fight to the Pack and produced their third straight cover against the spread.

More Picks: UFC 245 Fight Analysis & Predictions >>>

How the Public is Betting the Philadelphia-Washington Game

At the moment, 54% of the consensus is leaning to the Eagles. Early action has come in Philadelphia, which now sees the Redskins taking back two additional points compared to their opening price of +4.

The Historicals

The Eagles have dominated this series as of late. Philly has won the last five meetings in this series, posting an impressive 4-1 ATS record over this span. Philly and Washington opened the 2019 season in Philadelphia, where the Redskins fell 32-27 and produced a sneaky backdoor cover as a 10.5-point underdog when it scored a late touchdown with less than 10 seconds to go in regulation.

Betting Trends

The Favorite has been a profitable choice in this rivalry series as of late as it has gone 5-1 ATS in the previous six meetings.

Injury Concerns

Philadelphia Running Back Jordan Howard has been listed as day-to-day with a stinger. Howard has not been available for the last four games and remains a question mark heading into this NFC East collision.

Why We Like Washington To Cover

Some other betting sites will suggest that the Redskins are undervalued. I would agree with this position. In addition to the value that presents with taking the two added points compared to the opening line, Washington has won just one game at home this season while boding a 2-4 ATS record in Andover. As a result of these narratives, the Redskins are all the more likely to be working with more points than it should here, albeit no one would want to back Washington otherwise given how poorly they have been in particular on their own pitch. With this premise being established, the Redskins are sitting an underdog-friendly number that is often associated with outright upsets. After all, despite the contrasting forms and incentives for each team heading into this NFC East tilt, the market is still reluctant to give this Washington side more than a converted touchdown to work with here.

Keith’s Pick to Cover the Spread: Washington +6

The fact remains that the Eagles are not a good enough football team to be laying this kind of lumber on the road. After all, Philly has won and covered just twice this season outside of the City of Brotherly Love. Nothing characterizes Philly’s ability to suffer a let-down away from home more than its shocking road defeat in Miami two weeks ago when the Eagles fell 37-31 at the hands of the Dolphins despite closing as a 10.5-point favorite. Miami’s offense is one of the worst in the league as it averages just 17 points per game (30th overall). Yet, Philly found a way to enable the Dolphins to accrue over 400 yards of total offense while also allowing the Dolphins to bode a 100% red zone efficiency rating. Should Philly play down to the level of its opposition, here again, Washington may put together its best offensive showing of this season. While some will be quick to highlight Philly’s defensive improvement in its follow-up against the Giants, the Birds have been too inconsistent this season as a whole to bank on such a performance again. After all, Philadelphia steamrolled the Jets in October by a score of 31-6 and then followed this up with a shocking 38-20 loss at Minnesota the week after that. This turn of event exemplifies how Philly’s defense is truly Jekyll and Hyde week-in and week-out. One thing does remain certain; Washington will be coming into this game motivated as they have been playing their best football of the season so far. Though it may be too little too late to bring their best, the Skins are nevertheless 2-1 SU in their previous three outings, and their sole defeat over this span was the aforementioned five-point loss to a quality Green Bay side in Lambeau Field. The possibility for an upset is high in this game, but I’ll stick with the points. Attention Football Bettors! We’ve negotiated a special bonus for our players! Get a 100% REAL CASH BONUS on your first deposit of $100 to $300 at MyBookie! There’s only a 5x rollover as well! Click to here register using bonus code PREDICT100 to take advantage of this gift of an offer!