New England Patriots at New York Jets Bets Bet
New England Patriots (0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS) at New York Jets (1-1, 1-1), 9/24/23
When: 1 pm ET Sunday, Sept. 24
Where: MetLife Stadium
Point spread: NE -3/NYJ +3 (Why pay more? Odds are only -105 at BetAnySports!)
Money line: Pats -150/J-E-T-S +125
A couple of AFC East question marks meet when the Jets host the Patriots on Sunday afternoon at East Rutherford. New York upset Buffalo to open this season, then stunk at Dallas last week. New England, meanwhile, hasn’t led a game yet this season.
And yet, the Patriots are favored by a field goal for this rivalry contest.
How are we playing this game with our free Pats/Jets pick?
NFL Betting Lines
The Week 3 NFL betting market opened New England at -2.5 for this road divisional bout, with an over/under of right around 37. Early betting action then edged the Patriots to -3.
Patriots Betting Preview
New England is 0-2 for the first time in 20 years after falling at home to Miami last Sunday 24-17. The Patriots gave up the first 10 points of the game and trailed 17-3 at the half. New England got within 17-10 early in the fourth quarter, later got back within one score, and drove late into Dolphins territory, only to come up just short of a first down.
The Patriots got out-gained by Miami 389-288, out-rushed 145-88, and lost the turnover battle 2-1, resulting in a -10 points differential.
So that’s two weeks in a row New England fell behind by double-digits early, tried to battle back, but came up short. The Patriots opened this season by spotting Philadelphia the first 16 points of the game, battled back late to within about 10 yards of the lead, but lost 25-20.
Jets NFL Betting Preview
New York is 1-1 on the season after falling at Dallas last Sunday 30-10. The Jets, trying to move on without Aaron Rodgers, gave up the first 10 points of the game and trailed 18-10 at the half. New York then came up totally empty in the second half and whiffed ATS at +8.
The Jets got out-gained by the Cowboys 382-215, and 68 of New York’s yards came on one play. The Jets also got out-rushed 134-64, lost time of possession 42:18, and turned the ball over four times. Yee-ouch.
New York opened this season with that unlikely 22-16 overtime victory over Buffalo. The Jets lost Rodgers to that Achilles injury on the first series of the game and trailed almost all night but received four Bills turnovers and won the game on a punt return in OT!
Patriots-Jets Recent History
New England owns a 14-game winning streak against New York, going 11-3 ATS along the way. The Patriots are also 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS vs. the Jets since that Brady guy left the scene, which is a bit hard to figure.
Last season, New England swept two games from New York by scores of 22-17 and 10-3. The Patriots out-rushed the Jets by a per-game margin of 113-55 and covered at -3 and -3.5. Also, both those games came in Under the closing total line.
NFL Betting Trends
- NFL home teams are just 13-19 SU, 11-19-2 ATS so far this season.
- NFL favorites are 18-14 SU but 11-19-2 ATS so far this season.
- NFL home dogs are 4-9 SU, 6-6-1 ATS this season.
The totals are split 1-1 in Patriots games this season, averaging 43 total points.
The totals are split 1-1 in Jets games, averaging 39 points.
The Over is 17-15 in the NFL this season.
The Under is 3-1 over the last four meetings between these teams.
Free NFL Betting Pick
New England’s lost a couple of tough games to a couple of good teams. Offensively, we believe they should run the ball more, but defensively, they’re still solid. If they can just avoid trailing by double-digits right out of the gate, they might be all right. New York, meanwhile, remains hard to figure. Defensively, they’re fine, but offensively, they’re offensive to our football senses. Also, the Patriots just own the Jets as of late. We like New England for Sunday. Bet your Week 3 NFL picks for FREE this week by taking advantage of a 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $300 when you use bonus promo code PREDICTEM at BetUS Sportsbok!